Mahdi Baghersad

Mr. Mahdi Baghersad

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

2Years (2025-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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16 October 2025 in Future Transportation
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
SNSaber Naseralavi
Saber Naseralavi
Mohammad SoltaniradMohammad Soltanirad
Mohammad Soltanirad
Erfan RanjbarErfan Ranjbar
Erfan Ranjbar
MLMartin Lucero
Martin Lucero
MBMahdi Baghersad
Mahdi Baghersad
AMAkram Mazaheri
Akram Mazaheri
Rainy weather conditions can have significant impact on the severity and frequency of traffic crashes. This study investigated factors that influence the severity of vehicle crashes during rainy weather in California. Data from 23,242 rain-related crashes in California were taken from the Highway Safety Information System (HSIS) database. The data was divided into 12 groups based on driver gender (male and female) and crash type (six categories: rear-end, hit object, sideswipe, overturned, head-on, and broadside). Each group was assigned a logistic regression model for crash severity (Property Damage Only (PDO) vs. injuries or fatalities (NotPDO)) yielding 12 models for various combinations of driver gender and crash types. Results indicate that factors such as the number of vehicles involved, vehicle manufacturing year, annual average daily traffic (AADT), road topography, season of crash, number of lanes, and driver age group all significantly influenced crash severity across various scenarios. These findings provide detailed insights into how various factors contribute to crash severity in different scenarios, allowing policymakers to develop targeted interventions. Policymakers can utilize the findings of this study to implement targeted measures in areas with high frequencies of specific crash types, particularly during adverse environmental conditions.

4 September 2025 in Urban Science
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
SNSaber Naseralavi
Saber Naseralavi
Mohammad SoltaniradMohammad Soltanirad
Mohammad Soltanirad
Erfan RanjbarErfan Ranjbar
Erfan Ranjbar
MLMartin Lucero
Martin Lucero
FGFateme Gorzin
Fateme Gorzin
AMAkram Mazaheri
Akram Mazaheri
This study investigates the factors that influence household trip generation across the United States using the National Household Travel Survey (NHTS) dataset. Recognizing the limits of a one-size-fits-all modeling approach, we conduct a two-stage analysis to investigate spatial heterogeneity within travel behavior. Stage one creates a benchmark analysis, comparing advanced machine learning models (CatBoost and random forest) to a traditional linear regression model. Contrary to prevailing trends in predictive modeling, the results reveal that linear regression not only delivers competitive overall performance but also emerges as the best performing model in the majority of states. Providing optimal balance between predictive accuracy and interpretability. Building on these findings, the second stage applies state specific linear models to uncover geographic differences in trip generation drivers. The findings highlight extensive spatial heterogeneity: while core demographic variables like household size and the presence of young children show consistent effects across the US, the influence of socio-economic factors such as income and vehicle ownership are highly context-dependent and spatially volatile. These findings highlight the importance of moving beyond black box modeling and instead implementing place based, context sensitive techniques in the promotion of more effective and equitable transportation plans.

4 July 2025 in Future Transportation
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
SNSaber Naseralavi
Saber Naseralavi
Mohammad SoltaniradMohammad Soltanirad
Mohammad Soltanirad
Erfan RanjbarErfan Ranjbar
Erfan Ranjbar
KJKeshav Jimee
Keshav Jimee
MLMartin Lucero
Martin Lucero
AMAkram Mazaheri
Akram Mazaheri
Traffic safety assessments rely on Surrogate Safety Measures (SSMs), yet their diversity hinders understanding and selection. This paper proposes a novel conceptual framework to systematically categorize SSMs through what we term Motion Scenario Mapping, an approach inspired by queuing theory notation and the concept of short-term behavioral storytelling. The framework explicitly defines interaction stories between a following and leading vehicle to reveal hidden assumptions within each SSM, achieved through a combined coding system. Examining ten common SSMs, the research demonstrates that the framework effectively exposes underlying assumptions, enabling critical evaluation of their contextual validity. By emphasizing short-term risk dynamics, this approach offers a structured understanding of interaction mechanisms and provides a systematic foundation for comparing existing SSMs, identifying research gaps, and guiding future development. This structured ontology has the potential to enhance the analysis and design of safety measures for future transportation systems.

1 January 2026 in IEEE Access
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
SNSaber Naseralavi
Saber Naseralavi
Mohammad SoltaniradMohammad Soltanirad
Mohammad Soltanirad
MPMehran Piri
Mehran Piri
Erfan RanjbarErfan Ranjbar
Erfan Ranjbar
MBMahdi Baghersad
Mahdi Baghersad
AMAkram Mazaheri
Akram Mazaheri

5 June 2025 in Future Transportation
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
MBMahdi Baghersad
Mahdi Baghersad
Virginia SisiopikuVirginia Sisiopiku
Virginia Sisiopiku
AUAvinash Unnikrishnan
Avinash Unnikrishnan
Metropolitan Planning Organizations (MPOs) are required to prepare a Transportation Improvement Plan (TIP) that outlines a fiscal strategy over a four-year period in order to qualify for federal funding. However, the growing population and limited financial resources available often pose significant challenges for transportation agencies in aligning their needs with available budgets. This article examines the project selection criteria used by 20 MPOs in the Southeastern United States to identify the best practices for prioritizing projects in TIPs. Using document analysis, this study categorizes the most commonly used criteria into nine broad groups: safety and security; environmental impacts; mobility, accessibility, and connectivity; preservation; environmental justice; equity; economic factors; alignment with other plans; and local support. Many of these categories are further divided into subcategories and metrics. Despite variations in criteria, weighting, scoring, and methodologies across these MPOs, the study identifies several shared factors that support effective decision-making in regional transportation planning. These findings can help transportation planners and policymakers refine their project prioritization strategies, promote consistency, and lead to improved decision-making frameworks for future TIP development.