Francesca Perla

Prof. Francesca Perla

Department of Management and Quantitative Sciences, Parthenope University of Naples, Via Generale Parisi n. 13, 80133 Naples, Italy

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

35Years (1992-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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1 April 2019 in Information Sciences
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
Ugo FioreUgo Fiore
Ugo Fiore
ASAlfredo De Santis
Alfredo De Santis
Francesca PerlaFrancesca Perla
Francesca Perla
PZPaolo Zanetti
Paolo Zanetti
FPFrancesco Palmieri
Francesco Palmieri

16 March 2019 in Risks
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
ANAndrea Nigri
Andrea Nigri
Susanna LevantesiSusanna Levantesi
Susanna Levantesi
MMMario Marino
Mario Marino
Salvatore ScognamiglioSalvatore Scognamiglio
Salvatore Scognamiglio
Francesca PerlaFrancesca Perla
Francesca Perla
In the field of mortality, the Lee–Carter based approach can be considered the milestone to forecast mortality rates among stochastic models. We could define a “Lee–Carter model family” that embraces all developments of this model, including its first formulation (1992) that remains the benchmark for comparing the performance of future models. In the Lee–Carter model, the κ t parameter, describing the mortality trend over time, plays an important role about the future mortality behavior. The traditional ARIMA process usually used to model κ t shows evident limitations to describe the future mortality shape. Concerning forecasting phase, academics should approach a more plausible way in order to think a nonlinear shape of the projected mortality rates. Therefore, we propose an alternative approach the ARIMA processes based on a deep learning technique. More precisely, in order to catch the pattern of κ t series over time more accurately, we apply a Recurrent Neural Network with a Long Short-Term Memory architecture and integrate the Lee–Carter model to improve its predictive capacity. The proposed approach provides significant performance in terms of predictive accuracy and also allow for avoiding the time-chunks’ a priori selection. Indeed, it is a common practice among academics to delete the time in which the noise is overflowing or the data quality is insufficient. The strength of the Long Short-Term Memory network lies in its ability to treat this noise and adequately reproduce it into the forecasted trend, due to its own architecture enabling to take into account significant long-term patterns.

10 July 2019 in IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
RCRosalia Castellano
Rosalia Castellano
Ugo FioreUgo Fiore
Ugo Fiore
GMGaetano Musella
Gaetano Musella
Francesca PerlaFrancesca Perla
Francesca Perla
GPGennaro Punzo
Gennaro Punzo
PZPaolo Zanetti
Paolo Zanetti
The adoption of Digital and Communication Technologies (DCTs) is a critical success factor in port industry. Several empirical evidence are demonstrating that advanced knowledge infrastructures support port efficiency and competitiveness, for example through Intelligent Transport Systems, such as sensors, actuators, and platforms. In this perspective, the paper evaluates the impact of investments in DCTs—i.e., interactive websites and social media marketing solutions—on port efficiency. To this end, we perform the non-parametric method of Data Envelopment Analysis, both in its crisp and fuzzy approaches, in order to account for the vague and imprecise nature of some data. Findings pinpoint that port efficiency is generally supported by DCT solutions, and for some ports the effect is particularly relevant. The outcomes provide managerial suggestions for port authorities, policy makers, and industrial practitioners to identify critical investments for improving port competitiveness.

16 July 2019 in Annals of Operations Research
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
SSStefania stefaniacorsaro
Stefania stefaniacorsaro
VSValentina De Simone
Valentina De Simone
ZMZelda Marino
Zelda Marino
Francesca PerlaFrancesca Perla
Francesca Perla

29 December 2022 in Decisions in Economics and Finance
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
Francesca PerlaFrancesca Perla
Francesca Perla
Salvatore ScognamiglioSalvatore Scognamiglio
Salvatore Scognamiglio

14 January 2021 in Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
GCGilberto Castellani
Gilberto Castellani
UFUgo Fiore
Ugo Fiore
ZMZelda Marino
Zelda Marino
LPLuca Passalacqua
Luca Passalacqua
Francesca PerlaFrancesca Perla
Francesca Perla
PZPaolo Zanetti
Paolo Zanetti