Wildfires have significant environmental and socio-economic impacts, affecting ecosystems and people worldwide. Over the coming decades, it is expected that the intensity and impact of wildfires will grow depending on the variability of climate parameters. Although Bulgaria is not situated within the geographical borders of the Mediterranean region, which is one of the most vulnerable regions to the impacts of temperature extremes, the climate is strongly influenced by it. Forests are amongst the most vulnerable ecosystems affected by wildfires. They are insufficiently adapted to fire, and the monitoring of fire impacts and post-fire recovery processes is of utmost importance for suggesting actions to mitigate the risk and impact of that catastrophic event. This paper investigated the forest vegetation recovery process after a wildfire in the Ardino region, southeast Bulgaria from the period between 2016 and 2021. The study aimed to present a monitoring approach for the estimation of the post-fire vegetation state with an emphasis on fire-affected territory mapping, evaluation of vegetation damage, fire and burn severity estimation, and assessment of their influence on vegetation recovery. The study used satellite remotely sensed imagery and respective indices of greenness, moisture, and fire severity from Sentinel-2. It utilized the potential of the landscape approach in monitoring processes occurring in fire-affected forest ecosystems. Ancillary data about pre-fire vegetation state and slope inclinations were used to supplement our analysis for a better understanding of the fire regime and post-fire vegetation damages. Slope aspects were used to estimate and compare their impact on the ecosystems’ post-fire recovery capacity. Soil data were involved in the interpretation of the results.

In the coming decades, Bulgaria is expected to be affected by higher air temperatures and decreased precipitation, which will significantly increase the risk of droughts, forest ecosystem degradation and loss of ecosystem services (ES). Drought in terrestrial ecosystems is characterized by reduced water storage in soil and vegetation, affecting the function of landscapes and the ES they provide. An interdisciplinary assessment is required for an accurate evaluation of drought impact. In this study, we introduce an innovative, experimental methodology, incorporating remote sensing methods and a system approach to evaluate vegetation drought stress in complex systems (landscapes and ecosystems) which are influenced by various factors. The elevation and land cover type are key climate-forming factors which significantly impact the ecosystem’s and vegetation’s response to drought. Their influence cannot be sufficiently gauged by a traditional remote sensing-based drought index. Therefore, based on differences between the spectral reflectance of the individual natural land cover types, in a near-optimal vegetation state and divided by elevation, we assigned coefficients for normalization. The coefficients for normalization by elevation and land cover type were introduced in order to facilitate the comparison of the drought stress effect on the ecosystems throughout a heterogeneous territory. The obtained drought coefficient (DC) shows patterns of temporal, spatial, and interspecific differences on the response of vegetation to drought stress. The accuracy of the methodology is examined by field measurements of spectral reflectance, statistical analysis and validation methods using spectral reflectance profiles.