This paper is a report of a second round of RNA-Puzzles, a collective and blind experiment in three-dimensional (3D) RNA structure prediction. Three puzzles, Puzzles 5, 6, and 10, represented sequences of three large RNA structures with limited or no homology with previously solved RNA molecules. A lariat-capping ribozyme, as well as riboswitches complexed to adenosylcobalamin and tRNA, were predicted by seven groups using RNAComposer, ModeRNA/SimRNA, Vfold, Rosetta, DMD, MC-Fold, 3dRNA, and AMBER refinement. Some groups derived models using data from state-of-the-art chemical-mapping methods (SHAPE, DMS, CMCT, and mutate-and-map). The comparisons between the predictions and the three subsequently released crystallographic structures, solved at diffraction resolutions of 2.5–3.2 Å, were carried out automatically using various sets of quality indicators. The comparisons clearly demonstrate the state of present-day de novo prediction abilities as well as the limitations of these state-of-the-art methods. All of the best prediction models have similar topologies to the native structures, which suggests that computational methods for RNA structure prediction can already provide useful structural information for biological problems. However, the prediction accuracy for non-Watson–Crick interactions, key to proper folding of RNAs, is low and some predicted models had high Clash Scores. These two difficulties point to some of the continuing bottlenecks in RNA structure prediction. All submitted models are available for download at http://ahsoka.u-strasbg.fr/rnapuzzles/.

RNA-Puzzles is a collective experiment in blind 3D RNA structure prediction. We report here a third round of RNA-Puzzles. Five puzzles, 4, 8, 12, 13, 14, all structures of riboswitch aptamers and puzzle 7, a ribozyme structure, are included in this round of the experiment. The riboswitch structures include biological binding sites for small molecules (S-adenosyl methionine, cyclic diadenosine monophosphate, 5-amino 4-imidazole carboxamide riboside 5′-triphosphate, glutamine) and proteins (YbxF), and one set describes large conformational changes between ligand-free and ligand-bound states. The Varkud satellite ribozyme is the most recently solved structure of a known large ribozyme. All puzzles have established biological functions and require structural understanding to appreciate their molecular mechanisms. Through the use of fast-track experimental data, including multidimensional chemical mapping, and accurate prediction of RNA secondary structure, a large portion of the contacts in 3D have been predicted correctly leading to similar topologies for the top ranking predictions. Template-based and homology-derived predictions could predict structures to particularly high accuracies. However, achieving biological insights from de novo prediction of RNA 3D structures still depends on the size and complexity of the RNA. Blind computational predictions of RNA structures already appear to provide useful structural information in many cases. Similar to the previous RNA-Puzzles Round II experiment, the prediction of non-Watson–Crick interactions and the observed high atomic clash scores reveal a notable need for an algorithm of improvement. All prediction models and assessment results are available at http://ahsoka.u-strasbg.fr/rnapuzzles/.

The protein structure prediction problem has been solved for many types of proteins by AlphaFold. Recently, there has been considerable excitement to build off the success of AlphaFold and predict the 3D structures of RNAs. RNA prediction methods use a variety of techniques, from physics-based to machine learning approaches. We believe that there are challenges preventing the successful development of deep learning-based methods like AlphaFold for RNA in the short term. Broadly speaking, the challenges are the limited number of structures and alignments making data-hungry deep learning methods unlikely to succeed. Additionally, there are several issues with the existing structure and sequence data, as they are often of insufficient quality, highly biased and missing key information. Here, we discuss these challenges in detail and suggest some steps to remedy the situation. We believe that it is possible to create an accurate RNA structure prediction method, but it will require solving several data quality and volume issues, usage of data beyond simple sequence alignments, or the development of new less data-hungry machine learning methods.

RNAComposer is a fully automated, web-interfaced system for RNA 3D structure prediction, freely available at http://rnacomposer.cs.put.poznan.pl/ and http://rnacomposer.ibch.poznan.pl/. Its main components are: manually curated database of RNA 3D structure elements, highly efficient computational engine and user-friendly web application. In this paper, we demonstrate how the latest additions to the system allow the user to significantly affect the process of 3D model composition on several computational levels. Although in general our method is based on the knowledge of secondary structure topology, currently RNAComposer offers a choice of six incorporated programs for secondary structure prediction. It allows also to apply conditional search in the database of 3D structure elements and introduce user-provided elements into the final 3D model. This new functionality contributes to a significant improvement of the predicted 3D model reliability and it facilitates better model adjustment to the experimental data. This is exemplified based on RNAComposer application for modelling of the 3D structures of precursors of miR160 family members.

In the field of RNA structural biology and bioinformatics, an access to correctly annotated RNA structure is of crucial importance, especially in the secondary and 3D structure predictions. RNApdbee webserver, introduced in 2014, primarily aimed to address the problem of RNA secondary structure extraction from the PDB files. Its new version, RNApdbee 2.0, is a highly advanced multifunctional tool for RNA structure annotation, revealing the relationship between RNA secondary and 3D structure given in the PDB or PDBx/mmCIF format. The upgraded version incorporates new algorithms for recognition and classification of high-ordered pseudoknots in large RNA structures. It allows analysis of isolated base pairs impact on RNA structure. It can visualize RNA secondary structures—including that of quadruplexes—with depiction of non-canonical interactions. It also annotates motifs to ease identification of stems, loops and single-stranded fragments in the input RNA structure. RNApdbee 2.0 is implemented as a publicly available webserver with an intuitive interface and can be freely accessed at http://rnapdbee.cs.put.poznan.pl/

RNA-Puzzles is a collective endeavor dedicated to the advancement and improvement of RNA three-dimensional structure prediction. With agreement from structural biologists, RNA structures are predicted by modeling groups before publication of the experimental structures. We report a large-scale set of predictions by 18 groups for 23 RNA-Puzzles: 4 RNA elements, 2 Aptamers, 4 Viral elements, 5 Ribozymes and 8 Riboswitches. We describe automatic assessment protocols for comparisons between prediction and experiment. Our analyses reveal some critical steps to be overcome to achieve good accuracy in modeling RNA structures: identification of helix-forming pairs and of non-Watson–Crick modules, correct coaxial stacking between helices and avoidance of entanglements. Three of the top four modeling groups in this round also ranked among the top four in the CASP15 contest.