Climate change and human activities have an important impact on the changing environment, leading to significant changes in the basin water cycle process. The Jialing River Basin, the largest tributary of the upper Yangtze River, is selected as the study area. Three different rainfall datasets, the China Meteorological Assimilation Driving (CMAD) dataset, the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission data, and gauged observation data, were used as inputs for the MIKE System Hydrological European (MIKE SHE) model. By comparing the simulation results driven by various meteorological data, the applicability of the MIKE SHE model at four stations is evaluated, and the sensitivity and uncertainty of model parameters are analyzed. Meanwhile, the impact of large hydropower stations on the runoff of the Jialing River Basin is assessed, and the influence of human activities on the runoff change is determined. The future climate change of the watershed was analyzed by using the typical representative concentration pathway (RCP) 4.5 and RCP8.5 climate scenarios. Based on the MIKE SHE model, the runoff of the Jialing River Basin in the future climate scenario is predicted, and the corresponding response of the Jialing River Basin is analyzed quantitatively. The results show that the CMAD data-driven model has better Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency and correlation coefficient for each period. By analyzing the influence of the hydropower station on the runoff process at the outlet of the basin, it is found that the hydropower station has a certain regulating effect on the runoff process at the outlet of the basin. In addition, the RCP4.5 scenario is more consistent with the future scenario, indicating that the Jialing River Basin will become colder and drier.

Hydrologic models are essential tools for understanding hydrologic processes, such as precipitation, which is a fundamental component of the water cycle. For an improved understanding and the evaluation of different precipitation datasets, especially their applicability for hydrologic modelling, three kinds of precipitation products, CMADS, TMPA-3B42V7 and gauge-interpolated datasets, are compared. Two hydrologic models (IHACRES and Sacramento) are applied to study the accuracy of the three types of precipitation products on the daily streamflow of the Lijiang River, which is located in southern China. The models are calibrated separately with different precipitation products, with the results showing that the CMADS product performs best based on the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency, including a much better accuracy and better skill in capturing the streamflow peaks than the other precipitation products. The TMPA-3B42V7 product shows a small improvement on the gauge-interpolated product. Compared to TMPA-3B42V7, CMADS shows better agreement with the ground-observation data through a pixel-to-point comparison. The comparison of the two hydrologic models shows that both the IHACRES and Sacramento models perform well. The IHACRES model however displays less uncertainty and a higher applicability than the Sacramento model in the Lijiang River basin.

Improving water quality is one of the top priorities in the global agenda endorsed by the United Nations. To ensure the achievement of this goal, governments have developed plans to continuously monitor the status of inland waters. Remote sensing provides a low-cost, high-frequency, and practical complement to monitoring systems that can cover a large area. However, it is crucial to evaluate the suitability of sensors for retrieving water quality parameters (WQPs), owing to differences in spatial and spectral sampling from different satellites. Taking Shanmei Reservoir in Fuzhou City, Fujian Province as a case study, this study collected and sorted the water quality data measured at the site in 2020 to 2022 and Landsat 8-9 OLI and Sentinel-2 MSI images, simulated the chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) concentration, algae density, and turbidity using empirical multivariate regression, and explored the relationship between different WQPs using correlation analysis and principal component analysis (PCA). The results showed that the fitting effect of Landsat OLI data was better than that of the Sentinel-2 MSI data. The coefficient of determination (R²) values of Chl-a, algal density, and turbidity simulated by Landsat OLI data were 0.70, 0.81, and 0.80, respectively. Furthermore, the parameters of its validation equation were also smaller than those of Sentinel MSI data. The spatial distribution of three key WQPs retrieved from Landsat OLI data shows their values were generally low, with the mean values of the Chl-a concentration, algal density, and turbidity being 4.25 μg/L, 4.11 × 10⁶ cells/L, and 1.86 NTU, respectively. However, from the end of February 2022, the values of the Chl-a concentration and algae density in the reservoir gradually increase, and the risk of water eutrophication also increases. Therefore, it is still necessary to pay continuous attention and formulate corresponding water quality management measures. The correlation analysis shows that the three key WQPs in this study have a high correlation with pH, water temperature (WT), and dissolved oxygen (DO). The results of PCA showed that pH, DO, Chl-a concentration, WT, TN, and COD_Mn were dominant in PC1, explaining 35.57% of the total variation, and conductivity, algal density, and WT were dominant in PC2, explaining 13.34% of the total variation. Therefore, the water quality of the Shanmei Reservoir can be better evaluated by measuring pH, conductivity, and WT at the monitoring station, or by establishing the regression fitting equations between DO, COD_Mn, and TN. The regression algorithm used in this study can identify the most important water quality features in the Shanmei Reservoir, which can be used to monitor the nutritional status of the reservoir and provide a reference for other similar inland water bodies.

Satellite precipitation products (SPPs) have emerged as an important information source of precipitation with high spatio-temporal resolutions, with great potential to improve catchment water resource management and hydrologic modelling, especially in data-sparse regions. As an indirect precipitation measurement, satellite-derived precipitation accuracy is of major concern. There have been numerous evaluation/validation studies worldwide. However, a convincing systematic evaluation/validation of satellite precipitation remains unrealized. In particular, there are still only a limited number of hydrologic evaluations/validations with a long temporal period. Here we present a systematic evaluation of eight popular SPPs (CHIRPS, CMORPH, GPCP, GPM, GSMaP, MSWEP, PERSIANN, and SM2RAIN). The evaluation area used, using daily data from 2007 to 2020, is the Xiangjiang River basin, a mountainous catchment with a humid sub-tropical monsoon climate situated in south China. The evaluation was conducted at various spatial scales (both grid-gauge scale and watershed scale) and temporal scales (annual and seasonal scales). The evaluation paid particular attention to precipitation intensity and especially its impact on hydrologic modelling. In the evaluation of the results, the overall statistical metrics show that GSMaP and MSWEP rank as the two best-performing SPPs, with KGE_Grid ≥ 0.48 and KGE_Watershed ≥ 0.67, while CHIRPS and SM2RAIN were the two worst-performing SPPs with KGE_Grid ≤ 0.25 and KGE_Watershed ≤ 0.42. GSMaP gave the closest agreement with the observations. The GSMaP-driven model also was superior in depicting the rainfall-runoff relationship compared to the hydrologic models driven by other SPPs. This study further demonstrated that satellite remote sensing still has difficulty accurately estimating precipitation over a mountainous region. This study provides helpful information to optimize the generation of algorithms for satellite precipitation products, and valuable guidance for local communities to select suitable alternative precipitation datasets.