Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to verifying the economic resilience of islands and, in particular, the role of the tourism sector in the reaction to the most recent economic crisis. The analysis concerns insular contexts, such as the greater island regions in the Mediterranean basin.Design/methodology/approach: Static and dynamic panel data techniques are used for a sample of 13 island economies over a period of 16 years.Findings: Results show that the growth factors for regional islands are similar to the ones usually considered for other regions, but the tourism-led growth hypothesis is highly supported. Tourism demand more than supply plays a role together with accessibility. The crisis has reduced the importance of tourism supply, while tourism demand and accessibility have remained crucial for growth together with other traditional engines of growth.Originality/value: To the best of authors’ knowledge, none of the current works has considered territorial determinants and tourism indicators inside the same framework analyzing growth in island economies by considering the changes occurred during the crisis explicitly.

Air transport is an essential component of the tourism industry, and the number, frequency, and capacity of flight connections may influence the level of tourism demand, especially for island destinations. This paper evaluates the influence of air transport on tourism arrivals to selected islands in seven southern European Union countries to determine the nature of the relationship between tourist arrivals and air transport, specifically, whether air transport services generate tourism demand or merely enable touristic flows. The paper uses panel data and applies an econometric model with justifications for endogeneity and dynamic issues. Results show a moderate impact of transport infrastructures on generating additional tourist arrivals; however, the model shows that air transport is a prerequisite to developing tourism demand and is not the only determinant in increasing tourist arrivals. Tourist arrivals appear more a determinant than a consequence of changes in‐flight connections.

Tourism seasonality as a tourist demand concentration in specific seasons is still a big challenge for Mediterranean islands’ tourism policies. Overtourism occurs during high tourist seasons, and undertourism occurs during low tourist seasons, creating undesirable economic, social, and environmental effects on sustainability. However, the imbalance of tourism demand, specifically in fragile territories such as islands, needs specific policies based on scientific evidence. This article examines tourism seasonality dynamics in the Mediterranean islands, thoroughly analysing tourist overnights on island destinations. The adopted methodology uses a set of statistical indicators, such as peak factor intensity, calculated in a time series analysis from 2008 to 2018. The results of this article allow us to understand the importance for the Mediterranean islands to plan a resilient, sustainable, and harmonious tourism policy, using strategies to contain seasonal peaks and creating new tourist demand in the low season months.

Tourism may not sustainably support territories with limited natural resource stock such as islands. The volume of visitor arrivals and the industry investments can increase the pressure even beyond sustainable levels. There is an evident and unresolved tension between these two great polarities, sustainability and economic growth driven by tourism. The aim for policymakers is to find an acceptable equilibrium between these two dimensions. This paper investigates tourism evolution between 2007 and 2019 in 15 Mediterranean islands, comparing tourism pressures through statistical indicators. The analysis will compare tourism demand and supply trends in these contexts. The performances will be evaluated to identify the islands’ positioning between sustainability needs and tourism development opportunities while considering post-COVID-19 challenges.