Runoff forecasting is an essential application in the management of water resources and sustainable development. In practice, there are limitations in the forecast results because of factors such as data unavailability, noise interference, and spatiotemporal variation in multi-site data. To overcome the limitations, this paper proposes a hybrid forecast model based on Autoencoder (AE), Sparsified Dynamic Graph Convolution (SDGC), and Autoformer. The AE cleans noise and sharpens feature representation, the SDGC constructs dynamic adjacency matrices via the Multidimensional Dynamic Time Warping (MDTW) and sparsifies with a parameterized Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) to capture time-varying spatial correlations among stations, and the Autoformer decomposes features to model long-term nonlinear runoff trends through its autocorrelation mechanism. The experiment was carried out in six locations in the southeastern part of Guizhou province during the wet and dry periods and was contrasted with different mainstream models and supplemented with hydrological mechanism consistency analysis. Experimental results show that the hybrid model performs better than all the other models. In the short-term runoff simulation at XingHua Station during the wet season, NSE attains the maximum value of 0.891, with RMSE decreased by 6.5% to 24.1% and MAE by 20.2% to 35.5%. This model provides accurate runoff data to support flood early warning, dry-season water scheduling, and ecological flow protection, offering a reliable tool for sustainable water resource management in complex karst basins.

Stability and sustainability are the operational bottom lines of modern power grids. However, the inherent volatility and non-stationarity of wind energy, particularly in complex terrains, severely threaten power grid stability. To address this challenge, we propose an end-to-end architecture named the Adaptive Multi-scale Routing Wind Power forecasting (AMR-Wind) framework. The framework is principally composed of three sequential modules: an Adaptive Frequency Disentanglement Module (AFDM), an inverted Transformer (iTransformer), and a Scale-Routing Gated Recurrent Unit (SRGRU). The AFDM utilizes a differentiable filter bank to dynamically disentangle complex spectral signatures and mitigate mode mixing. The iTransformer is employed to effectively capture the complex multivariate dependencies between these disentangled modes and exogenous meteorological features. The SRGRU utilizes hierarchical temporal routing to synchronize localized high-frequency ramp events with macroscopic evolutionary trends. Comprehensive evaluations across four diverse wind farms demonstrate that AMR-Wind reduces the RMSE by an average of 8.4% and improves the $R^2$ by at least 1.0% compared to state-of-the-art baselines. Ablation studies further confirm the modules’ strong synergistic effects, yielding a 7.6% reduction in forecasting errors. This framework reduces the error in wind energy prediction, providing a reliable tool for the stability and sustainability of the power grid.