Under the combined influence of global climate change and intensified human activities, ecosystem services (ESs) are undergoing substantial transformations. Identifying their nonlinear driving mechanisms is crucial for promoting regional sustainable development. Taking Anhui Province as a case study, this research evaluates the spatial patterns and temporal dynamics of six key ecosystem services from 2000 to 2020—namely, biodiversity maintenance (BM), carbon fixation (CF), crop production (CP), net primary productivity (NPP), soil retention (SR), and water yield (WY). The InVEST and CASA models were employed to quantify service values, and the XGBoost–SHAP framework was used to reveal the nonlinear response paths and threshold effects of dominant drivers. Results show a distinct “high in the south, low in the north” spatial gradient of ES across Anhui. Regulatory services such as BM, NPP, and WY are concentrated in the southern mountainous areas (high-value zones > 0.7), while CP is prominent in the northern and central agricultural zones (>0.8), indicating a clear spatial complementarity of service types. Over the two-decade period, areas with significant increases in NPP and CP accounted for 50% and 64%, respectively, suggesting notable achievements in ecological restoration and agricultural modernization. CF remained stable across 98.3% of the region, while SR and WY exhibited strong sensitivity to topography and precipitation. Temporal trend analysis indicated that NPP rose from 395.83 in 2000 to 537.59 in 2020; SR increased from 150.02 to 243.28; and CP rose from 203.18 to 283.78, reflecting an overall enhancement in ecosystem productivity and regulatory functions. Driver analysis identified precipitation (PRE) as the most influential factor for most services, while elevation (DEM) was particularly important for CF and NPP. Temperature (TEM) and potential evapotranspiration (PET) affected biomass formation and hydrothermal balance. SHAP analysis revealed key threshold effects, such as the peak positive contribution of PRE to NPP occurring near 1247 mm, and the optimal temperature for BM at approximately 15.5 °C. The human footprint index (HFI) exerted negative impacts on both BM and NPP, highlighting the suppressive effect of intensive anthropogenic disturbances on ecosystem functioning. Anhui’s ES exhibit a trend of multifunctional synergy, governed by the nonlinear coupling of climatic, hydrological, topographic, and anthropogenic drivers. This study provides both a modeling toolkit and quantitative evidence to support ecosystem restoration and service optimization in similar transitional regions.

Water conservation services are key indicators of ecological services. Against the backdrop of frequent extreme weather events and water scarcity caused by global climate change and intensified human activities, assessing these services and their drivers are crucial tasks for regional ecological security and sustainable development. Jiangxi Province is one of the first national ecological civilization pilot zones in China, representing an important ecological barrier in southern China. Exploring the characteristics of spatial and temporal changes in water conservation and their driving factors can facilitate the rational development and utilization of regional water resources and the construction of ecological civilizations. Therefore, based on long time series data, the InVEST model was used to explore the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of water conservation services, and to elucidate the trend of their change through the Theil–Sen median trend analysis and the Mann–Kendall test; then, the geographic detector and geographically weighted regression model were used to further analyze the drivers of spatial variability of water conservation services. The results showed the following: (1) The average depth of water conservation was 103.18 mm, showing a spatial pattern of “low in the middle, high in the surroundings, high in the north and low in the south”. (2) Slight improvements were primarily observed (77.49%), with only 1.60% of the area showing significant improvements. (3) Land use was the main driver of the spatial differentiation, and the interaction between precipitation and forestland had a significantly greater effect on spatial heterogeneity than any single factor. (4) Obvious spatial heterogeneity occurred in the driving factor impacts, with natural factors (precipitation, evapotranspiration, forestland, and grassland) having a positive impact on water conservation services, and land-use factors (construction land and cropland) and socioeconomic factors (population density and land area) having a negative effect. This study provides a reference for water-conservation-based ecosystem construction and policy formulation in Jiangxi Province.

Introduction: The rapid development of urbanization has brought about changes in residents’ living environment and behavior, leading to health challenges such as hypertension. An improvement in the built-up environment in the community could contribute to the construction of a healthy city, promote the active life of the residents, and prevent and relieve hypertension. However, there is little research on the relationship between the built environment of the community and hypertension. This cross-sectional study aims to evaluate the relationship between communities’ built environment, health behavior, and hypertension grade of residents in Yuhui District of Bengbu City.Methods: This study is based on data from the 2022 Health Survey of Residents in 21 communities. To investigate the impact of the community’s built environment on residents’ hypertension and the underlying mechanisms, regression and structural equation modeling were employed.Results and discussion: The results show that the built environment of urban communities has a significant impact on the residents’ hypertension. The presence of high densities of supermarkets, convenience stores, parks and plazas, but low densities of clinics and hospitals, has been identified as a significant risk factor for the development of high blood pressure among the residents. Nevertheless, the adoption of healthy behaviors, including regular walking, physical activity, and a diet rich in fruit and vegetables, can play an important role in reducing the risk of hypertension. The findings of this study show that enhancements to the built environment in urban neighborhoods could contribute to a reduction in the prevalence of hypertension among residents. Furthermore, the implementation of efficacious health interventions in urban settings would facilitate the alteration of residents’ health behaviors and enhance their overall health status.

This study, taking Anhui Province as a case study, systematically evaluated the spatiotemporal differentiation characteristics of six ecosystem services (biodiversity maintenance, water yield, carbon fixation, vegetation net primary productivity (NPP), soil retention, and crop production) from 2000 to 2020 through the integration of multi-stakeholder decision-making preferences and the Marxan model. Four conservation scenarios (ecological security priority, social benefit orientation, minimum cost constraint, and balance synergy) were established to explore the spatial optimization pathways of ecological protection zones under differentiated policy objectives. The findings indicated that: (1) The ecosystem services in Anhui Province exhibited a “low north and high south” spatial gradient, with significant synergies observed in natural ecosystem services in the southern Anhui mountainous areas, while the northern Anhui agricultural areas were subjected to significant trade-offs due to intensive development. (2) High service provision in the southern Anhui mountainous areas was maintained by topographic barriers and forest protection policies (significant NPP improvement zones accounted for 50.125%), whereas soil–water services degradation in the northern Anhui plains was caused by agricultural intensification and groundwater overexploitation (slight soil retention degradation covered 24.505%, and water yield degradation areas reached 29.766%). Urbanization demonstrated a double-edged sword effect—the expansion of the Hefei metropolitan area triggered suburban biodiversity degradation (significant degradation patches occupied 0.0758%), while ecological restoration projects promoted mountain NPP growth, highlighting the necessity of synergizing natural recovery and artificial interventions. (3) Multi-scenario planning revealed that the spatial congruence between the ecological security priority scenario and traditional ecological protection redlines reached 46.57%, whereas the social benefit scenario achieved only 12.13%, exposing the inadequate responsiveness of the current conservation framework to service demands in densely populated areas. This research validated the technical superiority of multi-objective systematic planning in reconciling ecological protection and development conflicts, providing scientific support for optimizing ecological security patterns in the Yangtze River Delta region.

Rapid urban expansion and the growing spatial requirements of utility-scale photovoltaic (PV) deployment compete for the same category of land—flat, accessible, and high-insolation terrain—yet the scale, trajectory, and planning-sensitivity of this conflict remain poorly characterised at the regional level. This study quantifies the spatiotemporal competition between urban construction land and PV-suitable land in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) from 2000 to 2020 and projects its evolution to 2030 under three development scenarios. Built-up areas were extracted for three epochs using a Random Forest (RF) classifier on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform, achieving overall accuracies of 87.7–94.5% and Kappa coefficients of 0.718–0.739. PV site suitability was evaluated through a hybrid Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) framework combining Boolean exclusion constraints with an Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP)-based Weighted Linear Combination model; the weight structure was validated by a Consistency Ratio of 0.006, and a One-At-a-Time sensitivity analysis confirmed spatial robustness across threshold scenarios. Spatial overlay analysis reveals that the cumulative area of PV-suitable land occupied by urban built-up uses grew from 15,862 km² in 2000 to 23,872 km² in 2020, representing an incremental loss of 8010 km² over two decades. Future conflict was projected using the PLUS model, calibrated on 2010–2020 observed expansion and validated against the 2020 classified map (OA = 93.99%, Kappa = 0.91). Under the Business-as-Usual (BAU) scenario, 33,368 km² of currently open PV-suitable land faces urban encroachment by 2030; the Ecological Conservation Priority (ECP) scenario reduces this figure to approximately 30,767 km², while the Economic Development (ED) scenario yields a near-identical outcome to BAU, indicating that development velocity alone does not determine the spatial extent of conflict—the allocation of growth does. These findings provide a quantitative basis for designating energy-strategic reserve zones within national spatial planning frameworks and demonstrate that targeted spatial governance, applied at high-pressure locations, can substantially slow the erosion of the region’s solar energy land base.

Ecosystem services (ESs) are the benefits that humans derive from ecosystems. Clarifying their spatiotemporal changes and driving factors is fundamental to regional ecological security. The Yangtze River Delta (YRD) is one of the most urbanized and human-disturbed regions in China. This study quantified six ecosystem service indicators—net primary productivity (NPP), water yield (WY), sediment retention (SR), habitat quality (HQ, a biodiversity-maintenance index), crop production (CP), and carbon storage (TC)—during 2000–2020, and identified their driving factors, non-linear responses, and apparent thresholds by integrating the Theil–Sen/Mann–Kendall test, XGBoost with SHAP, and structural equation modeling (SEM). NPP, SR, and CP increased significantly, TC decreased (p < 0.001), and WY and HQ showed no significant trend. Slope dominated NPP, SR, CP, and TC, whereas precipitation dominated WY and HQ; spatial block cross-validation R² ranged from 0.68–0.97. Topography (slope, elevation) and climate (precipitation) were the core driving factors, providing a quantitative basis for ecological conservation.