Fadoua Boudouma

Dr. Fadoua Boudouma


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

2Years (2025-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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7 December 2025 in Veterinary World
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
FBFadoua Boudouma
Fadoua Boudouma
HHHicham Hajji
Hicham Hajji
MDMariette Ducatez
Mariette Ducatez
OAOumayma ARBANI
Oumayma ARBANI
KAKenza Aitelkadi
Kenza Aitelkadi
Siham FellahiSiham Fellahi
Siham Fellahi
Background and Aim: Highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) remains a global threat to poultry production, trade, and public health. While Morocco has not yet reported confirmed HPAI outbreaks, the endemic circulation of low-pathogenic avian influenza (LPAI) H9N2 since 2016, proximity to affected neighboring countries, and Morocco’s position along migratory bird flyways highlight the country’s vulnerability. This study aimed to identify high-risk areas for HPAI introduction and spread to inform risk-based surveillance and control policies. Materials and Methods: We applied a spatial multi-criteria decision analysis integrated with geographic information systems at the provincial scale. Relevant risk factors were identified through a literature review and expert consultation, and categorized into the introduction (wetlands, live poultry imports, recreational bird imports, and poultry products) and spread (poultry density and type, live bird markets, transport networks, and human population density) domains. Weights were assigned to factors using the analytic hierarchy process based on responses from 73 poultry-sector experts. Data were normalized, integrated into composite risk maps, and validated against historical LPAI H9N2 outbreak data (2016). Sensitivity and uncertainty analyses were used to assess model robustness. Results: The final maps revealed that 25 provinces (33.3% of the national territory) exhibited high-to-very high risk of HPAI introduction, particularly along northern coastal provinces, border regions, and areas linked to recreational bird imports. For spread risk, 41 provinces (41.3%) were classified as high to very high, concentrated in the Casablanca–Settat, Rabat–Salé–Kenitra, Fès–Meknès, and Marrakech–Safi regions, which are characterized by dense poultry production, major trade hubs, and extensive transport networks. Sensitivity analyses confirmed the model's stability, with variations in weight producing a minimal impact on risk classifications. Conclusion: This study provides the first comprehensive spatial risk maps of HPAI introduction and spread in Morocco, highlighting priority provinces for early detection, targeted surveillance, and preventive biosecurity measures. Despite limitations arising from reliance on LPAI data and expert judgment, the approach offers a robust decision-support tool for veterinary authorities. The methodology is adaptable to regional applications and can be refined with real-time surveillance data, enhancing Morocco’s preparedness and resilience against future avian influenza incursions. Keywords: avian influenza, biosecurity, geographic information system, Morocco, multi-criteria decision analysis, risk mapping, surveillance.

24 August 2026 in Veterinary Sciences
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
FBFadoua Boudouma
Fadoua Boudouma
YFYahya Farhi
Yahya Farhi
MDMohammed DEHHAOUI
Mohammed DEHHAOUI
HHHicham Hajji
Hicham Hajji
OAOumayma ARBANI
Oumayma ARBANI
Siham FellahiSiham Fellahi
Siham Fellahi
Background: Highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) poses a critical global threat to both the poultry industry and public health. Although Morocco currently maintains HPAI-free status, the country faces substantial risk due to its location along major migratory flyways and its extensive commercial trade networks within the poultry sector. Available data indicate that the links between live bird markets, production farms, and related facilities in the poultry sector constitute a pivotal determinant of disease epidemiology. This study aimed to analyze these movements and determine how they can influence the spread of the disease and to guide policymakers in developing effective risk-based surveillance and control strategies tailored to the local context.: A questionnaire-based cross-sectional survey was conducted across the Casablanca-Settat region, including nine provinces and 138 municipalities, to investigate the movement patterns within the poultry sector in this region. Social network analysis (SNA) was employed to construct a movement network, and findings were spatially visualized using Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and analyzed through network analysis in R.: A total of 945 transport routes were recorded in 126 municipalities. Centrality measures identified three predominant network nodes exhibiting high degree and betweenness centrality values. Our findings indicate that although the network has a low density, the transmission of IAHP remains critical due to frequent bidirectional links and a heterogeneous network structure. The high concentration of movements by a few “hub” municipalities leads to an early emergence and rapid dissemination.: The identification of highly influential nodes allows veterinary authorities to prioritize and target surveillance activities toward municipalities with the greatest likelihood of disease introduction or persistence. The network’s structural connectivity suggests a theoretical potential for rapid HPAI spread, underscoring the importance of the frequent bidirectional links identified between municipalities. This protects both Morocco’s poultry industry and public health.