Marine heatwaves (MHWs) are extreme events characterized by abnormally high sea surface temperatures, and they have significant impacts on marine ecosystems and human society. The rapid and accurate forecasting of MHWs is crucial for preventing and responding to the impacts they can lead to. However, the research on relevant forecasting methods is limited, and a dedicated forecasting system specifically tailored for the South China Sea (SCS) region has yet to be reported. This study proposes a novel forecasting system utilizing U-Net and ConvLSTM models to predict MHWs in the SCS. Specifically, the U-Net model is used to forecast the intensity of MHWs, while the ConvLSTM model is employed to predict the probability of their occurrence. The indication of an MHW relies on both the intensity forecasted by the U-Net model exceeding threshold T and the occurrence probability predicted by the ConvLSTM model surpassing threshold P. Incorporating sensitivity analysis, optimal thresholds for T are determined as 0.9 °C, 0.8 °C, 1.0 °C, and 1.0 °C for 1-, 3-, 5-, and 7-day forecast lead times, respectively. Similarly, optimal thresholds for P are identified as 0.29, 0.30, 0.20, and 0.28. Employing these thresholds yields the highest forecast accuracy rates of 0.92, 0.89, 0.88, and 0.87 for the corresponding forecast lead times. This innovative approach gives better predictions of MHWs in the SCS, providing invaluable reference information for marine management authorities to make well-informed decisions and issue timely MHW warnings.

Turbulent motions in the thin ocean surface boundary layer control exchanges of momentum, heat and trace gases between the atmosphere and ocean. However, present parametric equations of turbulent motions that are applied to global climate models result in systematic or substantial errors in the ocean surface boundary layer. Significant mixing caused by surface wave processes is missed in most parametric equations. A Large Eddy Simulation model is applied to investigate the wave-induced mixed layer structure. In the wave-averaged equations, wave effects are calculated as Stokes forces and breaking waves. To examine the effects of wave parameters on mixing, a series of wave conditions with varying wavelengths and heights are used to drive the model, resulting in a variety of Langmuir turbulence and wave breaking outcomes. These experiments suggest that wave-induced mixing is more sensitive to wave heights than to the wavelength. A series of numerical experiments with different wind intensities-induced Stokes drifts are also conducted to investigate wave-induced mixing. As the wind speed increases, the influence depth of Langmuir circulation deepens. Additionally, it is observed that breaking waves could destroy Langmuir cells mainly at the sea surface, rather than at deeper layers.

The increasingly severe issue of marine debris presents a critical threat to the sustainable development of marine ecosystems. Real-time detection is essential for timely intervention and cleanup. Furthermore, the density of marine debris exhibits significant depth-dependent variation, resulting in degraded detection accuracy. Based on 9625 publicly available underwater images spanning various depths, this study proposes UTNet, a lightweight neural model, to improve the effectiveness of real-time intelligent identification of marine debris through multidimensional optimization. Compared to Faster R-CNN, SSD, and YOLOv5/v8/v11/v12, the UTNet model demonstrates enhanced performance in random image detection, achieving maximum improvements of 3.5% in mAP50 and 9.3% in mAP50-95, while maintaining reduced parameter count and low computational complexity. The UTNet model is further evaluated on underwater videos for real-time debris recognition at varying depths to validate its capability. Results show that the UTNet model exhibits a consistently increasing trend in confidence levels across different depths as detection distance decreases, with peak values of 0.901 at the surface and 0.764 at deep-sea levels. In contrast, the other six models display greater performance fluctuations and fail to maintain detection stability, particularly at intermediate and deep depths, with evident false positives and missed detections. In summary, the lightweight UTNet model developed in this study achieves high detection accuracy and computational efficiency, enabling real-time, high-precision detection of marine debris at varying depths and ultimately benefiting mitigation and cleanup efforts.

The Yellow Sea is an important offshore area in China, and the accurate prediction of its seawater temperature is of great significance for marine environmental monitoring and climate adaptation management. However, existing research on predicting the three-dimensional (3D) temperature field in the Yellow Sea is scarce and insufficiently accurate. This study proposes a TCN-U-Net++ fusion model to reconstruct the Yellow Sea temperature field using remote sensing satellite data and SODA reanalysis data, while considering the influence of a series of factors, including wind (USSW and VSSW), absolute bathymetric data (BAT), sea surface height anomaly (SSHA), latitude (LAT), longitude (LON), solar radiation (SR), surface runoff (SRO), and precipitation (P). The results show that the model can accurately capture the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of the temperature field in the Yellow Sea. The results indicate that the deviations from SODA are generally within 2 °C, with errors being approximately 45% lower than those of other models, while the prediction errors relative to Argo and voyage observations are mostly within 1 °C, further demonstrating the accuracy and robustness of the proposed model. In addition, the predictions of the Yellow Sea Cold Water Mass (CWM) are highly consistent with SODA in terms of their evolution and key characteristic parameters. Specifically, the maximum deviation in core temperature is only 0.3 °C, and the difference in its spatial extent is less than 1%. The results demonstrate that TCN-U-Net++ effectively enhances the accuracy of 3D sea temperature prediction in the Yellow Sea, providing technical support for temperature monitoring, ecological early warning, and climate change research.