Background/Objectives: Gliomas are complex and heterogeneous brain tumors characterized by an unfavorable clinical course and a fatal prognosis, which can be improved by an early determination of tumor kind. Here, we developed explainable machine learning (ML) models for classifying three major glioma subtypes (astrocytoma, oligodendroglioma, and glioblastoma) and predicting survival rates based on RNA-seq data. Methods: We analyzed publicly available datasets and applied feature selection techniques to identify key biomarkers. Using various ML models, we performed classification and survival analysis to develop robust predictive models. The best-performing models were then interpreted using Shapley additive explanations (SHAP). Results: Thirteen key genes (TERT, NOX4, MMP9, TRIM67, ZDHHC18, HDAC1, TUBB6, ADM, NOG, CHEK2, KCNJ11, KCNIP2, and VEGFA) proved to be closely associated with glioma subtypes as well as survival. Support Vector Machine (SVM) turned out to be the optimal classification model with the balanced accuracy of 0.816 and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.896 for the test datasets. The Case-Control Cox regression model (CoxCC) proved best for predicting survival with the Harrell’s C-index of 0.809 and 0.8 for the test datasets. Using SHAP we revealed the gene expression influence on the outputs of both models, thus enhancing the transparency of the prediction generation process. Conclusions: The results indicated that the developed models could serve as a valuable practical tool for clinicians, assisting them in diagnosing and determining optimal treatment strategies for patients with glioma.
Background: Approximately half of prostate cancer (PCa) patients present with low- or intermediate-risk disease eligible for active surveillance (AS). However, a substantial proportion of individuals experience pathological progression during follow-up. In this study, we developed predictive models for histopathological PCa progression in patients on AS. Methods: The dataset comprised patients with biopsy-confirmed PCa and a minimum follow-up of two years. All patients underwent regular surveillance, including prostate-specific antigen (PSA) measurements and MRI examinations. Each patient had three to six consecutive MRI scans available for analysis. Histopathological progression was defined as an upgrade to a higher grade group on repeat targeted biopsy. Predictive modeling integrated radiomic and clinical variables using machine learning (ML). SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) was used for feature interpretation. Results: Three models were obtained: (1) a baseline model utilizing radiomic features from initial MRI scans combined with baseline PSA density (PSAd) (AUC = 0.793, sensitivity = 0.690, specificity = 0.830); (2) a delta model incorporating feature changes between latest and baseline available MRI scans with final PSAd (AUC = 0.913, sensitivity = 0.793, specificity = 0.936); and (3) a time series model analyzing the complete series of radiomic features and PSAd (AUC = 0.917, sensitivity = 0.828, specificity = 0.894). Conclusions: Our predictive models demonstrated strong performance in distinguishing progressors from non-progressors, suggesting that radiomic analysis combined with ML has significant potential to enhance PCa management. This approach could enable more personalized treatment strategies and improve clinical decision-making for patients undergoing AS.
Gliomas are notoriously difficult to treat owing to their pronounced heterogeneity and highly variable treatment responses. This reality drives the development of precise diagnostic and prognostic methods. This review explores the modern arsenal of bioinformatic tools aimed at refining diagnosis and stratifying glioma patients by different malignancy grades and types. We perform a comparative analysis of software solutions for processing whole-exome sequencing data, analyzing DNA methylation profiles, and interpreting transcriptomic data, highlighting their key advantages and limited applicability in routine clinical practice. Special emphasis is placed on the contribution of bioinformatics to fundamental oncology, as these tools aid in the discovery of new biomarker genes and potential targets for targeted therapy. The ninth section discusses the role of computational models in predicting immunotherapy efficacy. It demonstrates how integrative data analysis—including tumor mutational burden assessment, characterization of the tumor immune microenvironment, and neoantigen identification—can help identify patients who are most likely to respond to immune checkpoint inhibitors and other immunotherapeutic approaches. The obtained data provide compelling justification for including immunotherapy in standard glioma treatment protocols, provided that candidates are accurately selected based on comprehensive bioinformatic analysis. The tools discussed pave the way for transitioning from an empirical to a personalized approach in glioma patient management. However, we also note that this field remains largely in the preclinical research stage and has not yet revolutionized clinical practice. This review is intended for biological scientists and clinicians who find traditional bioinformatic tools difficult to use.
14 August 2026 in The European Physical Journal Special Topics