Estimating the quantity of seepage through the foundation and body of a dam using proper health and safety monitoring is critical to the effective management of disaster risk in a reservoir downstream of the dam. In this study, a deep learning model was constructed to predict the extent of seepage through Pakistan’s Tarbela dam, the world’s second largest clay and rock dam. The dataset included hydro-climatological, geophysical, and engineering characteristics for peak-to-peak water inflows into the dam from 2014 to 2020. In addition, the data are time series, recurring neural networks (RNN), and long short-term memory (LSTM) as time series algorithms. The RNN–LSTM model has an average mean square error of 0.12, and a model performance of 0.9451, with minimal losses and high accuracy, resulting in the best-predicted dam seepage result. Damage was projected using a deep learning system that addressed the limitations of the model, the difficulties of calculating human activity schedules, and the need for a different set of input data to make good predictions.

For better stability, safety and water resource management in a dam, it is important to evaluate the amount of seepage from the dam body. This research is focused on machine learning approach to predict the amount of seepage from Pakistan’s Earth and rock fill Tarbela Dam during 2003 to 2015. The data of temperature, rainfall, water inflow, sediment inflow, reservoir level collected during 2003 to 2015 served as input while the seepage from dam during this period was the output. Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and CatBoost (CB), have been used to model the input-output relationship. The algorithms used to predict the dam seepage reported a high R² scores between actual and predicted values of average seepage, suggesting their reliability in predicting the seepage in the Tarbela Dam. Moreover, the CatBoost algorithm outperformed, by achieving an R² score of 0.978 in training, 0.805 in validation, and 0.773 in testing phase. Similarly, RMSE was 0.025 in training, 0.076 in validation, and 0.111 in testing phase. Furthermore, to understand the sensitivity of each parameter on the output (average seepage), Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP), a model explanation algorithm, was used to understand the affect of each parameter on the output. A comparison of SHAP used for all the machine learning models is also presented. According to SHAP summary plots, reservoir level was reported as the most significant parameter, affecting the average seepage in Tarbela Dam. Moreover, a direct relationship was observed between reservoir level and average seepage. It was concluded that the machine learning models are reliable in predicting and understanding the dam seepage in the Tarbela Dam. These Machine Learning models address the limitations of humans in data collecting and analysis which is highly prone to errors, hence arriving at misleading information that can lead to dam failure.

The chaos oscillation particle swarm optimization (COPSO) algorithm is prone to binge trapped in the local optima when dealing with certain complex models in ground-penetrating radar (GPR) data inversion, because it inherently suffers from premature convergence, high computational costs, and extremely slow convergence times, especially in the middle and later periods of iterative inversion. Considering that the bilateral connections between different particle positions can improve both the algorithmic searching efficiency and the convergence performance, we first develop a fast single-trace-based approach to construct an initial model for 2-D PSO inversion and then propose a TV-regularization-based improved PSO (TVIPSO) algorithm that employs total variation (TV) regularization as a constraint technique to adaptively update the positions of particles. B by adding the new velocity variations and optimal step size matrices, the search range of the random particles in the solution space can be significantly reduced, meaning blindness in the search process can be avoided. By introducing constraint-oriented regularization to allow the optimization search to move out of the inaccurate region, the premature convergence and blurring problems can be mitigated to further guarantee the inversion accuracy and efficiency. We report on three inversion experiments involving multilayered, fluctuated terrain models and a typical complicated inner-interface model to demonstrate the performance of the proposed algorithm. The results of the fluctuated terrain model show that compared with the COPSO algorithm, the fitness error (MAE) of the TVIPSO algorithm is reduced from 2.3715 to 1.0921, while for the complicated inner-interface model the fitness error (MARE) of the TVIPSO algorithm is reduced from 1.9539 to 1.5674.

Diffraction separation is considered of great importance for the full-wavefront reconstruction (FWR) of ground penetrating radar (GPR) and its delicate data processing. In contrast to reflections, GPR diffraction events encode the fully dynamic feature and subwavelength information to identify small-scale heterogeneities, thereby offering enhanced illumination and resolution for GPR imaging. However, fully extracting these faint diffraction components remains a very challenging task. These components are usually ignored because of the strong interference and masking effect of the more dominant reflective components, and in particular, the attenuation of GPR waves accelerates almost exponentially with the frequency. In this article, we developed a coherence analysis (CA) framework for extracting GPR diffractions by considering the kinematic attributes and discontinuity features of GPR wavefronts, as well as the dispersion and attenuation effects of GPR responses. To be specific, the compensation preprocessing and semblance summation are performed sequentially for coherence acquisition, after which a multiscale subtraction is designed toward the coherent fields. In particular, we concentrated on analyzing media losses and multiparameter impacts on diffraction separation performance. To demonstrate the feasibility and practicality of the proposed framework, we tested our algorithm using synthetic and field datasets, both results with quantified metrics showing the elimination of continuities. The comparative results reveal the performance of the framework in preserving the edge components of GPR diffractions, making it potentially attractive for microscopic velocity analysis, refined full wavefield migration (FWM), and well-constrained full waveform inversion in terms of small-scale heterogeneities and discontinuities.

Data assimilation for unconfined seepage analysis has faced significant challenges due to hybrid causes, such as sparse measurements, heterogeneity of porous media, and computationally expensive forward models. To address these bottlenecks, this paper introduces a physics-informed neural network (PINN) model to resolve the data assimilation problem for seepage analysis of unsaturated earth–rockfill dams. This strategy offers a solution that decreases the reliance on numerical models and enables an accurate and efficient prediction of seepage parameters for complex models in the case of sparse observational data. For the first attempt in this study, the observed values are obtained by random sampling of numerical solutions, which are then contributed to the synchronous constraints in the loss function by informing both the seepage control equations and boundary conditions. To minimize the effects of sharp gradient shifts in seepage parameters within the research domain, a residual adaptive refinement (RAR) constraint is introduced to strategically allocate training points around positions with significant residuals in partial differential equations (PDEs), which could facilitate enhancing the prediction accuracy. The model’s effectiveness and precision are evaluated by analyzing the proposed strategy against the numerical solutions. The results indicate that even with limited sparse data, the PINN model has great potential to predict seepage data and identify complex structures and anomalies inside the dam. By incorporating coupling constraints, the validity of our PINN model could lead to theoretically viable applications of hydrogeophysical inversion or multi-parameter seepage inversion. The results show that the proposed framework can predict the seepage parameters for the entire research domain with only a small amount of observation data. Furthermore, with a small amount of observation data, PINNs are able to obtain more accurate results than purely data-driven DNNs.