Nurfadhlina binti Abdul Halim

Dr. Nurfadhlina binti Abdul Halim


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

15Years (2012-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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9 November 2022 in Mathematics
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
WAWulan Anggraeni
Wulan Anggraeni
SSSudradjat Supian
Sudradjat Supian
Sukono SukonoSukono Sukono
Sukono Sukono
NHNurfadhlina binti Abdul Halim
Nurfadhlina binti Abdul Halim
Earthquake catastrophe bond pricing models (ECBPMs) employ extreme value theory (EVT) to predict severe losses, although studies on EVT’s use in ECBPMs are still rare. Therefore, this study aimed to use a mini-review approach (MRA) to examine the use of EVT and identify the gaps and weaknesses in the methods or models developed. The MRA stages include planning, search and selection, analysis, and interpretation of the results. The selection results showed five articles regarding the application of EVT in ECBPMs. Furthermore, the analysis found the following: First, the generalized extreme value (GEV) could eliminate extreme data in a period. Second, the trigger model using two parameters is better than one, but the study did not discuss the joint distribution of the two parameters. Third, the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) allows negative values. Fourth, Cox–Ingersoll–Ross (CIR) in-coupon modeling is less effective in depicting the real picture. This is because it has a constant volatility assumption and cannot describe jumps due to monetary policy. Based on these limitations, it is hoped that future studies can develop an ECBPM that reduces the moral hazard.

10 December 2022 in Mathematics
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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Sukono SukonoSukono Sukono
Sukono Sukono
Riza Andrian IbrahimRiza Andrian Ibrahim
Riza Andrian Ibrahim
MSMoch Panji Agung Saputra
Moch Panji Agung Saputra
YHYuyun Hidayat
Yuyun Hidayat
HJHafizan Juahir
Hafizan Juahir
NHNurfadhlina binti Abdul Halim
Nurfadhlina binti Abdul Halim
The issuance of multiple-event catastrophe bonds (MECBs) has the potential to increase in the next few years. This is due to the increasing trend in the frequency of global catastrophes, which makes single-event catastrophe bonds (SECBs) less relevant. However, there are obstacles to issuing MECBs since the pricing framework is still little studied. Therefore, this study aims to develop such a new pricing framework. The model uniquely involves three new variables: the trigger event correlation, interest, and inflation rates. The trigger event correlation rate was accommodated by the involvement of the copula while the interest and inflation rates were simultaneously considered using an integrated autoregressive vector stochastic model. After the model was obtained, the model was simulated on storm catastrophe data in the United States. Finally, the effect of the three variables on MECB prices was also analyzed. The analysis results show that the three variables make MECB prices more fairly than other models. This research is expected to guide special purpose vehicles to set fairer MECB prices and can also be used as a reference for investors in choosing MECBs based on the rates of trigger event correlation and the real interest they can expect.

18 August 2024 in Computation
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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DFDiandra Chika Fransisca
Diandra Chika Fransisca
Sukono SukonoSukono Sukono
Sukono Sukono
DCDiah Chaerani
Diah Chaerani
NHNurfadhlina binti Abdul Halim
Nurfadhlina binti Abdul Halim
Traditional mean-variance (MV) models, considered effective in stable conditions, often prove inadequate in uncertain market scenarios. Therefore, there is a need for more robust and better portfolio optimization methods to handle the fluctuations and uncertainties in asset returns and covariances. This study aims to perform a Systematic Literature Review (SLR) on robust portfolio mean-variance (RPMV) in stock investment utilizing genetic algorithms (GAs). The SLR covered studies from 1995 to 2024, allowing a thorough analysis of the evolution and effectiveness of robust portfolio optimization methods over time. The method used to conduct the SLR followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) guidelines. The result of the SLR presented a novel strategy to combine robust optimization methods and a GA in order to enhance RPMV. The uncertainty parameters, cardinality constraints, optimization constraints, risk-aversion parameters, robust covariance estimators, relative and absolute robustness, and parameters adopted were unable to develop portfolios capable of maintaining performance despite market uncertainties. This led to the inclusion of GAs to solve the complex optimization problems associated with RPMV efficiently, as well as fine-tuning parameters to improve solution accuracy. In three papers, the empirical validation of the results was conducted using historical data from different global capital markets such as Hang Seng (Hong Kong), Data Analysis Expressions (DAX) 100 (Germany), the Financial Times Stock Exchange (FTSE) 100 (U.K.), S&P 100 (USA), Nikkei 225 (Japan), and the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX), and the results showed that the RPMV model optimized with a GA was more stable and provided higher returns compared with traditional MV models. Furthermore, the proposed method effectively mitigated market uncertainties, making it a valuable tool for investors aiming to optimize portfolios under uncertain conditions. The implications of this study relate to handling uncertainty in asset returns, dynamic portfolio parameters, and the effectiveness of GAs in solving portfolio optimization problems under uncertainty, providing near-optimal solutions with relatively lower computational time.

1 January 2014 in Applied Mathematical Sciences
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
WAWan Muhamad Amir W Ahmad
Wan Muhamad Amir W Ahmad
MNMohamad Arif Bin Awang Nawi
Mohamad Arif Bin Awang Nawi
NANor Azlida Aleng
Nor Azlida Aleng
NHNurfadhlina binti Abdul Halim
Nurfadhlina binti Abdul Halim
MMMustafa Mamat
Mustafa Mamat
MPMohd Pouzi
Mohd Pouzi

29 January 2023 in Mathematics
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
WAWulan Anggraeni
Wulan Anggraeni
SSSudradjat Supian
Sudradjat Supian
Sukono SukonoSukono Sukono
Sukono Sukono
NHNurfadhlina binti Abdul Halim
Nurfadhlina binti Abdul Halim
The investor interest in multi-regional earthquake bonds may drop because high-risk locations are less appealing to investors than low-risk ones. Furthermore, a single parameter (earthquake magnitude) cannot accurately express the severity due to an earthquake. Therefore, the aim of this research is to propose valuing a framework for single earthquake bonds (SEB) using a double parameter trigger type, namely magnitude and depth of earthquakes, based on zone division according to seismic information. The zone division stage is divided into two stages. The first stage is to divide the covered area based on regional administrative boundaries and clustering based on the earthquake disaster risk index (EDRI), and the second stage involves clustering based on magnitude and depth of earthquakes and distance between earthquake events using the K-Means and K-Medoids algorithms. The distribution of double parameter triggers is modeled using the Archimedean copula. The result obtained is that the price of SEB based on the clustering result of EDRI categories and K-Means is higher than the price obtained by clustering EDRI categories and K-Medoids with maturities of less than 5 years. The result of this research is expected to assist the Special Purpose Vehicle in determining the price of SEB.

1 January 2017
Verified
Conference Paper
Closed access
ESEndang Soeryana
Endang Soeryana
NHNurfadhlina binti Abdul Halim
Nurfadhlina binti Abdul Halim
Sukono SukonoSukono Sukono
Sukono Sukono
EREndang Rusyaman
Endang Rusyaman
SSSudradjat Supian
Sudradjat Supian
Investments in stocks investors are also faced with the issue of risk, due to daily price of stock also fluctuate. For minimize the level of risk, investors usually forming an investment portfolio. Establishment of a portfolio consisting of several stocks are intended to get the optimal composition of the investment portfolio. This paper discussed about optimizing investment portfolio of Mean-Variance to stocks by using mean and volatility is not constant based on the Negative Exponential Utility Function. Non constant mean analyzed using models Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA), while non constant volatility models are analyzed using the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional heteroscedastic (GARCH). Optimization process is performed by using the Lagrangian multiplier technique. As a numerical illustration, the method is used to analyze some stocks in Indonesia. The expected result is to get the proportion of investment in each stock analyzed