Unsustainable groundwater extraction for domestic and agricultural purposes, particularly crop irrigation, is leading to dramatic reductions in the quantity and quality of groundwater in many developing countries, including Ethiopia. Assessing and predicting groundwater responses to hydraulic stress caused by overexploitation related to anthropogenic activities and climate change are crucial for informing water management decisions. The aim of this study is to develop a three-dimensional steady-state groundwater flow model for the Golina River Sub-Basin to understand the relationship between groundwater recharge and groundwater pumping and their impacts under steady-state conditions from the perspective of groundwater management. The model was created using MODFLOW 6 and discretized into 345 rows and 444 columns with a grid resolution of 100 m by 100 m. The subsurface was modeled as two layers: a clastic alluvial layer overlying a weathered and fractured bedrock. The surface-water divide of the Golina River Sub-Basin was treated as a no-flow boundary. The initial values of horizontal hydraulic conductivity ranged from 0.001 m/day for rhyolite to 27.26 m/day for alluvial deposits. The aquifer recharge rates from the WetSpass model ranged from 1.08 × 10⁻³ to 2.25 × 10⁻⁴ m/day, and the discharge rates from the springs, hand-dug wells, and boreholes were 2.79 × 10⁴ m³/day, known flux boundaries. Sensitivity analysis revealed that the model is very sensitive to hydraulic conductivity, moderately sensitive to aquifer recharge, and less sensitive to groundwater pumping. Calibration was performed to match observed and simulated hydraulic heads of selected wells and achieved a correlation coefficient of 0.998. The calibrated hydraulic conductivity ranged from 1.2 × 10⁻⁴ m/day for rhyolite to 20 m/day for gravel-dominated alluvial deposits. The groundwater flow direction is toward the southeast, and the water balance indicates a negligible difference between the total recharge (207,775.8297 m³/day, which is the water entering the aquifer system) and the total pumped volume (207,775.9373 m³/day, which is the water leaving the aquifer system). The scenario analysis showed that an increase in the pumping rate of 25%, 50%, and 75% would result in a decrease in the hydraulic head by 4.64 m, 10.18 m, and 17.38 m, respectively. A decrease in recharge of 25%, 50%, and 75% would instead result in hydraulic-head declines of 6 m, 15.29 m, and 46.97 m, respectively. Consequently, the findings of this study suggest that decision-makers should prioritize enhancing integrated groundwater management strategies to improve recharge rates within the aquifer system of the study area.

This study provides a comprehensive analysis of the groundwater potential of hard rock aquifers in five diverse African case study areas: Lake Tana Basin and Beles Basin in northwestern Ethiopia and Mount Meru in northern Tanzania (comprising volcanic aquifers); the Mekelle area in northern Ethiopia and Jifarah Plain in Libya (consisting of sedimentary aquifers). The evaluation of recharge, transmissivity, and water quality formed the basis of qualitative and quantitative assessment. Multiple methods, including water table fluctuation (WTF), chloride mass balance (CMB), physical hydrological modeling (WetSpass), baseflow separation (BFS), and remote sensing techniques like GRACE satellite data, were employed to estimate groundwater recharge across diverse hydrogeological settings. Topographic contrast, fractured orientation, lineament density, hydro-stratigraphic connections, hydraulic gradient, and distribution of high-flux springs were used to assess IGF from Lake Tana to Beles Basin. The monitoring, sampling, and pumping test sites took into account the high hydromorphological and geological variabilities. Recharge rates varied significantly, with mean values of 315 mm/year in Lake Tana Basin, 193 mm/year in Mount Meru, and as low as 4.3 mm/year in Jifarah Plain. Transmissivity ranged from 0.4 to 6904 m²/day in Lake Tana Basin, up to 790 m²/day in Mount Meru’s fractured lava aquifers, and reached 859 m²/day in the sedimentary aquifers of the Mekelle area. Water quality issues included high TDS levels (up to 3287 mg/L in Mekelle and 11,141 mg/L in Jifarah), elevated fluoride concentrations (>1.5 mg/L) in 90% of Mount Meru samples, and nitrate pollution in shallow aquifers linked to agricultural practice. This study also highlights the phenomenon of inter-basin deep groundwater flow, emphasizing its role in groundwater potential assessment and challenging conventional water balance assumptions. The findings reveal that hard rock aquifers, particularly weathered/fractured basalt aquifers in volcanic regions, exhibit high potential, while pyroclastic aquifers generally demonstrate lower potential. Concerns regarding high fluoride levels are identified in Mount Meru aquifers. Among sedimentary aquifers in the Mekelle area and Jifarah Plain, limestone intercalated with marl or dolomite rock emerges as having high potential. However, high TDS and high sulfate concentrations are quality issues in some of the areas, quite above the WHO’s and each country’s drinking water standards. The inter-basin groundwater flow, investigated in this study of Beles Basin, challenges the conventional water balance assumption that the inflow into a hydrological basin is equivalent to the outflow out of the basin, by emphasizing the importance of considering groundwater influx from neighboring basins. These insights contribute novel perspectives to groundwater balance and potential assessment studies, challenging assumptions about groundwater divides.

Analysis of historical and future land use/land cover (LULC) dynamics using spatiotemporal data is crucial for better management of natural resources and environmental monitoring. This study investigated LULC transformations over a span of 60 years (1984–2044) for the Giba basin in northern Ethiopia. ArcGIS and the Cellular Automata and Artificial Neural Network (CA-ANN) model were used to develop the historical (1984, 2004, 2014, and 2024) and projected future (2034 and 2044) LULC maps of the basin, respectively. The results show that LULC categories experienced shifts from one class to another by 35%, 33%, and 40% in 2004–2014, 2014–2024, and 2004–2024, respectively. During 1984–2024, the largest and smallest percentage of positive changes were observed in settlement (7700%) and shrubs and bushes (25%), which increased from negligible to 78 km² and from 1668 km² to 2082 km², respectively. Furthermore, barren land and forestland showed the largest (−80%) and smallest (−37%) declines, which decreased from 956 km² to 187 km² and from 164 km² to 103 km² during the same period, respectively. Overall, the last 40 years witnessed considerable changes to LULC dynamics in the Giba basin. Cropland, water bodies, and settlements showed a continuously increasing trend throughout the historical study period, while grassland exhibited a continuous decreasing trend. Results of the CA-ANN model showed that the majority of the LULC categories (including water body, forest, bushes and shrubs, grassland, and barren land) will decrease, except for a slight increase of cropland (+6%) and settlements (+16%), which is projected to increase from 2570 km² to 2733 km² and from 78 km² to 91 km², respectively, in the next two decades, from 2024 to 2044. In general, high population increase, changes in government policies, and armed conflicts were found to be the most influential driving factors of LULC changes in the basin.

Groundwater is a natural freshwater resource and very important for multipurpose use in the Golina River basin. The determination of groundwater resource sustainability depends on the groundwater quality evaluation for specific uses. The objectives of this research work are: (1) to evaluate the groundwater quality and suitability for irrigation purposes and (2) to study the impact of irrigation activities on groundwater quality in the Golina River Basin. Alluvial deposits, basalts, granite, and rhyolite are the main stratigraphic units in the area. 34 groundwater and 3 river water samples were collected from the study area for water quality analysis purposes. Parameters of pH and EC were measured using WTW Multi 3430 and HCO3- was measured using Hach digital titrator in the field while parameters of Na+, K+, Ca2+, Mg2+, Cl-, SO42-, NO3-, PO4, and F-, were analyzed in the lab using Ion Chromatography (IC) in the Technical University of Darmstadt. Besides these, total dissolved solids (TDS), total hardness (TH), sodium absorption ratio (SAR), magnesium hazards (MH), Soluble Sodium Percentage (SSP)(Na%), Residual sodium carbonate (RSC), Permeability Index (PI) and Kelly´s index (KI) were calculated and interpreted. Based on the result of the analysis, the abundance of cations in groundwater in the study area is arranged as Ca > Na > Mg > K, and the anions are arranged as HCO3- > SO42- > Cl- > NO3- > PO43-. Similarly, the result also showed that the common water types in the area are Ca2+-Mg2+-HCO3- and Mg2+-Ca2+-HCO3-. TDS, TH, EC, SAR, MH, SSP, RSC, PI and KI have respective mean values of 530.45 mg/l, 279 mg/l CaCO3, 657 µS/cm, 1.24, 48%, 26%, 0.23 meq/l, 61% and 0.57. The suitability of the dominant water points in the Golina River Basin for irrigation is moderate in terms of TDS, hard to very hard water for irrigation in terms of hardness, medium salinity for irrigation in terms of salinity hazard and low sodium hazards, suitable for irrigation in terms of magnesium hazards, good and excellent water for irrigation in terms of soluble sodium percentage, safe for irrigation in terms of residual sodium carbonate, good for irrigation in terms of the permeable index, and suitable water for irrigation in terms of Kelly ratio. Few water samples in the Golina River Basin show slight contamination of nitrate from the irrigation activities which needs special attention.

This study aimed to investigate the shallow groundwater status around the Sheba Leather Tannery area, Wikro, North Ethiopia, through geophysical and hydrochemical methods. Seventeen Vertical Electrical Soundings (VESs) acquisitions, 4 upstream and 13 downstream, of the leather tannery area were conducted. Using the data, four geoelectric profiles were generated. The aquifers’ geoelectrical layers, depth, and lateral extent were delineated. The VES curves depicted three to four resistivity layers. These alternating layers of low, moderate, and high resistivity values, traced at different VES points, were attributed to the formations’ composition and the groundwater quality status. Besides the geophysical survey, 32 water samples were collected from the area. Parameters such as electrical conductivity (EC), total dissolved solids (TDSs), pH, major ions, and heavy metals were analyzed. Moreover, PHREEQC was used to determine the groundwater mineral saturation indices where most minerals, except halite, were found supersaturated. The quality status for drinking purposes was also evaluated using the water quality index (WQI), and the water was classified as good (56.3%), poor (37.5%), and very poor (6.2%). The sodium adsorption ratio (SAR) and the percentage of sodium (Na⁺%) were calculated, and the results indicated that the water is suitable for direct use in irrigation.

Identification of recharge sources in the Mekelle area is controversial, as some studies indicate that precipitation is the only source of recharge, while others indicate the existence of inter-catchment/inter-basin groundwater transfers with the possibility of intermediate-to-regional flow system recharge sources. The objectives of this study were, therefore, to identify the sources of recharge, quantify the groundwater recharge and develop a local meteoric waterline (LMWL) for the Mekelle area using the stable isotopic compositions (δ¹⁸O and δ²H) of rainwater. To that end, 13 precipitation, 34 groundwater, and two surface water samples were analyzed for δ¹⁸O and δ²H signatures. Accordingly, the local meteoric water line (LMWL: δ²H = 6.78 δ¹⁸O + 9.83) was developed from ten monthly accumulated precipitation samples and three rainfall event samples. Moreover, the spatial variations in the isotopic compositions of the groundwater with respect to the LMWL showed the existence of three zones/groups with different groundwater flow conditions, namely, shallow, intermediate, and deep flow systems. Two groundwater recharge sources were also identified from the dual-isotope slope of the groundwater isotope lines with respect to the LMWL. Furthermore, the groundwater recharge was estimated to be 49 mm/year using the chloride mass balance (CMB) method.