Accurate fog prediction in densely urbanized cities poses a challenge due to the complex influence of urban morphology on meteorological conditions in the urban roughness sublayer. This study implemented a coupled WRF-Urban Asymmetric Convective Model (WRF-UACM) for Delhi, India, integrating explicit urban physics with Sentinel-updated USGS land-use and urban morphological parameters derived from the UT-GLOBUS dataset. When evaluated against the baseline Asymmetric Convective Model (WRF-BACM) using Winter Fog Experiment (WiFEX) data, WRF-UACM significantly improved urban meteorological variables like diurnal variation of 10-meter wind speed, 2-meter air temperature (T2), and 2-meter relative humidity (RH2) on a fog day. UACM also demonstrates improved accuracy in simulating temperature and a significant reduction in biases for RH2 and wind speed under clear sky conditions. UACM reproduced the nighttime urban heat island effect within the city, showing realistic diurnal heating and cooling patterns that are important for accurate fog onset and duration. UACM effectively predicts the onset, evolution, and dissipation of fog, aligning well with observed data and satellite imagery. Compared to WRF-BACM, WRF-UACM reduces the cold bias soon after the sunset, thus improving the fog onset error by ~4 hours. This study underscores the UACM’s potential in enhancing fog prediction, urging further exploration of various fog types and its application in operational settings, thus offering invaluable insights for preventive measures and mitigating disruptions in urban regions.
The Eastern Mediterranean, notably Cyprus, is a climate change hotspot facing severe heatwaves. Accurate numerical weather prediction of these extremes requires precise land–atmosphere modeling and initial and boundary conditions. This study assesses replacing the default USGS Land-Use and Land-Cover (LULC) dataset with the 10 m ESA WorldCover 2021 dataset in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to simulate the 15–29 July 2023 Cyprus heatwave. The updated LULC increased urban representation six-fold. Statistical validations showed significant improvements in 2 m temperature, relative humidity, and 10 m wind speed predictions across 85% of observational sites. Dynamically, it restored urban thermal memory, effectively capturing the daytime Urban Cool Island effect and nocturnal heat release. Furthermore, radiosonde validations showed that the update corrected nocturnal Planetary Boundary Layer Height (PBLH) underestimations and dampened exaggerated daytime convective mixing. However, crucial limitations remain. High-frequency diagnostics indicated the model still suffers from damped thermal inertia, missing the abrupt temperature spikes and rapid nocturnal cooling typical of semi-arid microclimates. Additionally, the updated configuration failed to capture severe atmospheric stagnation during peak heatwave conditions, highlighting that deep-rooted kinetic errors persist within default boundary layer parameterizations despite static surface improvements.