The inherent volatility of PV power introduces unpredictability to the power system, necessitating accurate forecasting of power generation. In this study, a machine learning (ML) model based on Gaussian process regression (GPR) for short-term PV power output forecasting is proposed. With its benefits in handling nonlinear relationships, estimating uncertainty, and generating probabilistic forecasts, GPR is an appropriate approach for addressing the problems caused by PV power generation’s irregularity. Additionally, Bayesian optimization to identify optimal hyper-parameter combinations for the ML model is utilized. The research leverages solar radiation intensity data collected at 60-min and 30-min intervals over periods of 1 year and 6 months, respectively. Comparative analysis reveals that the data set with 60-min intervals performs slightly better than the 30-min intervals data set. The proposed GPR model, coupled with Bayesian optimization, demonstrates superior performance compared to contemporary ML models and traditional neural network models. This superiority is evident in 98% and 90% improvements in root mean square errors compared to feed-forward neural network and artificial neural network models, respectively. This research contributes to advancing accurate and efficient forecasting methods for PV power output, thereby enhancing the reliability and stability of power systems.

Cities worldwide are experiencing rapid urbanization and an increasing population, creating a pressing need for smart infrastructure to enhance citizen services. Dhaka, the capital of Bangladesh, faces similar technological and socio-economic challenges, making it crucial to transform it into a sustainable smart city. This research analyzes the opportunities and challenges of smart cities and Dhaka through SWOT and PESTEL analyses. The study employs a fuzzy rule-based inference system in a MATLAB simulation to calculate the smart city index based on parameters such as governance, transportation, waste management, utility management, healthcare, and industrial automation. The findings reveal that good governance has the highest impact on the smart city index, followed by transportation. The paper proposes a sustainable smart city transportation framework and management technique, outlining future research directions. The proposed framework is expected to impact socio-economic, technological, and environmental aspects positively.