Understanding how ecological quality and human activity co-evolve in densely populated watersheds is essential for sustainable land management, yet spatially explicit long-term evidence remains limited. This study investigated the spatiotemporal dynamics and coupling coordination between ecological quality and multi-dimensional human activity intensity in the Huai River Basin (approximately 269,000 km2) from 2012 to 2024. An Improved Remote Sensing Ecological Index (IRSEI) was constructed by integrating EVI, wetness, dryness, land surface temperature, and a salinity index through annual principal component analysis. A composite Human Activity Intensity (HAI) index combining nighttime light, built-up intensity, and population density was derived with objectively determined weights. The coupling coordination degree (CCD) model and a pixel-level four-quadrant classification were then applied to characterize the human–environment interaction. Results showed that the basin-wide mean IRSEI declined from 0.564 in 2012 to 0.516 in 2020, before recovering to 0.566 in 2024, while HAI increased moderately by 16.9%. CCD improved slightly from 0.451 to 0.480, indicating limited but positive coordination gains. Four-quadrant transitions revealed that high-ecology, low-activity areas expanded, low-ecology, low-activity areas contracted, whereas low-ecology, high-activity zones persisted as stable pressure cores. These findings demonstrate that ecological recovery and human activity intensification can coexist spatially, but persistent high-pressure areas require targeted management interventions.
Understanding how staple-crop geography aligns with climate resources is important for food-security planning under climate change. Focusing on rice, winter wheat and maize in China from 2001 to 2020, this study constructed 1 km crop-abundance grids from annual 30 m crop-distribution data and integrated weighted centres of gravity (COGs), Standard Deviational Ellipses (SDEs), effective accumulated temperature and a Climate Resource Matching Index (CRMI) to evaluate crop migration, spatial-form change and matching with thermal, pluvial and radiant resource centres. Results show that rice exhibited the strongest northeastward migration, with a cumulative COG path of 448.9 km, but its CRMI declined markedly, indicating that thermal relaxation did not translate into coordinated multi-resource improvement. Winter wheat remained anchored in the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain, with adjustment mainly occurring through internal concentration and persistent moisture constraints. Maize showed expansion before 2015 followed by partial correction, and its CRMI trough in 2015 was robust under alternative weighting schemes. Overall, China’s staple-crop change represents a differentiated spatial reconfiguration rather than a uniform northward shift. Because these metrics are national-scale, the findings should inform crop zoning as broad spatial signals rather than direct local yield responses.
The black soil region of Northeast China is a key grain-production area where cropland water erosion threatens soil fertility and sustainability. We diagnosed cropland soil loss across six diagnostic years/time slices (2001, 2005, 2010, 2015, 2020, and 2024) using a Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE)-based remote-sensing workflow implemented in Google Earth Engine (GEE). Rainfall erosivity was derived from Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station data (CHIRPS) daily precipitation, soil erodibility from SoilGrids, topography from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission digital elevation model (SRTM DEM), vegetation cover from the Landsat normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), and cropland extent from ESA WorldCover; alternative rainfall sources, cropland masks, and P-factor settings were used for sensitivity analyses. Under the slope-graded P-factor scenario, mean annual soil loss ranged from 1.60 to 3.07 t ha−1 yr−1, and the proportion of cropland exceeding T = 2 t ha−1 yr−1 ranged from 25.2% to 52.9%. Soil loss fluctuated among years because rainfall erosivity and cover-management effects partly counteracted each other. Risk was concentrated in sloping piedmont and hilly cropland, whereas broad plains were dominated by very slight and slight erosion. P-factor parameterization represented the largest structural uncertainty. The workflow provides regional screening evidence for field verification and conservation-practice assessment, rather than direct site-specific engineering prescriptions.
Composite environmental risks accumulate unevenly along urban–rural gradients, yet the conditional and nonlinear interaction between built environment quality (BEQ) and urban–rural functional connectivity (URFC) remains poorly quantified at fine resolution. This study aims to determine whether, and under what conditions, BEQ moderates the relationship between URFC and a population-weighted composite risk index (CRI), and to translate the result into spatia targeted green-infrastructure priorities. We use 744,714 grid cells at 100 m resolution over Guangzhou, China. The framework couples entropy-weighted BEQ from satellite and street-view imagery, gravity-model URFC computed on the real road network, and a two-stage population-weighted CRI of heat and air hazards. We apply nested ordinary least squares with incremental F-tests, spatial-lag and spatial-error models, generalised additive models with B-spline bases, gradient-boosted trees with SHAP interaction values, and Baron–Kenny mediation analysis. The main BEQ × URFC estimates are negative across the parametric and machine-learning specifications. The interaction is, however, small: a spatial-lag model on a 10,000-cell subsample returns β = −5.4 × 10−4, but a scalable generalised-method-of-moments spatial regression on the full grid—where the spatial autoregressive coefficient reaches ρ ≈ 0.99—shows the coefficient to be negative yet not statistically significant, and a five-seed re-estimation confirms that the subsample-based significance is draw-dependent. We therefore interpret the buffering as directionally supported but small and not robustly significant once spatial autocorrelation is fully modelled. The buffering response is nonlinear in the GAM main effects, and BEQ buffers across the entire observed connectivity range rather than switching sign at an interior threshold; URFC functions predominantly as a moderator rather than a mediator. Population-stratified estimation shows that the buffering is exposure-conditional: it is strongest where population exposure is high and weakens or reverses in sparsely populated cells, consistent with the risk = hazard × exposure structure of CRI. Sensitivity tests across values of the distance-decay parameter, 100 entropy perturbations and spatial scales corroborate the buffering direction. The framework provides an evidentiary basis for prioritising green infrastructure in functionally connected, populated but environmentally degraded transition zones.
Accelerated urbanisation and associated land-use conversion are reshaping the composition and functions of terrestrial ecosystems globally. In Southeast Asia, ecological change is increasingly mediated not only by demographic urbanisation but also by urban expansion, peri-urban development, and the conversion of agricultural, coastal, and forest land into built-up surfaces. This study integrates multi-source geographical information from 2014 to 2024 to examine 351 provincial-level units in 11 Southeast Asian nations. To describe the spatial-material dimension of urbanisation and ecological conditions, two indices were created: the Composite Nighttime Light Index (CNLI), used as a proxy for urban expansion and built-up development intensity, and the Improved Remote Sensing Ecological Index (IRSEI), which is tailored to tropical coastal locations. The development of human-environment interactions was measured using the Coupling Coordination Degree (CCD) model. Pathways of synergy and trade-off were found using an incremental four-quadrant framework, and nonlinear causes of spatial differentiation were investigated using Spearman correlation and the Optimal Parameter-based Geographical Detector (OPGD). Uncertainty was addressed through data-quality masking, annual compositing, consistent index-construction rules, and cautious interpretation of CCD and driver results as relative provincial-scale patterns. The regional mean CCD rose from 0.250 to 0.314 during the decade, showing a slow improvement; nevertheless, most places still have low to moderate levels of coordination. There is clear pathway divergence, with 38.7% of locations enduring trade-offs where built-up development happens at the price of ecological quality and 58.4% of regions seeing synergistic improvement. The coupling pattern is primarily driven by built-up area expansion, with multiple factors jointly producing strong nonlinear enhancement effects. Climate conditions and forest disturbance further strengthen these effects. This study extends beyond single-country analyses by situating remote-sensing coupling results within land-use transition, peri-urbanisation, urban–rural linkage, and regional-governance perspectives. It provides quantitative evidence to support differentiated policy strategies in rapidly urbanising places.