Update rules, which describe how individuals adjust their behavior over time, affect the outcome of social interactions. Theoretical studies have shown that evolutionary outcomes are sensitive to model details when update rules are imitation-based but are robust when update rules are self-evaluation based. However, studies of self-evaluation based rules have focused on homogeneous population structures where each individual has the same number of neighbors. Here, we consider heterogeneous population structures represented by weighted networks. Under weak selection, we analytically derive the condition for strategy success, which coincides with the classical condition of risk-dominance. This condition holds for all weighted networks and distributions of aspiration levels, and for individualized ways of self-evaluation. Our findings recover previous results as special cases and demonstrate the universality of the robustness property under self-evaluation based rules. Our work thus sheds light on the intrinsic difference between evolutionary dynamics under self-evaluation based and imitation-based update rules.
1 December 2016 in Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
Cooperation is key for the evolution of biological systems ranging from bacteria communities to human societies. Evolutionary processes can dramatically alter the cooperation level. Evolutionary processes are typically of two classes: comparison based and self-evaluation based. The fate of cooperation is extremely sensitive to the details of comparison based processes. For self-evaluation processes, however, it is still unclear whether the sensitivity remains. We concentrate on a class of self-evaluation processes based on aspiration, where all the individuals adjust behaviors based on their own aspirations. We prove that the evolutionary outcome with heterogeneous aspirations is the same as that of the homogeneous one for regular networks under weak selection limit. Simulation results further suggest that it is also valid for general networks across various distributions of personalised aspirations. Our result clearly indicates that self-evaluation processes are robust in contrast with comparison based rules. In addition, our result greatly simplifies the calculation of the aspiration dynamics, which is computationally expensive. Cooperation is the cornerstone to understand how biological systems evolve. Previous studies have shown that cooperation is sensitive to the details of evolutionary processes, even if all the individuals update strategies in the same way. Here we propose a class of updating rules driven by self-evaluation, where each individual has its personal aspiration. The evolutionary outcome is the same as if all the individuals adopt the same aspiration for regular networks, provided the selection intensity is weak enough. In addition, we provide a simple numerical method to identify the favored strategy. Our result shows a very robust class of strategy updating rules. And it implies that complexity in updating rules does not necessarily lead to the sensitivity of evolutionary outcomes.
Voluntary vaccination is effective to prevent infectious diseases from spreading. Both vaccination behavior and cognition of the vaccination risk play important roles in individual vaccination decision making. However, it is not clear how the coevolution of the two shapes population-wide vaccination behavior. We establish a coupled dynamics of epidemic, vaccination behavior, and perceived vaccination risk with three different time scales. We assume that the increase of vaccination level inhibits the rise of perceived vaccination risk, and the increase of perceived vaccination risk inhibits the rise of vaccination level. It is shown that the resulting vaccination behavior is similar to the stag-hunt game, provided that the basic reproductive ratio is moderate and that the epidemic dynamics evolves sufficiently fast. This is in contrast with the previous view that vaccination is a snowdriftlike game. And we find that epidemic breaks out repeatedly and eventually leads to vaccine scares if these three dynamics evolve on a similar time scale. Furthermore, we propose some ways to promote vaccination behavior, such as controlling side-effect bias and perceived vaccination costs. Our work sheds light on epidemic control via vaccination by taking into account the coevolutionary dynamics of cognition and behavior.
Researchers have previously looked into the problem of determining the connection between invasive events and network risk, and attack graph (AG) was proposed to seek countermeasures. However, AG has proved to have various limitations in practical applications. To overcome such defects, this study presents a risk flow attack graph (RFAG)‐based risk assessment approach. In particular, this approach applies a RFAG to represent network and attack scenarios, which are then fed to a network flow model for computing risk flow. A bi‐objective sorting algorithm is employed to automatically infer the priority of risk paths and assist risk assessment, and a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation is performed to determine risk severity. Via the aforementioned processes, the authors simplify AG and follow the risk path of originating, transferring, redistributing and converging to assess security risk. The authors use a synthetic network scenario to illustrate this approach and evaluate its performance through a set of simulations. Experiments show that the approach is capable of effectively identifying network security situations and assessing critical risk.