Despite being the world’s most widely grown crop, research investments in wheat (Triticum aestivum and Triticum durum) fall behind those in other staple crops. Current yield gains will not meet 2050 needs, and climate stresses compound this challenge. However, there is good evidence that heat and drought resilience can be boosted through translating promising ideas into novel breeding technologies using powerful new tools in genetics and remote sensing, for example. Such technologies can also be applied to identify climate resilience traits from among the vast and largely untapped reserve of wheat genetic resources in collections worldwide. This review describes multi-pronged research opportunities at the focus of the Heat and Drought Wheat Improvement Consortium (coordinated by CIMMYT), which together create a pipeline to boost heat and drought resilience, specifically: improving crop design targets using big data approaches; developing phenomic tools for field-based screening and research; applying genomic technologies to elucidate the bases of climate resilience traits; and applying these outputs in developing next-generation breeding methods. The global impact of these outputs will be validated through the International Wheat Improvement Network, a global germplasm development and testing system that contributes key productivity traits to approximately half of the global wheat-growing area.

Crop modelling has the potential to contribute to global food and nutrition security. This paper briefly examines the history of crop modelling by international crop research centres of the CGIAR (formerly Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research but now known simply as CGIAR), whose primary focus is on less developed countries. Basic principles of crop modelling building up to a Genotype × Environment × Management × Socioeconomic (G × E × M × S) paradigm, are explained. Modelling has contributed to better understanding of crop performance and yield gaps, better prediction of pest and insect outbreaks, and improving the efficiency of crop management including irrigation systems and optimization of planting dates. New developments include, for example, use of remote sensed data and mobile phone technology linked to crop management decision support models, data sharing in the new era of big data, and the use of genomic selection and crop simulation models linked to environmental data to help make crop breeding decisions. Socio-economic applications include foresight analysis of agricultural systems under global change scenarios, and the consequences of potential food system shocks are also described. These approaches are discussed in this paper which also calls for closer collaboration among disciplines in order to better serve the crop research and development communities by providing model based recommendations ranging from policy development at the level of governmental agencies to direct crop management support for resource poor farmers.

This study evaluates the potential of high resolution hyperspectral airborne imagery to capture within-field variability of durum wheat grain yield (GY) and grain protein content (GPC) in two commercial fields in the Yaqui Valley (northwestern Mexico). Through a weekly/biweekly airborne flight campaign, we acquired 10 mosaics with a micro-hyperspectral Vis-NIR imaging sensor ranging from 400–850 nanometres (nm). Just before harvest, 114 georeferenced grain samples were obtained manually. Using spectral exploratory analysis, we calculated narrow-band physiological spectral indices—normalized difference spectral index (NDSI) and ratio spectral index (RSI)—from every single hyperspectral mosaic using complete two by two combinations of wavelengths. We applied two methods for the multi-temporal hyperspectral exploratory analysis: (a) Temporal Principal Component Analysis (tPCA) on wavelengths across all images and (b) the integration of vegetation indices over time based on area under the curve (AUC) calculations. For GY, the best R² (0.32) were found using both the spectral (NDSI—Ri, 750 to 840 nm and Rj, ±720–736 nm) and the multi-temporal AUC exploratory analysis (EVI and OSAVI through AUC) methods. For GPC, all exploratory analysis methods tested revealed (a) a low to very low coefficient of determination (R² ≤ 0.21), (b) a relatively low overall prediction error (RMSE: 0.45–0.49%), compared to results from other literature studies, and (c) that the spectral exploratory analysis approach is slightly better than the multi-temporal approaches, with early season NDSI of 700 with 574 nm and late season NDSI of 707 with 523 nm as the best indicators. Using residual maps from the regression analyses of NDSIs and GPC, we visualized GPC within-field variability and showed that up to 75% of the field area could be mapped with relatively good predictability (residual class: −0.25 to 0.25%), therefore showing the potential of remote sensing imagery to capture the within-field variation of GPC under conventional agricultural practices.

Advances in breeding efforts to increase the rate of genetic gains and enhance crop resilience to climate change have been limited by the procedure and costs of phenotyping methods. The recent rapid development of sensors, image-processing technology, and data-analysis has provided opportunities for multiple scales phenotyping methods and systems, including satellite imagery. Among these platforms, satellite imagery may represent one of the ultimate approaches to remotely monitor trials and nurseries planted in multiple locations while standardizing protocols and reducing costs. However, the deployment of satellite-based phenotyping in breeding trials has largely been limited by low spatial resolution of satellite images. The advent of a new generation of high-resolution satellites may finally overcome these limitations. The SkySat constellation started offering multispectral images at a 0.5 m resolution since 2020. In this communication we present a case study on the use of time series SkySat images to estimate NDVI from wheat and maize breeding plots encompassing different sizes and spacing. We evaluated the reliability of the calculated NDVI and tested its capacity to detect seasonal changes and genotypic differences. We discuss the advantages, limitations, and perspectives of this approach for high-throughput phenotyping in breeding programs.

Improving agricultural productivity of smallholder farms (which are typically less than 2 ha) is key to food security for millions of people in developing nations. Knowledge of the size and location of crop fields forms the basis for crop statistics, yield forecasting, resource allocation, economic planning, and for monitoring the effectiveness of development interventions and investments. We evaluated three different full convolutional neural network (F–CNN) models (U-Net, SegNet, and DenseNet) with deep neural architecture to detect functional field boundaries from the very high resolution (VHR) WorldView-3 satellite imagery from Southern Bangladesh. The precision of the three F–CNN was up to 0.8, and among the three F–CNN models, the highest precision, recalls, and F-1 score was obtained using a DenseNet model. This architecture provided the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) when tested with independent images. We also found that 4-channel images (blue, green, red, and near-infrared) provided small gains in performance when compared to 3-channel images (blue, green, and red). Our results indicate the potential of using CNN based computer vision techniques to detect field boundaries of small, irregularly shaped agricultural fields.