Various global precipitation datasets have been used in precipitation-related fields such as hydrology, meteorology, climatology, and ecology to achieve different research objectives. Error analysis is an integral part before applying them to operational fields. However, the growing number of precipitation products and the absence of comprehensive error comparison research jointly impede users in distinguishing product-specific error patterns and constrain developers from enhancing precipitation estimation accuracy. To address this issue, we performed error analysis and comparison of thirteen global precipitation products—categorized as delayed time (DT), near real-time (NRT), and real-time (RT) types—across mainland China. Results revealed that GSMaP-Gauge (Gauge-adjusted Global Satellite Mapping of Precipitation) performed best in terms of detection indicators, while MGP (Multi-source merged global precipitation product) performed best in estimating precipitation accuracy. However, IMERG-Final (Integrated Multisatellite Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement Final Run) proved ineffective in reducing the overestimations of both storm and light precipitation events in regions of complex topography. Furthermore, two DT products (i.e., ERA5 (Fifth generation of ECMWF atmospheric reanalyses of the global climate) and MGP) overestimated the frequency of light precipitation events, with relative rainfall occurrence biases exceeding 80%. This bias is attributable to both false detections and the misclassification of high intensity rainfall as light precipitation. Although GSMaP-NOW (based exclusively on passive microwave data) detected precipitation more effectively than the infrared-only PDIRNow (Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information Using Artificial Neural Networks (PERSIANN)—Dynamic Infrared Rain Rate (Now)), it achieved lower accuracy. This discrepancy reflects the tradeoff between the higher precipitation sensitivity of passive microwave observations and their sparse temporal sampling, compared with the continuous coverage provided by infrared data. Finally, our findings indicated that current evaluation approaches do not reliably determine the optimal precipitation product, since product superiority is contingent upon the selected error metric. This underscores the urgent need to develop theoretically grounded and operationally reliable methods for selecting optimal precipitation products to support data users in deriving robust and reliable conclusions in hydrology, meteorology, and ecology.

As an important marginal sea in the western Pacific, sea-level changes in the South China Sea not only respond to global warming but are also regulated by regional ocean dynamics and climate modes, exerting profound impacts on the socioeconomic development and engineering safety of coastal regions. To address the widespread issues of low accuracy and robustness in existing sea-level prediction models when handling nonlinear, multi-scale sequences, as well as the complexity of sea-level change mechanisms in the South China Sea, this study constructs a hybrid model combining Singular Spectrum Analysis and Long Short-Term Memory neural networks (SSA-LSTM). The coral skeletal oxygen isotope ratio (δ¹⁸O) used in this study is a key indicator for characterizing the marine environment, defined as the per mille difference in the ¹⁸O/¹⁶O ratio of a sample relative to a standard. Based on coral δ¹⁸O data from the South China Sea, the sea level from 1850 to 2015 is reconstructed. SSA is then applied to decompose the sea-level data into trend and periodic components. The trend component, accounting for 37.03%, and components 2 to 11, containing major periodic information, are extracted to reconstruct the sea-level series. The reconstructed series retains 95.89% of the original information. The trend component is modeled through curve fitting, while the periodic components are modeled using an LSTM neural network. Optimal hyperparameters for the LSTM are determined through parameter sensitivity analysis. An integrated SSA-LSTM model is constructed to predict sea level in the South China Sea, and its predictions are compared with those from a Singular Spectrum Analysis-Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SSA-ARIMA) model. The results indicate that from 1850 to 2015, sea level in the South China Sea exhibits periodic fluctuations with a significant overall upward trend. Specifically, the growth rate from 1921 to 1940 reaches 5.49 mm/yr. Predictions from the SSA-LSTM model are significantly higher than those from the SSA-ARIMA model. The SSA-LSTM model projects that from 2016 to 2035, sea level in the South China Sea will continue to rise at a fluctuating rate of 0.75 mm/yr, with a cumulative rise of approximately 15 mm. This study provides a novel methodology for investigating the mechanisms of sea-level change in the South China Sea and offers a scientific basis for coastal risk management.