Andrey Bril

Dr. Andrey Bril


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

5Years (2022-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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24 December 2022 in Atmosphere
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Journal Article
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Natallia MiatselskayaNatallia Miatselskaya
Natallia Miatselskaya
Gennadii MilinevskyiGennadii Milinevskyi
Gennadii Milinevskyi
ABAndrey Bril
Andrey Bril
ACAnatoli Chaikovsky
Anatoli Chaikovsky
AMAlexander Miskevich
Alexander Miskevich
YYYuliia Yukhymchuk
Yuliia Yukhymchuk
Aerosol optical depth (AOD) is one of the basic characteristics of atmospheric aerosol. A global ground-based network of sun and sky photometers, the Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) provides AOD data with low uncertainty. However, AERONET observations are sparse in space and time. To improve data density, we merged AERONET observations with a GEOS-Chem chemical transport model prediction using an optimal interpolation (OI) method. According to OI, we estimated AOD as a linear combination of observational data and a model forecast, with weighting coefficients chosen to minimize a mean-square error in the calculation, assuming a negligible error of AERONET AOD observations. To obtain weight coefficients, we used correlations between model errors in different grid points. In contrast with classical OI, where only spatial correlations are considered, we developed the spatial-temporal optimal interpolation (STOI) technique for atmospheric applications with the use of spatial and temporal correlation functions. Using STOI, we obtained estimates of the daily mean AOD distribution over Europe. To validate the results, we compared daily mean AOD estimated by STOI with independent AERONET observations for two months and three sites. Compared with the GEOS-Chem model results, the averaged reduction of the root-mean-square error of the AOD estimate based on the STOI method is about 25%. The study shows that STOI provides a significant improvement in AOD estimates.

20 May 2025 in Atmosphere
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Journal Article
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Natallia MiatselskayaNatallia Miatselskaya
Natallia Miatselskaya
ABAndrey Bril
Andrey Bril
ACAnatoli Chaikovsky
Anatoli Chaikovsky
A common approach to estimating the spatial–temporal distribution of atmospheric species properties is data assimilation. Data assimilation methods provide the best estimate of the required parameter by combining observations with appropriate prior information (background) that can include the model output, climatology data, or some other first guess. One of the relatively simple and computationally cheap data assimilation methods is optimal interpolation (OI). It estimates a value of interest through a weighted linear combination of observational data and background that is defined only once for the whole time interval of interest. Spatial–temporal OI (STOI) utilizes both spatial and temporal observational error covariance and background error covariance. This allows for filling in not only spatial, but also temporal gaps in observations. We applied STOI to daily mean aerosol optical depth (AOD) observations obtained at the European AERONET (Aerosol Robotic Network) sites with the use of the GEOS-Chem chemical transport model simulations and the AOD climatology data as backgrounds. We found that mean square errors in the estimate when using modeled data are comparable with those when using climatology data. Based on these results, we merged estimates obtained using modeled and climatology data according to their mean square errors. This allows for improving the AOD estimates in areas where observations are limited in space and time.

29 April 2025 in Preprints.org
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Natallia MiatselskayaNatallia Miatselskaya
Natallia Miatselskaya
ABAndrey Bril
Andrey Bril
ACAnatoli Chaikovsky
Anatoli Chaikovsky
A common approach to estimate the spatial-temporal distribution of atmospheric species properties is data assimilation. Data assimilation methods provide the best estimate of the required parameter by combining observations with appropriate prior information (background) that can be model output, climatology, or some other first guess. One of the relatively simple and computationally cheap data assimilation methods is optimal interpolation (OI). It estimates a value of interest through a weighted linear combination of observational data and background that is defined only once for the whole time interval of interest. Spatial-temporal OI (STOI) utilizes both spatial and temporal observational error covariance and background error covariance. This allows for filling in not only spatial, but also temporal gaps in observations. We applied STOI to daily mean aerosol optical depth (AOD) observations obtained at the European AERONET (Aerosol Robotic Network) sites with the use of the GEOS-Chem chemical transport model simulations and the AOD climatology as backgrounds. We found that mean square errors in the estimate when using modeled data are comparable with those when using climatology. Based on these results, we merged estimates obtained using modeled data and climatology according to their mean square errors. This allows improving AOD estimates in areas where observations are limited in space and time.

Verified
Conference Paper
Open access
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Natallia MiatselskayaNatallia Miatselskaya
Natallia Miatselskaya
ABAndrey Bril
Andrey Bril
ACAnatoli Chaikovsky
Anatoli Chaikovsky
AMAlexander Miskevich
Alexander Miskevich
Gennadii MilinevskyiGennadii Milinevskyi
Gennadii Milinevskyi
YYYuliia Yukhymchuk
Yuliia Yukhymchuk
To estimate the spatial and temporal distribution of aerosol optical depth (AOD), we used the optimal interpolation (OI). In OI, observational data and a model forecast are linearly combined according to their relative accuracies. Weight coefficients are chosen to minimize the mean-square error in the estimate. To obtain weight coefficients, correlations between model errors in the different grid points are used. In classical OI, only spatial correlations are considered. We used spatial and temporal correlation functions. To obtain error statistics, we used observations from European stations of ground-based sun photometers, the Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET), and simulations by a chemical transport model GEOS-Chem, assuming a negligible error of AERONET AOD observations. The estimates of the daily mean AOD distribution over Europe are obtained. The reduction of the root-mean-square error of the AOD estimate based on the OI method in comparison with the GEOS-Chem model results is discussed.

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Conference Paper
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AMAleksey Malinka
Aleksey Malinka
ACAnatoli Chaikovsky
Anatoli Chaikovsky
APAlexander Prikhach
Alexander Prikhach
EIEugeny Ilkevich
Eugeny Ilkevich
ABAndrey Bril
Andrey Bril
MKMustafa Fahri Karabulut
Mustafa Fahri Karabulut
We have developed remote ground-based and satellite methods and hardware and software for studying atmospheric aerosols, clouds, and the underlying surface in Eastern and Western Antarctica. The ground-based equipment includes: (1) a CIMEL solar spectrum photometer, which measures the spectrum of solar radiation transmitted and scattered by the atmosphere, (2) a multi-wavelength Raman lidar, which measures the vertical backscatter profile, (3) an albedometer, which measures the spectral albedo of the surface, primarily snow, and (4) a reflectometer, which measures the directional spectral reflectance of snow. The ground-based measurement data were integrated with data from satellite radiometers MODIS or OLCI and the satellite lidar CALIOP. A synergy of the manifold data results in retrieval of various atmosphere and surface characteristics such as the aerosol optical depth, profiles of concentration of the fine and coarse aerosol fractions, spatial distribution of the effective snow grain size, fraction of outcrops, etc.

Verified
Conference Paper
Open access
PDF file
Natallia MiatselskayaNatallia Miatselskaya
Natallia Miatselskaya
ABAndrey Bril
Andrey Bril
ACAnatoli Chaikovsky
Anatoli Chaikovsky
Spatial-temporal optimal interpolation (STOI) is a data assimilation method based on minimizing the error in an estimate. Error correlations can be modeled with analytical functions. We investigated the effect of the form of the error correlation functions on the uncertainty in an estimate. We applied STOI to the estimation of aerosol distribution over Europe using the results of GEOS-Chem chemical transport model simulations and observations from a ground-based radiometric Aerosol Robotic Network. We used exponential functions to model correlation curves. The results show that a ±15–25% change in the argument of the constructed exponential functions has little effect on the mean square error in the estimate in regions where observations are dense. STOI estimates are sensitive to the form of the correlation curves in regions where observations are sparse.