Modeling land surface processes requires complete and reliable soil property information to understand soil hydraulic and heat dynamics and related processes, but currently there is no dataset of soil hydraulic and thermal parameters that can meet this demand for global use. In this study, we propose a fitting approach to obtain the optimal soil water retention parameters from ensemble pedotransfer functions (PTFs), which were evaluated using the global coverage NCSS soil water retention curve database and showed better performance for global applications than the individual PTF and ensemble mean PTFs estimations. Soil hydraulic conductivities are estimated as the median values of multiple PTFs as done in Dai et al. [2013], and the results are shown to perform comparably to the estimates from the existing precision‐advanced models. Soil thermal properties are estimated following the schemes identified by Dai et al. [2019a], which evaluated several highly‐recommended schemes based on their land modeling applications. Using these approaches, we developed two global high‐resolution datasets of soil hydraulic and thermal parameters based on GSDE and SoilGrids soil composition databases. The delivered variables include six basic soil properties, four soil hydraulic parameters in the Campbell [1974] model, five soil hydraulic parameters in the van Genuchten [1980] model, and four soil thermal properties. The delivered datasets are available at a 30″× 30″ geographical spatial resolution, and provide four sets of vertical profiles following the resolutions of SoilGrids, Noah‐LSM, JULES, and CoLM/CLM. The datasets can be used in both regional and global applications.
Soil is an important regulator of Earth system processes, but remains one of the least well-described data layers in Earth system models (ESMs). We reviewed global soil property maps from the perspective of ESMs, including soil physical and chemical and biological properties, which can also offer insights to soil data developers and users. These soil datasets provide model inputs, initial variables, and benchmark datasets. For modelling use, the dataset should be geographically continuous and scalable and have uncertainty estimates. The popular soil datasets used in ESMs are often based on limited soil profiles and coarse-resolution soil-type maps with various uncertainty sources. Updated and comprehensive soil information needs to be incorporated into ESMs. New generation soil datasets derived through digital soil mapping with abundant, harmonized, and quality-controlled soil observations and environmental covariates are preferred to those derived through the linkage method (i.e. taxotransfer rule-based method) for ESMs. SoilGrids has the highest accuracy and resolution among the global soil datasets, while other recently developed datasets offer useful compensation. Because there is no universal pedotransfer function, an ensemble of them may be more suitable for providing derived soil properties to ESMs. Aggregation and upscaling of soil data are needed for model use, but can be avoided by using a subgrid method in ESMs at the expense of increases in model complexity. Producing soil property maps in a time series still remains challenging. The uncertainties in soil data need to be estimated and incorporated into ESMs.
8 November 2019 in Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
Soil thermal conductivity (STC) is an important physical parameter in modeling land surface processes. Previous studies on evaluations of STC schemes are mostly based on direct measurements of local conditions, and their recommendations cannot be used as a reference in selecting STC schemes for land modeling use. In this work, seven typical STC schemes are incorporated into the Common Land Model (CoLM) to evaluate their applications in land surface modeling. Statistical analyses show that the Johansen [1975] scheme and its three derivatives, Côté and Konrad [2005], Balland and Arp [2005] and Lu et al. [2007], are significantly superior to the other schemes with respect to both STC estimations and their applications in modeling soil temperature and the partitioning of surface available energy in the CoLM. The Balland and Arp [2005] scheme ranks at the top among the selected schemes. Uncertainty analyses based on single‐point and global simulations both show that the differences in STC estimations can induce significant differences in simulated soil temperature in arid/semiarid and seasonally frozen regions, especially at deep layers. The hydrology‐related variables are slightly affected by STC variations, but slight changes in these variables can induce notable changes in soil temperature by altering soil thermal properties. These results emphasize the important role of STC in modeling soil thermodynamics, and suggest the necessity of further developing STC schemes based on land modeling applications. According to the evaluation analyses, we recommend the Balland and Arp [2005] scheme as a more suitable selection for use in land surface models.
Satellite-based leaf area index (LAI) products, such as the MODIS LAI, play an essential role in land surface and climate modeling research, from regional to global scales. However, data gaps and high-level noise can exist, thus limiting their applications to a broader scope. Our previous work has reprocessed the MODIS LAI Collection 5 (C5) product, and the reprocessed data have been widely used these years. In this study, the MODIS C6.1 LAI data were reprocessed to broaden its application as a successor. We updated the integrated two-step method that is used for MODIS C5 LAI and implemented it into the MODIS C6.1 LAI product. Comprehensive evaluations for the original and reprocessed products were conducted. The results showed that the reprocessed LAI data had better performance in validation against reference maps. In addition, the site scale time series of reprocessed data was much smoother and more consistent with adjacent values. The global scale comparison showed that, though the MODIS C6.1 LAI does have improvements in ground validation with LAI reference maps, its spatial continuity, temporal continuity, and consistency showed little improvement when compared to C5. In contrast, the reprocessed data were more spatiotemporally continuous and consistent. Based on this evaluation, some suggestions for using various MODIS LAI products were given. This study assessed the quality of these different versions of MODIS LAI products and demonstrated the improvement of the reprocessed C6.1 data, which we recommended for use as a substitute for the reprocessed C5 data in land surface and climate modeling.
Northeast China (NEC) is the most prominent grain‐producing region in China. However, it is currently facing significant impacts from climate change. Since the climate‐related impacts on crop yield in this region are a major concern for society in the future, quantifying climate change impacts on crop yields in NEC is essential to ensure future food security. This study aimed to quantify the effects of future climate change on crop yields in NEC and explore adaptation strategies using the Crop Growth Model (PCSE) driven by downscaled CMIP6 climate projections under four Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) scenarios during 2015–2100. Results showed that there could be average reductions in crop yields of 21.4% for maize and 4.2% for soybean by the year 2100 under SSP585 compared to the 2015 baseline. The increasing temperature was the dominant factor in reducing yields, although elevated CO2 and precipitation offered partial compensation. The optimized planting date brought noticeable benefits for rice and soybean but had limited effects on maize due to heat stress. Relocating rice expansion eastward and implementing earlier planting increased yields by up to 50% but adversely decreased soybean and maize due to competition. This study enriches our comprehension of climate change impacts on NEC agriculture, while also quantifying potential benefits and constraints of evaluated adaptations. The proposed adaptations may help mitigate projected yield declines in other key agricultural regions across the globe. Adjusting crop management practices to capitalize on changing climate factors shows promise as a strategy for sustaining production globally.
Terrestrial evapotranspiration (ET) is a vital process regulating the terrestrial water balance. However, significant uncertainties persist in global ET estimates. Focusing on the area between 60°, we performed an intercomparison of 90 state‐of‐the‐art ET products from 1980 to 2014. These products were obtained from various sources or methods and were grouped into six categories: remote sensing, reanalysis, land surface models, climate models, machine learning methods, and ensemble estimates. It is shown that global ET magnitudes of categories differ considerably, with averages ranging from 518.4 to 706.3 mm yr−1. Spatial patterns are generally consistent but with significant divergence in tropical rainforests. Global trends are mildly positive or negative (−0.10 to 0.37 mm yr−2) depending on categories but with distinct spatial variability. Evaluation against site measurements reveals various performances across land cover types; the ideal point error values range from 0.45 to 0.83, with wetlands performing the worst and open shrublands the best. Using the three‐cornered hat method, there are spatial differences in ET uncertainty, with lower uncertainty for ensemble estimates, showing less than 15% relative uncertainty in most areas. The best global ET data set varies depending on the intended use and study region. Distinct spatial patterns of controlling factors across categories have been identified, with precipitation driving arid and semi‐arid regions and leaf area index dominating tropical regions. It is suggested to include advancing precipitation inputs, incorporate vegetation dynamics, and employ hybrid modeling in future ET estimates. Constraining estimates using complementary data and robust theoretical frameworks can enhance credibility in ET estimation.