Background: The role of the cytokine interleukin-37 (IL-37) has been recognized in reversing inflammation-mediated metabolic costs. The aim was to evaluate the clinical utility of this cytokine as a diagnostic and prognostic marker in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D). Methods: We included 170 older (median: 66 years) individuals with T2D (females: 95) and classified as primary care attenders to assess the association of factors that describe patients with plasma IL-37 levels (expressed as quartiles) using multinomial regression models. We determined the diagnostic ability of IL-37 cut-offs to identify diabetes-related complications or patient subgroups by using Receiver Operating Characteristic analysis (c-statistics). Results: Frailty status was shown to have a suppressive effect on IL-37 circulating levels and a major modifying effect on associations of metabolic and inflammatory factors with IL-37, including the effects of treatments. Situations in which IL-37 reached a clinically significant discriminating ability included the model of IL-37 and C-Reactive Protein in differentiating among diabetic patients with low–normal/high BMI ((<25/≥25 kg/m2), and the model of IL-37 and Thyroid Stimulating Hormone in discriminating between women with/without metabolic syndrome. Conclusions: The study has revealed limitations in using classical approaches in determining the diagnostic and prognostic utility of the cytokine IL-37 in patients with T2D and lain a foundation for new methodology approaches.
Tsunamis are a perilous natural phenomenon endangering growing coastal populations and tourists in many seaside resorts. Failures in responding to recent tsunami events stresses the importance of further research in building a robust tsunami warning system, especially in the “last mile” component. The lack of detail, unification and standardisation in information processing and decision support hampers wider implementation of reusable information technology solutions among local authorities and officials. In this paper, the architecture of a tsunami emergency solution is introduced. The aim of the research is to present a tsunami emergency solution for local authorities and officials responsible for preparing tsunami response and evacuation plans. The solution is based on a combination of machine learning techniques and agent-based modelling, enabling analysis of both real and simulated datasets. The solution is designed and developed based on the principles of enterprise architecture development. The data exploration follows the practices for data mining and big data analyses. The architecture of the solution is depicted using the standardised notation and includes components that can be exploited by responsible local authorities to test various tsunami impact scenarios and prepare plans for appropriate response measures.
Interest in explainable machine learning has grown, particularly in healthcare, where transparency and trust are essential. We developed a semi-automated evaluation framework within a clinical decision support system (CDSS-EQCM) that integrates LIME and SHAP explanations with multi-criteria decision-making (TOPSIS and Borda count) to rank model interpretability. After two-phase preprocessing of 2934 COVID-19 patient records spanning four epidemic waves, we applied five classifiers (Random Forest, Decision Tree, Logistic Regression, k-NN, SVM). Five infectious disease physicians used a Streamlit interface to generate patient-specific explanations and rate models on accuracy, separability, stability, response time, understandability, and user experience. Random Forest combined with SHAP consistently achieved the highest rankings in Borda count. Clinicians reported reduced evaluation time, enhanced explanation clarity, and increased confidence in model outputs. These results demonstrate that CDSS-EQCM can effectively streamline interpretability assessment and support clinician decision-making in medical diagnostics. Future work will focus on deeper electronic medical record integration and interactive parameter tuning to further enhance real-time diagnostic support.
A decision tree represents one of the most used data analysis methods for classification tasks. The generated decision models can be visualized as a graph, but this visualization is quite complicated for a domain expert to understand in large or heterogeneous data. Our previous experience with medical data analytics related to the classification of patients with Metabolic Syndrome, Mild Cognitive Impairment, heart disease, or Frailty motivated us to evaluate the potential of new visualizations for this decision model in the medical domain. We managed a user study to design and implement a decision support system containing selected methods to improve the interpretability of the generated tree-based decision model. We hypothesized that this approach would result in more effective communication between data analysts and medical experts, reduce necessary time and energy and bring more comprehensive results. For this purpose, we selected two model-agnostic methods, LIME and SHAP, and one new interactive visualization called Sunburst. We used two data samples for design and evaluation: the publicly available heart disease dataset and the Metabolic Syndrome dataset the participating medical expert provided. We will use the collected feedback and experience for further improvements, like more evaluation metrics related to the usability of the decision models.