Understanding how staple-crop geography aligns with climate resources is important for food-security planning under climate change. Focusing on rice, winter wheat and maize in China from 2001 to 2020, this study constructed 1 km crop-abundance grids from annual 30 m crop-distribution data and integrated weighted centres of gravity (COGs), Standard Deviational Ellipses (SDEs), effective accumulated temperature and a Climate Resource Matching Index (CRMI) to evaluate crop migration, spatial-form change and matching with thermal, pluvial and radiant resource centres. Results show that rice exhibited the strongest northeastward migration, with a cumulative COG path of 448.9 km, but its CRMI declined markedly, indicating that thermal relaxation did not translate into coordinated multi-resource improvement. Winter wheat remained anchored in the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain, with adjustment mainly occurring through internal concentration and persistent moisture constraints. Maize showed expansion before 2015 followed by partial correction, and its CRMI trough in 2015 was robust under alternative weighting schemes. Overall, China’s staple-crop change represents a differentiated spatial reconfiguration rather than a uniform northward shift. Because these metrics are national-scale, the findings should inform crop zoning as broad spatial signals rather than direct local yield responses.

The black soil region of Northeast China is a key grain-production area where cropland water erosion threatens soil fertility and sustainability. We diagnosed cropland soil loss across six diagnostic years/time slices (2001, 2005, 2010, 2015, 2020, and 2024) using a Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE)-based remote-sensing workflow implemented in Google Earth Engine (GEE). Rainfall erosivity was derived from Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station data (CHIRPS) daily precipitation, soil erodibility from SoilGrids, topography from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission digital elevation model (SRTM DEM), vegetation cover from the Landsat normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), and cropland extent from ESA WorldCover; alternative rainfall sources, cropland masks, and P-factor settings were used for sensitivity analyses. Under the slope-graded P-factor scenario, mean annual soil loss ranged from 1.60 to 3.07 t ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹, and the proportion of cropland exceeding T = 2 t ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹ ranged from 25.2% to 52.9%. Soil loss fluctuated among years because rainfall erosivity and cover-management effects partly counteracted each other. Risk was concentrated in sloping piedmont and hilly cropland, whereas broad plains were dominated by very slight and slight erosion. P-factor parameterization represented the largest structural uncertainty. The workflow provides regional screening evidence for field verification and conservation-practice assessment, rather than direct site-specific engineering prescriptions.

This study examines the spatiotemporal evolution and driving mechanisms of urban expansion in the Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China, from 2013 to 2023. Using Suomi-NPP VIIRS nighttime light (NTL) data, we combine Standard Deviational Ellipse (SDE) analysis, centroid migration, kernel density estimation (KDE), landscape metrics, Local Moran’s I (LISA), and system Generalised Method of Moments (system-GMM) estimation. The results show that the centroid of urban development remained within Binyang County while moving overall toward the southeast with recurrent north–south oscillations. The SDE results indicate a stable northeast–southwest orientation, with secondary expansion in other directions. The urban structure is dominated by a strong Nanning core, accompanied by secondary clusters in Liuzhou, Guilin, and other prefecture-level cities. Nanning recorded the largest absolute expansion, followed by secondary centres, including Liuzhou, Guilin, Yulin, Wuzhou, Fangchenggang, Qinzhou, and Beihai, whereas western and northern Guangxi expanded more slowly. The system-GMM results indicate that financial deepening has a marginally significant positive effect on built-up area expansion and fiscal pressure has a marginally significant constraining effect, both at the 10% level; land finance dependency does not emerge as an independent driver in this small panel. We interpret these findings through a Source–Channel–Valve framework, in which financial deepening provides the capital source, land finance represents a hypothesised institutional channel, and fiscal pressure acts as a regulatory constraint. The study provides empirical evidence for sustainable and regionally coordinated urban development in Guangxi and comparable geographically constrained regions.