Oytun TUR

Mr. Oytun TUR

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

2Years (2025-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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30 August 2025 in Applied Sciences
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
AÖAkın Özçift
Akın Özçift
KBKivanc Basaran
Kivanc Basaran
George Cristian LazaroiuGeorge Cristian Lazaroiu
George Cristian Lazaroiu
AKAwsan A. H. Khaled
Awsan A. H. Khaled
KBKasım Alpay Baykal
Kasım Alpay Baykal
OTOytun TUR
Oytun TUR
Modern energy grids, with their regional diversity and complex consumption patterns, require accurate short-term forecasting for operational efficiency and reliability. This study introduces a Stacking Ensemble Forecasting (SEF) framework for multi-region household energy demand, utilizing an optimized stacking ensemble model tuned via Bayesian Optimization to achieve superior predictive accuracy. The framework significantly improved accuracy across Diyarbakır, Istanbul, and Odemis, with a final model demonstrating up to 16.47% RMSE reduction compared to the best baseline models. The final model’s real-world performance was validated through a Simulated Digital Twin (SDT) environment, where scenario-based testing demonstrated its robustness against behavioral changes, data quality issues, and device failures. The proposed SEF-SDT framework offers a generalizable solution for managing diverse regions and consumption profiles, contributing to efficient and sustainable energy management.