In the United States, 1 in 5 deaths occurs in the intensive care unit (ICU).
1 Although it is not clear that more aggressive care always results in better outcomes, it is difficult to identify which patients will ultimately benefit from intensive care. Clinicians find it stressful to prognosticate.
2 Although some studies have suggested that physicians can offer reasonable predictions of survival,
3 others disagree, suggesting that clinicians are wrong half the time in predicting who will survive to hospital discharge.
4,5 Substantial variability exists between experienced intensivists in providing prognosis for the same patient.
6 Differences in opinion about appropriateness of care for a perceived prognosis contribute to clinician burnout
7 and may contribute to doubt felt by patients and surrogates.
8 Lack of objective data on prognosis may make shared decision making challenging.