Robert Ian McDonald

Robert Ian McDonald

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Robert Ian McDonald

The Nature Conservancy

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

23Years (2004-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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29 June 2007 in Science
Verified
Journal Article
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PDF file
PKPeter Kareiva
Peter Kareiva
SWSean Watts
Sean Watts
RMRobert McDonald
Robert McDonald
TBTim Boucher
Tim Boucher
Like all species, humans have exercised their impulse to perpetuate and propagate themselves. In doing so, we have domesticated landscapes and ecosystems in ways that enhance our food supplies, reduce exposure to predators and natural dangers, and promote commerce. On average, the net benefits to humankind of domesticated nature have been positive. We have, of course, made mistakes, causing unforeseen changes in ecosystem attributes, while leaving few, if any, truly wild places on Earth. Going into the future, scientists can help humanity to domesticate nature more wisely by quantifying the tradeoffs among ecosystem services, such as how increasing the provision of one service may decrease ecosystem resilience and the provision of other services.

28 March 2011 in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
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RMRobert I. McDonald
Robert I. McDonald
PGPamela Green
Pamela Green
DBDeborah L Balk
Deborah L Balk
BFBalazs M. Fekete
Balazs M. Fekete
CRCarmen Revenga
Carmen Revenga
MMMark Montgomery
Mark Montgomery
Nearly 3 billion additional urban dwellers are forecasted by 2050, an unprecedented wave of urban growth. While cities struggle to provide water to these new residents, they will also face equally unprecedented hydrologic changes due to global climate change. Here we use a detailed hydrologic model, demographic projections, and climate change scenarios to estimate per-capita water availability for major cities in the developing world, where urban growth is the fastest. We estimate the amount of water physically available near cities and do not account for problems with adequate water delivery or quality. Modeled results show that currently 150 million people live in cities with perennial water shortage, defined as having less than 100 L per person per day of sustainable surface and groundwater flow within their urban extent. By 2050, demographic growth will increase this figure to almost 1 billion people. Climate change will cause water shortage for an additional 100 million urbanites. Freshwater ecosystems in river basins with large populations of urbanites with insufficient water will likely experience flows insufficient to maintain ecological process. Freshwater fish populations will likely be impacted, an issue of special importance in regions such as India's Western Ghats, where there is both rapid urbanization and high levels of fish endemism. Cities in certain regions will struggle to find enough water for the needs of their residents and will need significant investment if they are to secure adequate water supplies and safeguard functioning freshwater ecosystems for future generations.

1 July 2014 in Global Environmental Change
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Journal Article
Open access
RMRobert I. McDonald
Robert I. McDonald
KWKatherine Weber
Katherine Weber
JPJulie Padowski
Julie Padowski
MFMartina Flörke
Martina Flörke
CSChristof Schneider
Christof Schneider
MMMark Montgomery
Mark Montgomery
Urban growth is increasing the demand for freshwater resources, yet surprisingly the water sources of the world's large cities have never been globally assessed, hampering efforts to assess the distribution and causes of urban water stress. We conducted the first global survey of the large cities’ water sources, and show that previous global hydrologic models that ignored urban water infrastructure significantly overestimated urban water stress. Large cities obtain 78±3% of their water from surface sources, some of which are far away: cumulatively, large cities moved 504 billion liters a day (184km3yr−1) a distance of 27,000±3800km, and the upstream contributing area of urban water sources is 41% of the global land surface. Despite this infrastructure, one in four cities, containing $4.8±0.7 trillion in economic activity, remain water stressed due to geographical and financial limitations. The strategic management of these cities’ water sources is therefore important for the future of the global economy

9 December 2019 in Nature Sustainability
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Journal Article
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PDF file
RMRobert I. McDonald
Robert I. McDonald
AMAndressa V. Mansur
Andressa V. Mansur
FAFernando Ascensão
Fernando Ascensão
MCM’lisa Colbert
M’lisa Colbert
KCKatie Crossman
Katie Crossman
CZCarly Ziter
Carly Ziter

26 August 2009 in PLOS ONE
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
RMRobert I. McDonald
Robert I. McDonald
JFJoseph Fargione
Joseph Fargione
JKJoe Kiesecker
Joe Kiesecker
WMWilliam M. Miller
William M. Miller
JPJimmie Powell
Jimmie Powell
Concern over climate change has led the U.S. to consider a cap-and-trade system to regulate emissions. Here we illustrate the land-use impact to U.S. habitat types of new energy development resulting from different U.S. energy policies. We estimated the total new land area needed by 2030 to produce energy, under current law and under various cap-and-trade policies, and then partitioned the area impacted among habitat types with geospatial data on the feasibility of production. The land-use intensity of different energy production techniques varies over three orders of magnitude, from 1.9–2.8 km2/TW hr/yr for nuclear power to 788–1000 km2/TW hr/yr for biodiesel from soy. In all scenarios, temperate deciduous forests and temperate grasslands will be most impacted by future energy development, although the magnitude of impact by wind, biomass, and coal to different habitat types is policy-specific. Regardless of the existence or structure of a cap-and-trade bill, at least 206,000 km2 will be impacted without substantial increases in energy efficiency, which saves at least 7.6 km2 per TW hr of electricity conserved annually and 27.5 km2 per TW hr of liquid fuels conserved annually. Climate policy that reduces carbon dioxide emissions may increase the areal impact of energy, although the magnitude of this potential side effect may be substantially mitigated by increases in energy efficiency. The possibility of widespread energy sprawl increases the need for energy conservation, appropriate siting, sustainable production practices, and compensatory mitigation offsets.

1 October 2009 in Landscape and Urban Planning
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
RMRobert I. Mcdonald
Robert I. Mcdonald
RFRichard T.T. Forman
Richard T.T. Forman
PKPeter Kareiva
Peter Kareiva
RNRachel Neugarten
Rachel Neugarten
DSDan Salzer
Dan Salzer
JFJon Fisher
Jon Fisher