Here, we present a general statistical-mechanical model able to reconstruct the temperature dependence of the thermodynamic properties of non-covalent host–guest inclusion complexes using a set of molecular dynamics simulations along an isobar. Our approach, applied to $\beta$-cyclodextrin in interaction with E- and Z-dimethomorph as well as a bisphenol A derivative, provides a robust description of the in silico data, able to well reproduce the host–guest binding thermodynamics at every temperature.