Tao Geng

Dr. Tao Geng

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

8Years (2019-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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10 April 2020 in Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
Verified
Journal Article
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WCWenju Cai
Wenju Cai
MMMichael J. McPhaden
Michael J. McPhaden
AGAlice M. Grimm
Alice M. Grimm
RRRegina R. Rodrigues
Regina R. Rodrigues
ATAndrea Taschetto
Andrea Taschetto
CVCarolina Vera
Carolina Vera

17 August 2021 in Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
WCWenju Cai
Wenju Cai
ASAgus Santoso
Agus Santoso
MCMatthew Collins
Matthew Collins
BDBoris Dewitte
Boris Dewitte
CKChristina Karamperidou
Christina Karamperidou
WZWenxiu Zhong
Wenxiu Zhong

26 July 2023 in Nature
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
TGTao Geng
Tao Geng
FJFan Jia
Fan Jia
WCWenju Cai
Wenju Cai
LWLixin Wu
Lixin Wu
BGBolan Gan
Bolan Gan
MMMichael James McPhaden
Michael James McPhaden
Most El Niño events occur sporadically and peak in a single winter1–3, whereas La Niña tends to develop after an El Niño and last for two years or longer4–7. Relative to single-year La Niña, consecutive La Niña features meridionally broader easterly winds and hence a slower heat recharge of the equatorial Pacific6,7, enabling the cold anomalies to persist, exerting prolonged impacts on global climate, ecosystems and agriculture8–13. Future changes to multi-year-long La Niña events remain unknown. Here, using climate models under future greenhouse-gas forcings14, we find an increased frequency of consecutive La Niña ranging from 19 ± 11% in a low-emission scenario to 33 ± 13% in a high-emission scenario, supported by an inter-model consensus stronger in higher-emission scenarios. Under greenhouse warming, a mean-state warming maximum in the subtropical northeastern Pacific enhances the regional thermodynamic response to perturbations, generating anomalous easterlies that are further northward than in the twentieth century in response to El Niño warm anomalies. The sensitivity of the northward-broadened anomaly pattern is further increased by a warming maximum in the equatorial eastern Pacific. The slower heat recharge associated with the northward-broadened easterly anomalies facilitates the cold anomalies of the first-year La Niña to persist into a second-year La Niña. Thus, climate extremes as seen during historical consecutive La Niña episodes probably occur more frequently in the twenty-first century.

18 May 2023 in Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
WCWenju Cai
Wenju Cai
BNBenjamin Ng
Benjamin Ng
TGTao Geng
Tao Geng
FJFan Jia
Fan Jia
LWLixin Wu
Lixin Wu
MMMichael James McPhaden
Michael James McPhaden

16 December 2019 in Nature Climate Change
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
SLShujun Li
Shujun Li
LWLixin Wu
Lixin Wu
YYYun Yang
Yun Yang
TGTao Geng
Tao Geng
WCWenju Cai
Wenju Cai
XMXiaohui Ma
Xiaohui Ma

2 September 2020 in Nature
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
WCWenju Cai
Wenju Cai
BNBenjamin Ng
Benjamin Ng
TGTao Geng
Tao Geng
LWLixin Wu
Lixin Wu
ASAgus Santoso
Agus Santoso
MMMichael James McPhaden
Michael James McPhaden