ROBERTO ALEJANDRO CABRERA ARIAS

Mr. ROBERTO ALEJANDRO CABRERA ARIAS


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

1Year (2026-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

View All Publications
10 November 2026 in Preprints.org
Verified
Preprint
Open access
PDF file
Carmen Mireya Lapo-PautaCarmen Mireya Lapo-Pauta
Carmen Mireya Lapo-Pauta
F. Javier Martínez-SolanoF. Javier Martínez-Solano
F. Javier Martínez-Solano
RAROBERTO ALEJANDRO CABRERA ARIAS
ROBERTO ALEJANDRO CABRERA ARIAS
Pressurized irrigation networks have improved water use efficiency, but deterministic sizing does not anticipate off-design performance. The pressure reliability index (IF), Todini resilience index (IR), and supplied demand ratio (IQ) were evaluated in two gravity-fed branched networks, Tuncarta (Ecuador) and ARJ-42 (Spain), combining operation (on-demand and rotation), modeling approaches (demand-driven analysis, DDA, and pressure-driven analysis, PDA), and two uncertainty scenarios: stress testing and Monte Carlo simulation. Rotation operation was fully reliable under design conditions but lost reliability at over-demands of 5% (ARJ-42) and 10% (Tuncarta). Under random opening, median reliability was 0.90 in Tuncarta (one-third simultaneity, exceeding the design value) and 1.00 in ARJ-42 (design simultaneity). Under pressure deficits, DDA overestimated delivered flow by up to 45% (Tuncarta) and 83% (ARJ-42) and produced negative resilience values without physical meaning. Both networks exhibited three deterioration zones and, with all hydrants open, supplied 69% and 55% of their reference flow rates. The framework supports design validation and expansion planning.