Malaria, an infectious disease caused by protozoan parasites belonging to the Plasmodium genus, remains a significant public health challenge, with African regions bearing the heaviest burden. Machine learning techniques have shown great promise in improving the diagnosis of infectious diseases, such as malaria. This study aims to integrate ensemble machine learning models and Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) frameworks to enhance the diagnosis accuracy of malaria. The study utilized a dataset from the Federal Polytechnic Ilaro Medical Centre, Ilaro, Ogun State, Nigeria, which includes information from 337 patients aged between 3 and 77 years (180 females and 157 males) over a 4-week period. Ensemble methods, namely Random Forest, AdaBoost, Gradient Boost, XGBoost, and CatBoost, were employed after addressing class imbalance through oversampling techniques. Explainable AI techniques, such as LIME, Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) and Permutation Feature Importance, were utilized to enhance transparency and interpretability. Among the ensemble models, Random Forest demonstrated the highest performance with an ROC AUC score of 0.869, followed closely by CatBoost at 0.787. XGBoost, Gradient Boost, and AdaBoost achieved ROC AUC scores of 0.770, 0.747, and 0.633, respectively. These methods evaluated the influence of different characteristics on the probability of malaria diagnosis, revealing critical features that contribute to prediction outcomes. By integrating ensemble machine learning models with explainable AI frameworks, the study promoted transparency in decision-making processes, thereby empowering healthcare providers with actionable insights for improved treatment strategies and enhanced patient outcomes, particularly in malaria management.

A proper understanding and analysis of suitable models involved in forecasting currency exchange rates dynamics is essential to provide reliable information about the economy. This paper deals with model fit and model forecasting of eight time series of historical data about currency exchange rate considering the United States dollar as reference. The time series techniques: classical autoregressive integrated moving average model, the non-parametric univariate and multivariate singular spectrum analysis (SSA), artificial neural network (ANN) algorithms, and a recent prominent hybrid method that combines SSA and ANN, are considered and their performance compared in terms of model fit and model forecasting. Moreover, specific methodological and computational adaptations were conducted to allow for these analyses and comparisons.

Anemia prevalence, especially among children and adolescents, is a serious public health burden in the BRICS countries. This article gives an overview of the current anaemia status in children and adolescents in three BRICS countries, as part of a study that utilizes an artificial intelligence approach for analyzing anaemia prevalence in children and adolescents in South Africa, India and Russia. It posits that the use of machine learning in this area of health research is still novel. The weightage assessment of the crosslink between anaemia risk indicators using a machine learning approach will assist policy makers in identifying the areas of priority to intervene in the BRICS participating countries. Health interventions utilizing artificial intelligence and more specifically, machine learning techniques, remains nascent in LMICs but could lead to improved health outcomes.

Background: This study evaluates the performance of logistic regression (LR) and random forest (RF) algorithms to model obesity among female adolescents in South Africa. Methods: Data was analysed on 375 females aged 15–17 from the South African National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2011/2012. The primary outcome was obesity, defined as body mass index (BMI) ≥ 30 kg/m². A total of 31 explanatory variables were included, ranging from socio-economic, demographic, family history, dietary and health behaviour. RF and LR models were run using imbalanced data as well as after oversampling, undersampling, and hybrid sampling of the data. Results: Using the imbalanced data, the RF model performed better with higher precision, recall, F1 score, and balanced accuracy. Balanced accuracy was highest with the hybrid data (0.618 for RF and 0.668 for LR). Using the hybrid balanced data, the RF model performed better (F1-score = 0.940 for RF vs. 0.798 for LR). Conclusion: The model with the highest overall performance metrics was the RF model both before balancing the data and after applying hybrid balancing. Future work would benefit from using larger datasets on adolescent female obesity to assess the robustness of the models.