A mathematical model for forecasting the transmission of the COVID-19 outbreak is proposed to investigate the effects of quarantined and hospitalized individuals. We analyze the proposed model by considering the existence and the positivity of the solution. Then, the basic reproduction number —the expected number of secondary cases produced by a single infection in a completely susceptible population—is computed by using the next-generation matrix to carry out the stability of disease-free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium. The results show that the disease-free equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable if , and the endemic equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable if . Numerical simulations of the proposed model are illustrated. The sensitivity of the model parameters is considered in order to control the spread by intervention strategies. Numerical results confirm that the model is suitable for the outbreak that occurred in Thailand.
The purpose of this paper was to investigate the dynamics of the option pricing in the market through the two-dimensional time fractional-order Black–Scholes equation for a European put option. The Liouville–Caputo derivative was used to improve the ordinary Black–Scholes equation. The analytic solution is a powerful tool for describing the behavior of the option price in the European style market. In this study, analytic solution is carried out by the Laplace homotopy perturbation method. Moreover, the obtained solution showed that the Laplace homotopy perturbation method was an efficient method for finding an analytic solution of two-dimensional fractional-order differential equation.
This study deals with the numerical solution of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection model, which is a significant problem for global public health. Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) is a communicable disease, and HIV is the causative agent for AIDS, which damages the ability of the body to fight against disease and easily usual innocuous infections attack the body. On entering the body, HIV infects a large amount of CD4+ T-cells and disturbs the supply rate of these cells from the thymus. Herein, we consider the model with variable source terms in which the production of these cells is a monotonically decreasing function of viral load. Based on the reproduction number, we describe the stability of free equilibrium. The continuous Galerkin–Petrov method, in particular the cGP(2)-method, is implemented to determine the numerical solutions of the model. The influence of different parameters on the population dynamics of healthy/infected CD4+ T-cells and free HIV particles are examined, and the results are presented graphically. On the other hand, the model is solved using the fourth-order Runge–Kutta method, and briefly, the RK4-method, and the results of the proposed schemes are compared with those obtained from other classical schemes such as the Bessel collocation method (BCM), Laplace Adomian decomposition method (LADM), perturbation iteration algorithm (PIA), modified variational iteration method (MVIM), differential transform method (DTM), and exponential Galerkin method (EGM), numerically. Furthermore, absolute errors relative to the RK4 method are computed to describe the accuracy of the proposed scheme. It is presented that the cGP(2)-method gains accurate results at larger time step sizes in comparison with the results of the aforementioned methods. The numerical and graphical comparison reveals that the proposed scheme yields more accurate results relative to other traditional schemes from the literature.
In this paper, a mathematical model for African swine fever is modified by considering the swine farm with the contaminated human vector that is able to infect and spread the disease among swine farms. In the developed model, we have divided the swine farm density into three related groups, namely the susceptible swine farm compartment, latent swine farm compartment, and infectious swine farm compartment. On the other hand, the human vector population density has been separated into two classes, namely the susceptible human vector compartment and the infectious human vector compartment. After that, we use this model and a quarantine strategy to analyze the spread of the infection. In addition, the basic reproduction number is determined by using the next-generation matrix, which can analyze the stability of the model. Finally, the numerical simulations of the proposed model are illustrated to confirm the results from theorems. The results showed that the transmission coefficient values per unit of time per individual between the human vector and the swine farm resulted in the spread of African swine fever.
In this paper, the Laplace homotopy perturbation method (LHPM) is applied to obtain the approximate solution of Black–Scholes partial differential equations for a European put option with two assets. Different from all other approximation methods, LHPM provides a simple way to get the explicit solution which is represented in the form of a Mellin–Ross function. The numerical examples represent that the solution from the proposed method is easy and effective.
In this study, we developed an autonomous non-linear epidemic model for the transmission dynamics of susceptible, vaccinated, infected, and recovered individuals (SVIR model) with non-linear saturation incidence and vaccination rates. The non-linear saturation incidence rate significantly reduces the death ratio of infected individuals by increasing human immunity. We discuss a detailed explanation of the model equilibrium, its basic reproduction number local stability, and global stability. The disease-free equilibrium is observed to be stable if , while the endemic equilibrium exists and the disease exists permanently in the population if . To approximate the solution of the model, the well-known Runge–Kutta (RK4) methodology is utilized. The implications of numerous parameters on the population dynamics of susceptible, vaccinated, infected, and recovered individuals are addressed. We discovered that increasing the value of the disease-included death rate has a negative impact on those affected, while it has a positive impact on other populations. Furthermore, the value of interaction between vaccinated and infected has a decreasing impact on vulnerable and vaccinated people, while increasing in other populations. On the other hand, the model is solved using Euler and Euler-modified techniques, and the results are compared numerically and graphically. The quantitative computations demonstrate that the RK4 method provides very precise solutions compared to the other approaches. The results show that the suggested SVIR model that approximates the solution method is accurate and useful.