This study aimed to investigate the association between glucose dysregulation and delirium after non-cardiac surgery. Among a total of 203,787 patients who underwent non-cardiac surgery between January 2011 and June 2019 at our institution, we selected 61,805 with available preoperative blood glucose levels within 24 h before surgery. Patients experiencing glucose dysregulation were divided into three groups: hyperglycemia, hypoglycemia, and both. We compared the incidence of postoperative delirium within 30 days after surgery between exposed and unexposed patients according to the type of glucose dysregulation. The overall incidence of hyperglycemia, hypoglycemia, and both was 5851 (9.5%), 1452 (2.3%), and 145 (0.2%), respectively. The rate of delirium per 100 person-months of the exposed group was higher than that of the unexposed group in all types of glucose dysregulation. After adjustment, the hazard ratios of glucose dysregulation in the development of delirium were 1.35 (95% CI, 1.18–1.56) in hyperglycemia, 1.36 (95% CI, 1.06–1.75) in hypoglycemia, and 3.14 (95% CI, 1.27–7.77) in both. The subgroup analysis showed that exposure to hypoglycemia or both to hypo- and hyperglycemia was not associated with delirium in diabetic patients, but hyperglycemia was consistently associated with postoperative delirium regardless of the presence of diabetes. Preoperative glucose dysregulation was associated with increased risk of delirium after non-cardiac surgery. Our findings may be helpful for preventing postoperative delirium, and further investigations are required to verify the association and mechanisms for the effect we observed.

Background: Machine-learning techniques are useful for creating prediction models in clinical practice. This study aimed to construct a prediction model of postoperative 30-day mortality based on an automatically extracted electronic preoperative evaluation sheet. Methods: We used data from 276,341 consecutive adult patients who underwent non-cardiac surgery between January 2011 and December 2020 at a tertiary center for model development and internal validation, and another dataset from 63,384 patients between January 2011 and October 2021 at another center for external validation. Postoperative 30-day mortality was 0.16%. We developed an extreme gradient boosting (XGB) prediction model using only variables from preoperative evaluation sheets. Results: The model yielded an area under the curve of 0.960 and an area under the precision and recall curve of 0.216, which were 0.932 and 0.122, respectively, in the external validation set. The optimal threshold calculated by Youden’s J statistic had a sensitivity of 0.885 and specificity of 0.914. In an additional analysis with balanced distribution, the model showed a similar predictive value. Conclusion: We presented a machine-learning prediction model for 30-day mortality after non-cardiac surgery using preoperative variables automatically extracted from electronic medical records and validated the model in a multi-center setting. Our model may help clinicians predict postoperative outcomes.

Background: Prognostic markers have not been extensively studied in plastic and reconstructive surgery. Objective: We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of preoperative C-reactive protein (CRP)-to-albumin ratio (CAR) in plastic and reconstructive surgery and to compare it with the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS). Methods: From January 2011 to July 2019, we identified 2519 consecutive adult patients who were undergoing plastic and reconstructive surgery with available preoperative CRP and albumin levels. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was generated to evaluate predictability and estimate the threshold. The patients were divided according to this threshold, and the risk was compared. The primary outcome was one-year mortality, and the overall mortality was also analyzed. Results: The one-year mortality was 4.9%. The CAR showed an area under the ROC curve of 0.803, which was higher than those of NLR, PLR, and mGPS. According to the estimated threshold of 1.05, the patients were divided into two groups; 1585 (62.9%) were placed in the low group, and 934 (37.1%) were placed in the high group. After inverse probability weighting, the mortality rate during the first year after plastic and reconstructive surgery was significantly increased in the high group (1.3% vs. 10.9%; hazard ratio, 2.88; 95% confidence interval, 2.17–3.83; p < 0.001). Conclusions: In this study, high CAR was significantly associated with one-year mortality of patients after plastic and reconstructive surgery. Further studies are needed on prognostic markers in plastic and reconstructive surgery.

Elevated cardiac troponin (cTn) showed associations with mortality even in stable patients, but management has not been established. We aimed to investigate whether consultation to cardiologists could reduce mortality of stable patients with cTn elevation at admission. We identified 1329 patients with elevated cTn level at hospitalization from outpatient clinic to any department other than cardiology or cardiac surgery between April 2010 and December 2018. The patients were divided into two groups according to cardiologist consultation at admission. For primary outcome, mortality during one year was compared in the crude and propensity-score-matched populations. In 1329 patients, 397 (29.9%) were consulted to cardiologists and 932 (70.1%) were not. Mortality during the first year was significantly lower in patients consulted to cardiologists compared with those who were not (9.8% vs. 14.2%; hazard ratio (HR), 0.50; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.35–0.72; p < 0.001). After propensity-score matching, 324 patients were in the cardiologist consultation group and 560 patients were in the no cardiologist consultation group. One-year mortality was consistently lower in the cardiologist consultation group (10.5% vs. 14.6%; HR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.39–0.86; p = 0.01). Cardiologist consultation may be associated with lower mortality in stable patients with cTn elevation at admission. Further studies are needed to identify effective management strategies for stable patients with elevated cTn.

Background: The sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score has been validated in various clinical situations. However, it has not been investigated during a short stay in the intensive care unit (ICU). This study aimed to evaluate the association between the SOFA score and outcomes in patients who were monitored for less than one day after non-cardiac surgery. Methods: From a total of 203,787 consecutive adult patients who underwent non-cardiac surgery between January 2011 and June 2019, we selected 17,714 who were transferred to the ICU immediately after surgery and stayed for less than 24 h. Patients were divided according to quartile value and change between the initial and follow-up levels of SOFA score. Results: Three-year mortality tended to increase with a higher initial SOFA score (11.7%, 11.8%, 15.1%, and 17.8%, respectively). The patients were divided according to changes in the SOFA score at the midnight postoperative follow-up check: 16,176 (91.3%) in the stable group and 1538 (8.7%) in the worsened group. The worsened group showed significantly higher three-year mortality and complications (13.2% vs. 18.6%; HR [hazard ratio]: 1.236; 95% CI [confidence interval]: 1.108–1.402; p ≤ 0.0021 for three-year mortality and 3.8% vs. 9.1%; HR: 2.13; 95% CI: 1.73–2.60; p < 0.001 for acute kidney injury). Conclusions: The SOFA score during a short stay in the ICU after non-cardiac surgery showed an association with mortality. The change in SOFA score may need to be considered at discharge from the ICU.

We aimed to evaluate the association between days alive and out of hospital (DAOH) and mortality at 15 days after a hip replacement. From March 2010 to June 2020, we identified 5369 consecutive adult patients undergoing hip replacements and estimated DAOH at 15, 30, 60, and 90 days after surgery. After excluding 13 patients who died within 15 days after surgery, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were then generated to evaluate predictabilities for each follow-up period. We compared the mortality risk according to the estimated thresholds of DAOH at 15 days after hip replacement. ROC analysis revealed areas under the curve of 0.862, 0.877, 0.906, and 0.922 for DAOH at 15, 30, 60, and 90 days after surgery, respectively. The estimated threshold of DAOH during the 15 postoperative days was 6.5. Patients were divided according to this threshold, and propensity score matching was conducted. In a propensity score-matched population with 864 patients in each group, the risk of mortality increased in patients with a lower DAOH 15 (2.8% vs. 8.1%; hazard ratio [HR] = 3.96; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.24–6.99; p < 0.001 for one-year mortality, 5.2% vs. 13.0%; HR = 3.82; 95% CI: 2.33–6.28; p < 0.001 for three-year mortality, and 5.9% vs. 15.6%; HR = 3.07; 95% CI: 2.04–4.61; p < 0.001 for five-year mortality). In patients undergoing a hip replacement, DAOH at 15 days after surgery was shown to be associated with increased mortality. DAOH at 15 days may be used as a valid outcome measure for hip replacement.