Multi-centennial C budgets in forested watersheds require information on forest growth, detritus turnover, and disturbances, as well as the transfer to and fate of terrestrial C in aquatics systems. Here, a sediment gravity core was collected from a drinking water reservoir in Canada, and analyzed for temporal changes in charcoal, magnetic susceptibility, carbon, and nitrogen. These indicators were used to assess disturbance history and terrestrial C sequestration in sediments. During the reservoir development period from 1910 to 2012, charcoal flux and magnetic susceptibility increased ca. 10 years after nearby fire and forest-clearing events associated with reservoir expansion. Total C and δ¹³C gradually declined during the development period, likely due to increased inputs of mineral soil from human activity. Concurrently, total terrestrial C sequestered in sediments, estimated using three or eight marker compounds, ranged between 3557 and 5145 Mg C/100 yrs, accounting for 11%–17% of DOC exports to the reservoir (30,640 Mg C/100 yrs), as estimated from a previously developed terrestrial carbon budget model. In comparison, mixed-severity fires burned around the reservoir during the pre-development period (pre-1910), as evidenced by stand ages and/or increases in charcoal flux. In general, decreased terrestrial C flux was associated with higher-severity fires that burned between 1870 and 1890 and perhaps around 1790. Further, comparisons show that soil erosion was up to 3× greater in the development versus the pre-development period. Overall, this investigation revealed the impact of land use change and fire on watershed carbon budgets and advanced a previously developed pyGC-MS methodology that demonstrated the amount of terrestrial and aquatic C being buried in sediment. It also identified the fraction of terrestrial C that was exported from the forest to the reservoir and sequestered in the sediment, uncommon data that could inform current and future landscape C budget modelling studies in this region.

Surface fire frequently occurs beneath the canopy of North American forests under moderate wind speed and moisture-deficit conditions. Surface rate of spread (sROS) models can provide guidance for suppression operations and can be incorporated into fire growth modelling systems and other tools. We used a database of primarily Canadian experimental surface fires in conifer and deciduous stands from multiple sites to fit empirical sROS models for operational use and compare with pre-existing models. Various predictor combinations represented fires in boreal conifer (BOCON), deciduous, and Ponderosa pine-dominated stands, the latter analyzed to estimate grass-curing influence. The main predictors were wind speed (WS₁₀), estimated fuel moisture, and Canadian Fire Weather Index (FWI) System components (original and stand-adjusted). The ensuing fitted models (N = 51–93) were evaluated using standard metrics and tested using an independent conifer dataset (N = 26). The simplest model finds BOCON sROS to be equal to 1.2% of the WS₁₀, 1/7th the speed of crown fire spread under similar conditions; it is easily calculated as 20% of WS₁₀ using a common unit conversion (WS₁₀ in km h⁻¹, sROS in m min⁻¹). The best-performing sROS models displayed nonlinear-sigmoidal responses to wind and litter moisture variables, including the Initial Spread Index (ISI), and improved upon pre-existing models. Estimated accuracy was mostly +/− 2–4 m min⁻¹ within the range of the data in both training and validation datasets. These models reflect a dataset gathered from multiple sites using varying experimental methods. While imprecise, they are suitable for many applications, including operational forecasting and designing hazard reduction treatments.