Lambert’s problem involves solving the orbits connecting two position vectors with a given flight time. When introducing variations to the input of this problem (that is, terminal positions and the...
1 May 2023 in Journal of Guidance, Control, and Dynamics
Land cover is a commonly used index for characterizing land surfaces and the corresponding human or natural processes. Remote sensing-based land cover maps of different times can be compared to extract changes in land cover. However, remote sensing images reflect only the instantaneous state of the Earth’s surface. Spectral characteristics cannot correctly reflect the actual state due to the differences caused by seasonal changes, and this inability results in the limited classification accuracy of land cover products. Spurious changes will occur when products of different time phases are compared. A method of spurious change detection based on a geo-eco zoning rule base is proposed in this study to solve this problem. The structure and content of the rule base are designed, and a rule base management system is established to identify spurious changes. Land cover products of Southeast Asia are selected as the experimental area to verify the accuracy of the change patches after eliminating spurious changes. Results show that the accuracy of change detection is improved by using the rule base of geo-eco zoning to identify spurious changes.
The breakup of Intelsat 33E on 19 October 2024 posed a potential risk to satellites in the Geostationary Earth Orbit (GEO). This study analyzes the evolution and distribution of these fragments using a probabilistic approach. The initial distribution of the fragments, derived from the NASA Standard Breakup Model, indicates the generation of 4393 fragments larger than 1 cm. The spatial propagation of these fragments is modeled analytically in the Earth-Centered Earth-Fixed reference frame, showing the formation of high-density ring structures in the equatorial plane from 24 h to 28 days after the breakup. The orbits of 36 cataloged fragments are retrieved and compared with the probability density. Furthermore, Monte Carlo simulations validate the probabilistic model and highlight its efficiency in capturing low-probability events. Collision risks to other GEO satellites are assessed, showing that the top 10% of satellites encounter a collision probability of up to after 28 days. Satellites near the equatorial plane are at higher risk, whereas those with higher inclinations are less affected. These findings underscore the need for enhanced monitoring and mitigation strategies for GEO breakup events, given the challenges in detecting small fragments.