Deborah L Balk

Dr. Deborah L Balk

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Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

33Years (1994-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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21 February 2008 in Nature
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
KJKate E. Jones
Kate E. Jones
NPNikkita G. Patel
Nikkita G. Patel
MLMarc A. Levy
Marc A. Levy
ASAdam Storeygard
Adam Storeygard
DBDeborah L Balk
Deborah L Balk
PDPeter Daszak
Peter Daszak

1 April 2007 in Environment & Urbanization
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
GMGordon McGranahan
Gordon McGranahan
DBDeborah L Balk
Deborah L Balk
BABridget Anderson
Bridget Anderson
Settlements in coastal lowlands are especially vulnerable to risks resulting from climate change, yet these lowlands are densely settled and growing rapidly. In this paper, we undertake the first global review of the population and urban settlement patterns in the Low Elevation Coastal Zone (LECZ), defined here as the contiguous area along the coast that is less than 10 metres above sea level. Overall, this zone covers 2 per cent of the world's land area but contains 10 per cent of the world's population and 13 per cent of the world's urban population. A disproportionate number of the countries with a large share of their population in this zone are small island countries, but most of the countries with large populations in the zone are large countries with heavily populated delta regions. On average, the Least Developed Countries have a higher share of their population living in the zone (14 per cent) than do OECD countries (10 per cent), with even greater disparities in the urban shares (21 per cent compared to 11 per cent). Almost two-thirds of urban settlements with populations greater than 5 million fall, at least partly, in the zone. In some countries (most notably China), urbanization is driving a movement in population towards the coast. Reducing the risk of disasters related to climate change in coastal settlements will require a combination of mitigation, migration and settlement modification.

28 March 2011 in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
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Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
RMRobert I. McDonald
Robert I. McDonald
PGPamela Green
Pamela Green
DBDeborah L Balk
Deborah L Balk
BFBalazs M. Fekete
Balazs M. Fekete
CRCarmen Revenga
Carmen Revenga
MMMark Montgomery
Mark Montgomery
Nearly 3 billion additional urban dwellers are forecasted by 2050, an unprecedented wave of urban growth. While cities struggle to provide water to these new residents, they will also face equally unprecedented hydrologic changes due to global climate change. Here we use a detailed hydrologic model, demographic projections, and climate change scenarios to estimate per-capita water availability for major cities in the developing world, where urban growth is the fastest. We estimate the amount of water physically available near cities and do not account for problems with adequate water delivery or quality. Modeled results show that currently 150 million people live in cities with perennial water shortage, defined as having less than 100 L per person per day of sustainable surface and groundwater flow within their urban extent. By 2050, demographic growth will increase this figure to almost 1 billion people. Climate change will cause water shortage for an additional 100 million urbanites. Freshwater ecosystems in river basins with large populations of urbanites with insufficient water will likely experience flows insufficient to maintain ecological process. Freshwater fish populations will likely be impacted, an issue of special importance in regions such as India's Western Ghats, where there is both rapid urbanization and high levels of fish endemism. Cities in certain regions will struggle to find enough water for the needs of their residents and will need significant investment if they are to secure adequate water supplies and safeguard functioning freshwater ecosystems for future generations.

1 July 2014 in Global Environmental Change
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Journal Article
Open access
RMRobert I. McDonald
Robert I. McDonald
KWKatherine Weber
Katherine Weber
JPJulie Padowski
Julie Padowski
MFMartina Flörke
Martina Flörke
CSChristof Schneider
Christof Schneider
MMMark Montgomery
Mark Montgomery
Urban growth is increasing the demand for freshwater resources, yet surprisingly the water sources of the world's large cities have never been globally assessed, hampering efforts to assess the distribution and causes of urban water stress. We conducted the first global survey of the large cities’ water sources, and show that previous global hydrologic models that ignored urban water infrastructure significantly overestimated urban water stress. Large cities obtain 78±3% of their water from surface sources, some of which are far away: cumulatively, large cities moved 504 billion liters a day (184km3yr−1) a distance of 27,000±3800km, and the upstream contributing area of urban water sources is 41% of the global land surface. Despite this infrastructure, one in four cities, containing $4.8±0.7 trillion in economic activity, remain water stressed due to geographical and financial limitations. The strategic management of these cities’ water sources is therefore important for the future of the global economy

1 January 2006
Verified
Book Chapter
Closed access
DBDeborah L Balk
Deborah L Balk
UDU. Deichmann
U. Deichmann
GYG. Yetman
G. Yetman
FPF. Pozzi
F. Pozzi
SHSimon Hay
Simon Hay
Andy NelsonAndy Nelson
Andy Nelson

11 September 2019 in Earth System Science Data
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
SLStefan Leyk
Stefan Leyk
AGAndrea E. Gaughan
Andrea E. Gaughan
SASusana B. Adamo
Susana B. Adamo
ASAlex De Sherbinin
Alex De Sherbinin
DBDeborah L Balk
Deborah L Balk
MPMartino Pesaresi
Martino Pesaresi
Population data represent an essential component in studies focusing on human–nature interrelationships, disaster risk assessment and environmental health. Several recent efforts have produced global- and continental-extent gridded population data which are becoming increasingly popular among various research communities. However, these data products, which are of very different characteristics and based on different modeling assumptions, have never been systematically reviewed and compared, which may impede their appropriate use. This article fills this gap and presents, compares and discusses a set of large-scale (global and continental) gridded datasets representing population counts or densities. It focuses on data properties, methodological approaches and relative quality aspects that are important to fully understand the characteristics of the data with regard to the intended uses. Written by the data producers and members of the user community, through the lens of the “fitness for use” concept, the aim of this paper is to provide potential data users with the knowledge base needed to make informed decisions about the appropriateness of the data products available in relation to the target application and for critical analysis.