Nezir Kose

Prof. Dr. Nezir Kose


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

21Years (2006-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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1 May 2011 in Economic Modelling
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
FEFurkan Emirmahmutoglu
Furkan Emirmahmutoglu
NKNezir Kose
Nezir Kose

26 December 2022 in Environment, Development and Sustainability
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
NKNezir Kose
Nezir Kose
EÜEmre Ünal
Emre Ünal

1 August 2012 in Journal of Asian Economics
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
NKNezir Kose
Nezir Kose
FEFurkan Emirmahmutoglu
Furkan Emirmahmutoglu
SASezgin Aksoy
Sezgin Aksoy

28 February 2025 in Journal of Forecasting
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
NKNezir Kose
Nezir Kose
YGYunus Emre Gur
Yunus Emre Gur
EÜEmre Ünal
Emre Ünal
This study examines the connection between Bitcoin and global factors, including the VIX, the oil price, the US dollar index, the gold price, and interest rates estimated using the Federal funds rate and treasury securities rate, for forecasting analysis. Deep learning methodologies, including LSTM, GRU, CNN, and TFT, with machine learning algorithms such as XGBoost, LightGBM, and SVR, were employed to identify the optimal prediction model for the Bitcoin price. The findings indicate that the TFT model is the most successful predictive approach, with the gold price identified as the most relevant component in determining the Bitcoin price. After the gold indicator, the US dollar index was a substantial factor in the explanation of the Bitcoin price. The TFT model also included regulatory decisions and global events. It was estimated that the Bitcoin price was significantly influenced by the COVID‐19 pandemic. After that, global climate events and China mining ban strongly affected the Bitcoin price. These findings indicate that regulatory decisions and global events determine the Bitcoin price in addition to macroeconomic factors. The VAR analysis was employed as a robustness check. The results indicate that gold and oil prices have a strong negative influence on Bitcoin, particularly in the long term. The paper has significant policy implications for investors, portfolio managers, and scholars.

1 February 2024 in Journal of Futures Markets
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
NKNezir Kose
Nezir Kose
HYHakan Yıldırım
Hakan Yıldırım
EÜEmre Ünal
Emre Ünal
BLBoqiang Lin
Boqiang Lin

7 September 2016 in Empirica
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
NKNezir Kose
Nezir Kose
YYYeliz Yalcin
Yeliz Yalcin
EYEray Yucel
Eray Yucel