Accurate flood mapping is important for both planning activities during emergencies and as a support for the successive assessment of damaged areas. A valuable information source for such a procedure can be remote sensing synthetic aperture radar (SAR) imagery. However, flood scenarios are typical examples of complex situations in which different factors have to be considered to provide accurate and robust interpretation of the situation on the ground. For this reason, a data fusion approach of remote sensing data with ancillary information can be particularly useful. In this paper, a Bayesian network is proposed to integrate remotely sensed data, such as multitemporal SAR intensity images and interferometric-SAR coherence data, with geomorphic and other ground information. The methodology is tested on a case study regarding a flood that occurred in the Basilicata region (Italy) on December 2013, monitored using a time series of COSMO-SkyMed data. It is shown that the synergetic use of different information layers can help to detect more precisely the areas affected by the flood, reducing false alarms and missed identifications which may affect algorithms based on data from a single source. The produced flood maps are compared to data obtained independently from the analysis of optical images; the comparison indicates that the proposed methodology is able to reliably follow the temporal evolution of the phenomenon, assigning high probability to areas most likely to be flooded, in spite of their heterogeneous temporal SAR/InSAR signatures, reaching accuracies of up to 89%.

Series of annual, monthly and seasonal precipitation from 50 stations, distributed all over the Basilicata territory (southern Italy), were studied for the period 1923–2000. All the series were checked for homogeneity using MASH v. 1.0.1 software and the time series analysis was performed with the Mann–Kendall nonparametric test in order to detect possible trends. The results show that the annual total rainfall decreased by about 156 mm during the period investigated; the decrease becomes stronger in the last 30 years. There are considerably different trends for the different seasons. In particular, only the winter trend, which is downward, is statistically significant. In this season the total rainfall has decreased by about 133 mm. For this same period the standardized precipitation index (SPI) for multiple time scales of 12, 24 and 48 months has been computed. It appears that periods of drought have been quite frequent starting from 1975, with SPI ranging from about −1 to about −3. Copyright © 2004 Royal Meteorological Society

We apply high-resolution, X-band, stripmap COSMO-SkyMed data to the monitoring of flood events in the Basilicata region (Southern Italy), where multitemporal datasets are available with short spatial and temporal baselines, allowing interferometric (InSAR) processing. We show how the use of the interferometric coherence information can help to detect more precisely the areas affected by the flood, reducing false alarms and missed identifications which affect algorithms based on SAR intensity alone. The effectiveness of using the additional InSAR information layer is illustrated by RGB composites of various combinations of intensity and coherence data. Analysis of multitemporal SAR intensity and coherence trends reveals complex behavior of various field types, which we interpret through a Bayesian inference approach, based on a manual identification of representative scattering and coherence signatures of selected homogeneous fields. The approach allows to integrate external, ancillary information to derive a posteriori probabilistic maps of flood inundation accounting for different scattering responses to the presence of water. First results of this semiautomated methodology, using simple assumptions for the SAR signatures and a priori information based on the distance from river courses, show encouraging results, and open a path to improvement through use of more complex hydrologic and topo-hydrographic information.