A multi-scale three-dimensional variational (MS-3DVAR) scheme is developed to assimilate high-resolution Himawari-8 sea surface temperature (SST) data for the first time into an operational ocean nowcast/forecast system targeting the North Western Pacific, JCOPE2. MS-3DVAR improves representation of the Kuroshio path south of Japan, its associated sea level variations, and temperature/salinity profiles south of Japan, the Kuroshio/Oyashio mixed water region, and the Japan Sea as compared to those of the products by the traditional single-scale 3DVAR. Validation results demonstrate that MS-3DVAR well assimilates the sparsely distributed in situ temperature and salinity profiles data by spreading the information over the large scale and by representing the detailed information near the measurement points. MS-3DVAR succeeds to assimilate the Himawari-8 SST product without noisy features caused by the cloud effects. We also find that MS-3DVAR is more effective for estimating oceanic conditions in regions with smaller mesoscale variability including the mixed water region and Japan Sea than in south of Japan.

A high-resolution ocean general circulation model is developed to simulate connections between the Kuroshio path variations and mesoscale eddy activities as realistically as possible. The climatological mean of the modeled Kuroshio takes a nearshore nonlarge meander path. It is found that the model is capable of simulating two types of nonlarge meander state and a possible version of the large meander state. The offshore nonlarge meander is generated through interaction between the Kuroshio and an anticyclonic eddy. The large meander occurs just after significant intensification of the anticyclonic Kuroshio recirculation; successive intrusion of anticyclonic eddies from the upstream region is responsible for this process. Those anticyclonic eddies are advected by the Kuroshio from the region northeast of Luzon Island and increase the upstream Kuroshio volume transport on an interannual time scale. The cyclonic eddies propagating from the Kuroshio Extension region, on the other hand, weaken the Ku... Abstract A high-resolution ocean general circulation model is developed to simulate connections between the Kuroshio path variations and mesoscale eddy activities as realistically as possible. The climatological mean of the modeled Kuroshio takes a nearshore nonlarge meander path. It is found that the model is capable of simulating two types of nonlarge meander state and a possible version of the large meander state. The offshore nonlarge meander is generated through interaction between the Kuroshio and an anticyclonic eddy. The large meander occurs just after significant intensification of the anticyclonic Kuroshio recirculation; successive intrusion of anticyclonic eddies from the upstream region is responsible for this process. Those anticyclonic eddies are advected by the Kuroshio from the region northeast of Luzon Island and increase the upstream Kuroshio volume transport on an interannual time scale. The cyclonic eddies propagating from the Kuroshio Extension region, on the other hand, weaken the Ku...

With combined use of the ocean–atmosphere simulation models and field observation data, we evaluate the parameters associated with the total caesium-137 amounts of the direct release into the ocean and atmospheric deposition over the western North Pacific caused by the accident of Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant (FNPP) that occurred in March 2011. The Green's function approach is adopted for the estimation of two parameters determining the total emission amounts for the period from 12 March to 6 May 2011. It is confirmed that the validity of the estimation depends on the simulation skill near FNPP. The total amount of the direct release is estimated as 5.5–5.9 × 10¹⁵ Bq, while that of the atmospheric deposition is estimated as 5.5–9.7 × 10¹⁵ Bq, which indicates broader range of the estimate than that of the direct release owing to uncertainty of the dispersion widely spread over the western North Pacific.

We analyze a concurrent simulation result of the ocean circulation and tidal currents using a data‐assimilative ocean general circulation model covering the Western North Pacific with horizontal resolution of 1/36° to investigate possible interactions between them. Four sites of active M₂ internal tide variability in open ocean (hot spots), such as Tokara Strait, Izu Ridge, Luzon Strait, and Ogasawara Ridge, are detected from both the satellite observation and the simulation. Energy cycle analysis of the simulated M₂ baroclinic tide indicates two types of the hot spots: dissipation (Tokara Strait and Izu Ridge) and radiation (Luzon Strait and Ogasawara Ridge) dominant sites. Energy conversion from barotropic to baroclinic M₂ tides at the hot spots is modulated considerably by the lower‐frequency changes in the density field. Modulation at the two spots (Tokara Strait and Izu Ridge) is affected by the Kuroshio path variation together with the seasonal variation of the shallow thermocline. At the other two sites, influence from changes in the relatively deep stratification through the Kuroshio intrusion into South China Sea (Luzon Strat) and mesoscale eddy activity (Ogasawara Ridge) is dominant in the modulation.