Public health emergencies have brought great challenges to the stability of the e-commerce supply chain. Demand forecasting is a key driver for the sound development of e-commerce enterprises. To prevent the potential privacy leakage of e-commerce enterprises in the process of demand forecasting using multi-party data, and to improve the accuracy of demand forecasting models, we propose an e-commerce enterprise demand forecasting method based on Horizontal Federated Learning and ConvLSTM, from the perspective of sustainable development. First, in view of the shortcomings of traditional RNN and LSTM demand forecasting models, which cannot handle multi-dimensional time-series problems, we propose a demand forecasting model based on ConvLSTM. Secondly, to address the problem that data cannot be directly shared and exchanged between e-commerce enterprises of the same type, the goal of demand information sharing modeling is realized indirectly through Horizontal Federated Learning. Experimental results on a large number of real data sets show that, compared with benchmark experiments, our proposed method can improve the accuracy of e-commerce enterprise demand forecasting models while avoiding privacy data leakage, and the bullwhip effect value is closer to 1. Therefore, we effectively alleviate the bullwhip effect of the entire supply chain system in demand forecasting, and promote the sustainable development of e-commerce companies.
To solve the problem of choosing the appropriate cloud computing vendors in small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), this paper boils it down to a group decision making (GDM) problem. To facilitate the judgment, this paper uses preference relation as the decision making technology. Considering the situation where uncertain positive and negative judgments exist simultaneously, interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy preference relations (IVIFPRs) are employed to express the decision makers’ judgments. In view of the multiplicative consistency and consensus analysis, a new GDM algorithm with IVIFPRs is offered. To accomplish this goal, a new multiplicative consistency is first defined, which can avoid the limitations of the previous ones. Then, a programming model is built to check the consistency of IVIFPRs. To deal with incomplete IVIFPRs, two programming models are constructed to determine the missing values with the goal of maximizing the level of multiplicative consistency and minimizing the total uncertainty. To achieve the minimum adjustment of original preference information, a programming model is established to repair inconsistent IVIFPRs. In addition, programming models for getting the decision makers (DMs)’ weights and improving the consensus degree are offered. Finally, a practical decision making example is given to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method and to compare it with previous methods.