Accurate crop yield modeling (CYM) is inherently challenging due to the complex, nonlinear, and temporally dynamic interactions of biotic and abiotic factors. Crop traits, which historically capture the cumulative effect of these factors, exhibit functional relationships critical for optimizing productivity. This underscores the necessity of multi-trait-based CYM approaches. Crop growth models enable trait dynamics with reflectance data and spectral indices as proxies for crop health and traits, respectively, to have real-time, spatially explicit monitoring. The Agricultural Production Systems sIMulator was calibrated to simulate multiple traits across the growth season based on geo-tagged wheat field ground information. Reflectance and spectral indices were processed for the geo-tagged fields across temporal observations to enable real-time, spatially explicit monitoring. Based on these parameters, this study addresses a critical gap in existing CYM frameworks by proposing a machine learning-based model that synergized multiple crop traits with reflectance and spectral indices to generate site-specific yield estimates. The performance evaluation revealed that the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model achieved superior accuracy for the integrated parameters (RMSE = 250.68 kg/ha, MAE = 193.76 kg/ha, and R² = 0.84), followed by traits alone. The Random Forest model followed the LSTM model, with an RMSE = 293.56 kg/ha, MAE = 230.68 kg/ha, and R² = 0.78 for integrated parameters, and an RMSE = 291.73 kg/ha, MAE = 223.17 kg/ha, and R² = 0.78 for crop traits. The superior prediction demonstrated the dominant role of multiple crop traits with satellite-derived reflectance metrics to develop robust CYM frameworks capable of capturing intra- and inter-field yield variability.

Consistent and accurate data on forest biomass and carbon dynamics are essential for optimizing carbon sequestration, advancing sustainable management, and developing natural climate solutions in various forest ecosystems. This study quantifies the forest biomass in designated forests based on GEDI LiDAR datasets with a unique compartment-level monitoring of unexplored hilly areas of Mansehra. The integration of multisource explanatory variables, employing machine learning models, adds further innovation to the study of reliable above ground biomass (AGB) estimation. Integrating Landsat-9 vegetation indices with ancillary datasets improved forest biomass estimation, with the random forest algorithm yielding the best performance (R² = 0.86, RMSE = 28.03 Mg/ha, and MAE = 19.54 Mg/ha). Validation with field data on a point-to-point basis estimated a mean above-ground biomass (AGB) of 224.61 Mg/ha, closely aligning with the mean ground measurement of 208.13 Mg/ha (R² = 0.71). The overall mean AGB model estimated a forest biomass of 189.42 Mg/ha in the designated moist temperate forests of the study area. A critical deficit in the carbon sequestration potential was analysed, with the estimated AGB in 2022, at 19.94 thousand tons, with a deficit of 0.83 thousand tons to nullify CO₂ emissions (20.77 thousand tons). This study proposes improved AGB estimation reliability and offers insights into the CO₂ sequestration potential, suggesting a policy shift for sustainable decision-making and climate change mitigation policies.