Due to the increasing proportion of wind power connected to the grid, day-ahead wind power prediction plays a more and more important role in the operation of the power system. This paper proposes a day-ahead wind power short-term prediction model based on deep learning (DWT_AE_BiLSTM). Firstly, discrete wavelet transform (DWT) is used to denoise the data, then an autoencoder (AE) technology is used to extract the data features, and finally, bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) is used for prediction. To verify the effectiveness of the proposed DWT_AE_BiLSTM model, we studied three different power stations and compared their performance with the shallow neural network model. Experimental analysis shows that this model is more competitive in forecasting accuracy and stability. Compared with the BP model, the proposed model has increased by 3.86%, 3.22% and 3.42% in three wind farms, respectively.

Accurate river flow forecasting is vital for flood warning and water resource management, yet hourly-scale prediction in small catchments remains underexplored despite its importance for rapid response flood control. To address this gap, this study proposes an enhanced temporal attention module xLSTM (TAM-xLSTM) model that combines temporal feature extraction with timestep-level attention to better capture dynamic variations and dependencies. Case studies in the Qiandongnan region demonstrate that TAM-xLSTM substantially outperforms baseline models during wet season forecasting at Panghai Station, reducing RMSE by 9.6%, MAE by 24.1%, and Theil’s U by 6.6%, while increasing NSE by 4.8%. These results highlight the model’s ability to improve short-term river flow prediction in complex mountainous terrain and its potential to support effective flood warning and water resource management.

This study assesses the predictive capabilities of the CMA-GD model for wind speed prediction in two wind farms located in Hubei Province, China. The observed wind speeds at the height of 70m in wind turbines of two wind farms in Suizhou serve as the actual observation data for comparison and testing. At the same time, the wind speed predicted by the EC model is also included for comparative analysis. The results indicate that the CMA-GD model performs better than the EC model in Wind Farm A. The CMA-GD model exhibits a monthly average correlation coefficient of 0.56, root mean square error of 2.72 m s^–1, and average absolute error of 2.11 m s^–1. In contrast, the EC model shows a monthly average correlation coefficient of 0.51, root mean square error of 2.83 m s^–1, and average absolute error of 2.21 m s^–1. Conversely, in Wind Farm B, the EC model outperforms the CMA-GD model. The CMA-GD model achieves a monthly average correlation coefficient of 0.55, root mean square error of 2.61 m s^–1, and average absolute error of 2.13 m s^–1. By contrast, the EC model displays a monthly average correlation coefficient of 0.63, root mean square error of 2.04 m s^–1, and average absolute error of 1.67 m s^–1.

ERA5 100 m wind speed provides long-term and spatially continuous information for regional wind-resource assessment, but its grid-scale representation may introduce terrain- and wind-regime-dependent biases in complex terrain. This study evaluated ERA5 using 459,630 valid hourly observation–reanalysis pairs from 64 wind masts and developed a segmented residual-correction framework incorporating wind-regime, terrain, location, and temporal predictors. Three statistical correction methods and four tree-based models were compared under identical training and validation samples. The main analysis used a stratified random holdout, supplemented by chronological and tower-level spatial holdouts and repeated high-wind experiments. In the random validation subset, raw ERA5 yielded R = 0.669, R² = 0.307, RMSE = 2.261 m s⁻¹, MAE = 1.664 m s⁻¹, and ME = −0.904 m s⁻¹. Random forest achieved the best paired hourly performance, increasing R to 0.850 and reducing RMSE and MAE to 1.433 and 1.078 m s⁻¹, respectively. Its RMSE reductions remained positive but decreased to 14.15% and 14.47% under chronological and spatial holdouts. Terrain relief was strongly associated with tower-level raw ERA5 errors, although its controlled inclusion produced only a modest additional RMSE reduction of approximately 0.7%. Pooling the >9 m s⁻¹ training tail improved high-wind stability and outperformed a separately trained >12 m s⁻¹ model in 17 of 20 experiments. Random forest was preferable for paired hourly reconstruction, whereas quantile mapping more closely reproduced pooled theoretical wind-energy indicators. These results show that ERA5 bias correction should be selected according to the intended application and evaluated using complementary temporal, spatial, distributional, and high-wind diagnostics.

Mountain photovoltaic (PV) stations are increasingly deployed in complex terrain, where generation is jointly controlled by solar-resource variability, near-surface meteorology, and local topography. However, the quantitative contribution of topographic factors to regional-scale PV generation remains insufficiently evaluated, and many prediction studies rely on single-station or short-term records. In this study, monthly measured generation from 118 standardized village-level mountain PV stations in Badong County, western Hubei Province, China (2019–2021), was integrated with Solargis Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI)-related solar-resource data, high-resolution gridded meteorological data, a 25 m digital elevation model, seasonal-cycle variables, and historical-generation features. After seasonally grouped median-absolute-deviation (MAD) outlier screening, GIS-based spatial matching, terrain extraction, and viewshed-derived shading analysis, regression models and climatology baselines were compared under both chronological validation and station-exclusion spatial cross-validation. Under the strict chronological validation, CatBoost achieved the best temporal performance among the tested models (R² = 0.3119, MAE = 2719.7 kWh, RMSE = 3245.6 kWh), slightly outperforming the monthly climatology baseline. In the station-exclusion spatial cross-validation, XGBoost achieved the highest mean R² (0.8659), indicating good spatial transferability to unseen stations. Correlation and partial-correlation analyses showed that the temperature-related variable group and monthly radiation were the dominant meteorological controls, whereas elevation, slope, and terrain shading showed weak direct correlations with monthly generation for already-sited stations. Annual 90% prediction intervals were further estimated using residual bootstrapping, with an empirical coverage of 94.9%. The proposed framework provides a practical basis for monthly generation forecasting and operational assessment of already-built distributed PV stations in mountainous regions, while its application to greenfield site selection requires additional site engineering and near-field obstruction information.

Quantitative evaluation of artificial precipitation enhancement effects remains a critical challenge in meteorological science. Traditional methods rely on idealized assumptions and control area selection, with limited applicability under complex terrain conditions. To address this problem, this paper proposes physics‐informed simple video prediction (SimVP) (PiSim), a hybrid physics‐informed disentangled framework designed to disentangle precipitation evolution. By employing the advection–diffusion equation (ADE) as an inductive bias within the latent space, we transform spatial comparative evaluation into a precise spatiotemporal sequence prediction task. The method adopts a dual‐branch architecture: The physics branch explicitly models deterministic macroscopic motion (advection and diffusion), whereas the data‐driven branch learns complex nonlinear residuals, effectively compensating for microphysical processes and local variations. Experimental results on the Hubei Province Swan radar dataset demonstrate that PiSim achieves a 5.5% improvement in MSE compared to the SimVP baseline, with pronounced advantages in heavy precipitation forecasting. Evaluation of 10 typical artificial precipitation enhancement operations shows hourly net rainfall increments ranging from 0.16 to 4.60 mm, which are highly consistent with historical records, validating the method’s effectiveness.