We analyzed hydrological responses to changing climate and land use/land cover (LULC) for the past (1985–2020) and future (2021–2080) in the Chemoga watershed of the Upper Blue Nile Basin. The watershed comprises four agroecological environments: Moist Kolla, Moist Weyna Dega, Moist Dega, and Wet Wurch. Past and projected LULC changes under business-as-usual (BAU) and land conservation (LC) scenarios were utilized. Climate projections from 2021 to 2080, under two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5), were downscaled from Global Climate Models. Utilizing the Soil and Water Analysis Tool, we assessed impacts on mean annual surface runoff (SR) and evapotranspiration (ET). Maximum and minimum temperatures increased significantly in the past and future climate scenarios, with a significant rainfall increase observed under SSP5-8.5. Historical trends revealed a 16.6% increase in SR and 7% in ET from 1983–2002 to 2003–2020. Under BAU LULC with the SSP2-4.5 (SSP5-8.5) climate scenario, SR increased by 24% (26.1%) and ET by 3.1% (4.4%) from 2003–2020 to 2021–2050, followed by a subsequent SR rise of 13.7% (14.0%) and ET increase of 6.0% (5.7%) from 2021–2050 to 2051–2080. Conversely, the LC LULC with SSP2-4.5 (SSP5-8.5) resulted in a 5.3% (4.2%) SR decrease and ET increase of 9.7% (11.3%) from 2003–2020 to 2021–2050 and a further SR decrease of 1% (0.7%) and 6.1% (6.9%) ET increase from 2021–2050 to 2051–2080. The Moist Kolla agroecology experienced the highest SR increase due to vegetation clearances for commercial farming. Meanwhile, the LC scenario indicated substantial decreases in SR and marginal increases in ET in the Moist Weyna Dega agroecology due to forest restoration on steep slopes. Overall, SR showed greater sensitivity to LULC changes, while ET was more responsive to climate changes. The results emphasize considering diverse agroecological contexts for effective water resource management under changing climate and LULC scenarios.

Child malnutrition remains a public health challenge in developing countries, but a comprehensive understanding of its burden and its determinants in specific local contexts is generally lacking. This study examined the prevalence of malnutrition and its determinants among children aged <5 years across contrasting agroecosystems in northwest Ethiopia. A community-based cross-sectional study involving 400 respondents was employed. Data were collected through semi-structured questionnaires and anthropometric measurements, complemented with focus group discussions and key informant interviews. The direct and indirect effects of the determinants of malnutrition were examined using structural equation modeling (SEM). The overall prevalence of child malnutrition, measured using the Composite Index of Anthropometric Failure, was 49%, with notable variation across agroecosystems (from 36.1% [midland with red soil] to 59% [lowland and valley fragmented]). Disease experience had significant positive direct effects on malnutrition. Dietary intake had negative and significant total (direct and indirect) effects on malnutrition, partially mediated through disease experience. Serial mediation in SEM analysis revealed significant indirect relationships between malnutrition and food security, feeding and care practices, household environment, health services, maternal diet, maternal empowerment, household wealth, and nutrition-sensitive agricultural practices. In conclusion, child malnutrition was highly prevalent and higher among children in the lowland and valley fragmented agroecosystem, characterized by unfavorable agro-climatic conditions, lower wealth status, poor health services access, and higher disease (particularly malaria) exposure. This study demonstrates the dynamics and multifaceted nature of malnutrition, highlighting the importance of considering geographical differences when planning interventions for childhood malnutrition and its determinants.

Erosion-induced land degradation remains a persistent barrier to agricultural productivity and sustainability for smallholder farmers in Africa, where rapid population growth has intensified land pressure, especially in Ethiopia. Despite the implementation of several sustainable land management (SLM) initiatives, sustaining farmers' motivation and voluntary adoption remain problematic. This study examined the determinants of farmers' intention (INT) to adopt three SLM technologies-compost making, forage planting, and soil bund making-using an extended theory of planned behavior framework. A measurement model incorporating psychological constructs and contextual factors was developed and tested via partial least squares-structural equation modeling based on data from 202 respondents in the Ethiopian highlands. Attitude (ATT) significantly influenced adoption INT across all technologies (β = 0.38-0.64), while Perceived Behavioral Control (PBC) was crucial for forage (β = 0.43), a recently introduced practice. Subjective Norms affected INT indirectly through influencing PBC and ATT for compost and forage (β = 0.25-0.28). Interpersonal information-primarily from extension officers, relatives, and other farmers-emerged as the strongest contextual influence (β = 0.21-0.26), whereas access to media-based information was limited. Mobile phone ownership, experience with the SLM practices, prior-year profits, and land size had technology-specific effects. The findings provide practical insights to inform SLM promotion strategies through situational assessment and targeted interventions that enhance farmers' awareness and motivation for voluntary adoption.