Many large estuaries are threatened by intensifying hypoxia. However, due to the limited duration of available observations, uncertainties persist regarding the level of contemporary hypoxia intensity in a longer-term context and the relative contributions of climate versus human factors. Here we present sediment records for the hypoxia intensity and associated environmental parameters in the Yangtze Estuary over the past three centuries. The results show that the hypoxia intensity has been increasing during the last half century due to anthropogenic eutrophication, but the current hypoxia condition is not as severe as some preindustrial periods due to weaker stratification in the water column. Our findings suggest that if anthropogenic and climatic forcing coincide in the foreseeable future, the hypoxia intensity of the Yangtze Estuary may reach unprecedented levels.
Instrumental records reveal that intense tropical cyclone (TC) activity varies with tropical sea surface temperature (SST) on annual-decadal scales. Drivers of intense TC activity at the centennial-millennial scale are less clear, due to the sparseness of pre-observational reconstructions. Here, we present a new 2 kyr continuous activity record of intense TCs from offshore eastern China. Our reconstruction indicates that this site witnessed enhanced TC activity during relatively warm periods, with a widespread increase in TC activity during the later part of the Little Ice Age. This latter observation reveals that enhanced TC activity was synchronized with increased Asian dust emissions during the Little Ice Age. TC activity was also lower in the late Roman Warm Period, when SST was higher but Asian dust emissions were lower than in the early phase. Such patterns suggest a centennial-millennial link between TC climatology and a combination of SST changes and Asian dust levels.
This study examines the influence of the strength of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) on storminess at different latitudes in the North Atlantic, based on a new 6.5‐Kyr record of large storms from the Scotian Shelf (Eastern Canada) that provides the first >3.5‐ka record from middle latitudes. Comparison with a compilation of other paleostorm records shows that peaks in storminess are at times synchronous (4.5–2.5 and since 0.5 ka) between low and middle latitudes but in the intervening period (2.5–0.5 ka) were latitudinally asynchronous. Synchronous (asynchronous) behavior correlates with sustained increase (decrease) of AMOC. Regime shifts in storm activity between low and middle latitudes were more frequent since 2.5 ka, related to increased frequency of abrupt climate changes. These findings indicate a latitudinal response of storm activity due to abrupt climate change, which is critical to correctly assess future storm risks along the North Atlantic coastline.
6 March 2020 in Geological Society of America Bulletin
How climate controls tropical cyclone variability has critical implications for modern human society but is not well understood due to the short length of observational records. To probe this knowledge gap, we present a synthesis of intense typhoon activity from the northwestern Pacific over the past 2000 years, which is supported by a new, well-resolved tidal flat sedimentary record from the Jiangsu coast, eastern China. The record reveals nine intervals of typhoon frequency, indicating that the frequency of intense typhoons has varied on multi-centennial scales over the past 2000 years. Our synthesis shows strong evidence for a seesaw pattern of intense typhoon frequency between southeastern China and Japan and Korea. This pattern can be explained by the El Niño and Southern Oscillation–East Asian Monsoon–sea surface temperature hypothesis, which potentially explains the basin-wide typhoon climate in the northwestern Pacific region. A shift in typhoon activity was identified from 550–280 to 280–50 yr B.P. during the Little Ice Age, when typhoon activity changed from active to quiescent or vice versa. Centennial-scale shifts in Intertropical Convergence Zone and Western Pacific Warm Pool sea surface temperature are likely to be the primary forcing mechanisms driving this shift. Results obtained here provide links between typhoon activity and the El Niño and Southern Oscillation, the East Asian Monsoon, and the Western Pacific Warm Pool sea surface temperature, and therefore improve our ability to fully assess intense typhoon activity in future climate warming.