Saurav Dulal

Mr. Saurav Dulal

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

3Years (2024-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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20 December 2024 in IEEE Access
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
SDSaurav Dulal
Saurav Dulal
CZChengwen Zhang
Chengwen Zhang
MOMohammed Olama
Mohammed Olama
QLQIAN LIU
QIAN LIU
NBNarayan Bhusal
Narayan Bhusal
Yilu LiuYilu Liu
Yilu Liu
The transition from conventional to modern power systems is causing an increase in integration of inverter-based resources (IBRs). This generally leads to a decrease in total system inertia, which in-turn increases the system’s rate-of-change-of-frequency (RoCoF) during disturbances. This poses a threat to the frequency stability of the system and may falsely trigger protective devices. To monitor system status and plan for integrating renewable energy sources like photovoltaic, wind, and energy storage systems, a realistic study of inertia estimation and analysis in the United States (US) over the past decade is needed. This paper uses field-measured phasor measurement unit (PMU) data collected throughout the US from 2013 to 2023 via the Frequency Monitoring Network (FNET/GridEye) operated by the University of Tennessee, Knoxville (UTK) and Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL). The collected PMU frequency data is utilized to estimate the system inertia of the three US interconnections: Eastern, Western, and Texas. Various RoCoF time windows are investigated for estimating the inertia of each interconnection by maximizing the correlation coefficient between the measured RoCoF and power mismatch. The resulting inertia trends over the past decade show approximately a 6% decline in inertia in the Eastern interconnection, a 15% decline in inertia in the Western interconnection, and a 16% increase in inertia in Texas. Key insights into how inertia is changing amidst the complex energy landscape are extracted using the fuel mix trend data. This provides valuable information for future energy strategies and planning.

3 January 2026 in Applied Energy
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
SDSaurav Dulal
Saurav Dulal
MOMohammed Olama
Mohammed Olama
NTNaga Lakshmi Thotakura
Naga Lakshmi Thotakura
Yilu LiuYilu Liu
Yilu Liu

18 April 2026 in Electronics
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
DPDhiraj Pokhrel
Dhiraj Pokhrel
SDSaurav Dulal
Saurav Dulal
GLGuodong Liu
Guodong Liu
This paper proposes a deep-learning-based scheduling approach for community microgrids that explicitly accounts for building thermal dynamics and customer comfort preferences. Traditional heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning (HVAC) scheduling models are NP-hard and scale poorly, especially for large systems with many buildings. To address this challenge, we develop a dual-encoder deep learning model that predicts building-level HVAC ON/OFF schedules using temporal load and temperature profiles, along with static building thermal parameters. The proposed model is trained in a supervised manner using solutions generated by an optimization-based HVAC scheduling framework, thereby serving as a computationally efficient surrogate for predicting HVAC schedules within a microgrid. The model is trained on samples generated by the optimization-based HVAC scheduling framework and evaluated using precision, recall, and F1-score. The results indicate strong predictive performance.

2 April 2026 in International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
SDSaurav Dulal
Saurav Dulal
MOMohammed Olama
Mohammed Olama
NSNils Stenvig
Nils Stenvig
Ali Riza EktiAli Riza Ekti
Ali Riza Ekti
Yilu LiuYilu Liu
Yilu Liu

26 November 2025 in arXiv
Verified
Preprint
Open access
PDF file
SDSaurav Dulal
Saurav Dulal
MOMohammed Olama
Mohammed Olama
Ali Riza EktiAli Riza Ekti
Ali Riza Ekti
NSNils Stenvig
Nils Stenvig
Yilu LiuYilu Liu
Yilu Liu
The shift from synchronous generators to inverter-based resources has caused power system inertia to be unevenly distributed across power grids. As a result, certain grid regions are more vulnerable to high rate-of-change of frequency (RoCoF) during disturbances. This paper presents a measurement-based framework for estimating grid inertia in CAISO (California Independent System Operator) region using real disturbance-driven frequency data from the Frequency Monitoring Network (FNET/GridEye). By analyzing confirmed disturbances from 2013 to 2024, we identify trends in regional inertia and frequency dynamics, highlighting their relationship with renewable generation and the evolving duck curve. Regional RoCoF values were up to six times higher than interconnection-wide values, coinciding with declining inertia. Recent recovery in inertia is attributed to the increased deployment of battery energy storage systems with synthetic inertia capabilities. These findings underscore the importance of regional inertia monitoring, strategic resource planning, and adaptive operational practices to ensure grid reliability amid growing renewable integration.