Water, land, energy, and food are fundamental resources for human survival and ecological stability, yet they face intensifying pressure from surging demands and spatial mismatches. Integrated governance of their interconnected nexus is pivotal to achieving sustainable development. In this study, we analyze the water-land-energy-food (WLEF) nexus synergies in China’s North China Plain, a vital grain base for China’s food security. We develop a city-level WLEF evaluation framework and employ a coupling coordination model to assess spatiotemporal patterns of the WLEF system from 2010 to 2022. Additionally, we diagnose critical internal and external influencing factors of the WLEF coupling system, using obstacle degree modeling and geographical detectors. The results indicate that during this period, the most critical internal factor was per capita water resource availability. The impact of the external factor—urbanization level—was characterized by fluctuation and a general upward trend, and by 2022, it had become the dominant influencing factor. Results indicated that the overall development of the WLEF system exhibited a fluctuating trend of initial increasing then decreasing during the study period, peaking at 0.426 in 2016. The coupling coordination level of the WLEF system averaged around 0.5, with the highest value (0.526) in 2016, indicating a marginally coordinated state. Regionally, a higher degree of coordination was presented in the southern regions of the North China Plain compared with the northern areas. Anhui province achieved the optimal coordination, while Beijing consistently ranked lowest. The primary difference lies in the abundant water resources in Anhui, in contrast to the water scarcity in Beijing. Internal diagnostic analysis identified per capita water availability as the primary constraint on system coordination. External factors, including urbanization rate, primary industry’s added value, regional population, and rural residents’ disposable income, exhibited growing influence on the system over time. This study provides a theoretical framework for WLEF system coordination and offers decision-making support for optimizing resource allocation and promoting sustainable development in comparable regions.
The reduction of substantial agricultural greenhouse gases (GHGs) emissions can make a significant contribution to climate change mitigation and regional sustainable development. Given that most of the current studies about eco-efficiency only considers CO2, while ignoring other GHGs, such as CH4 and N2O, this study analyzes the spatiotemporal characteristics of CO2, CH4, and N2O, and considers them as undesirable outputs to assess the agricultural eco-efficiency (AEE) in the North China Plain from 2004 to 2022, respectively, including AEECO2, AEECH4, AEEN2O, and AEEGHG. The results show that (1) Agricultural GHGs emissions increased significantly before 2018 and slightly decreased after 2018, due to the enforcement of energy-saving and emission-reducing policies. Spatially, GHG emissions are higher in the north but lower in the south. (2) The study demonstrated that incorporating CH4 and N2O significantly affects efficiency (p < 0.01). AEECH4 and AEEN2O are higher than AEEGHG, while AEECO2 is lower than AEEGHG, indicating that only considering a single emission will result in an inefficient outcome. (3) With significant regional heterogeneity, AEEGHG is higher in Henan, Beijing, and Tianjin, while it is the lowest in Hebei. Specific suggestions are proposed to promote sustainable agricultural development. This study presents a novel perspective for comprehensively assessing AEE and offers scientific evidences for agricultural policy formulation to promote climate mitigation.