The objective of this paper is to develop an approach to forecast the outdoor atmospheric corrosion rate of low alloy steels and do corrosion-knowledge mining by using a Random Forests algorithm as a mining tool. We collected the corrosion data of 17 low alloy steels under 6 atmospheric corrosion test stations in China over 16 years as the experimental datasets. Based on the datasets, a Random Forests model is established to implement the purpose of the corrosion rate prediction and data-mining. The results showed that the random forests can achieve the best generalization results compared to the commonly used machine learning methods such as the artificial neural network, support vector regression, and logistic regression. In addition, the results also showed that regarding the effect to the corrosion rate, environmental factors contributed more than chemical compositions in the low alloy steels, but as exposure time increases, the effect of the environmental factors will gradually become less. Furthermore, we give the effect changes of six environmental factors (Cl⁻ concentration, SO₂ concentration, relative humidity, temperature, rainfall, and pH) on corrosion with exposure time increasing, and the results illustrated that pH had a significant contribution to the corrosion of the entire process. The paper also dealt with the problem of the corrosion rate forecast, especially for changing environmental factors situations, and obtained the qualitative and quantitative results of influences of each environmental factor on corrosion.

Purpose: This study aims to achieve long-term prediction on a specific monotonic data series of atmospheric corrosion rate vs time.Design/methodology/approach: This paper presents a new method, used to the collected corrosion data of carbon steel provided by the China Gateway to Corrosion and Protection, that combines non-linear gray Bernoulli model (NGBM(1,1) with genetic algorithm to attain the purpose of this study.Findings: Results of the experiments showed that the present study’s method is more accurate than other algorithms. In particular, the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and the root mean square error (RMSE) of the proposed method in data sets are 9.15 per cent and 1.23 µm/a, respectively. Furthermore, this study illustrates that model parameter can be used to evaluate the similarity of curve tendency between two carbon steel data sets.Originality/value: Corrosion data are part of a typical small-sample data set, and these also belong to a gray system because corrosion has a clear outcome and an uncertainly occurrence mechanism. In this work, a new gray forecast model was proposed to achieve the goal of long-term prediction of carbon steel in China.

Diffraction imaging is important for high-resolution characterization of small subsurface heterogeneities. However, due to geometry limitations and noise distortion, conventional diffraction imaging methods may produce low-quality images. We have adopted a periodic plane-wave least-squares reverse time migration method for diffractions to improve the image quality of heterogeneities. The method reformulates diffraction imaging as an inverse problem using the Born modeling operator and its adjoint operator derived in the periodic plane-wave domain. The inverse problem is implemented for diffractions separated by a plane-wave destruction filter from the periodic plane-wave sections. Because the plane-wave destruction filter may fail to eliminate hyperbolic reflections and noise, we adopt a hyperbolic misfit function to minimize a weighted residual using an iteratively reweighted least-squares algorithm and thereby reduce residual reflections and noise. Synthetic and field data tests show that the adopted method can significantly improve the image quality of subsalt and deep heterogeneities. Compared with reverse time migration, it produces better images with fewer artifacts, higher resolution, and more balanced amplitude. Therefore, the adopted method can accurately characterize small heterogeneities and provide a reliable input for seismic interpretation in the prediction of hydrocarbon reservoirs.