Building energy consumption prediction plays an important role in improving the energy utilization rate through helping building managers to make better decisions. However, as a result of randomness and noisy disturbance, it is not an easy task to realize accurate prediction of the building energy consumption. In order to obtain better building energy consumption prediction accuracy, an extreme deep learning approach is presented in this paper. The proposed approach combines stacked autoencoders (SAEs) with the extreme learning machine (ELM) to take advantage of their respective characteristics. In this proposed approach, the SAE is used to extract the building energy consumption features, while the ELM is utilized as a predictor to obtain accurate prediction results. To determine the input variables of the extreme deep learning model, the partial autocorrelation analysis method is adopted. Additionally, in order to examine the performances of the proposed approach, it is compared with some popular machine learning methods, such as the backward propagation neural network (BPNN), support vector regression (SVR), the generalized radial basis function neural network (GRBFNN) and multiple linear regression (MLR). Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method has the best prediction performance in different cases of the building energy consumption.

To enhance the prediction performance for building energy consumption, this paper presents a modified deep belief network (DBN) based hybrid model. The proposed hybrid model combines the outputs from the DBN model with the energy-consuming pattern to yield the final prediction results. The energy-consuming pattern in this study represents the periodicity property of building energy consumption and can be extracted from the observed historical energy consumption data. The residual data generated by removing the energy-consuming pattern from the original data are utilized to train the modified DBN model. The training of the modified DBN includes two steps, the first one of which adopts the contrastive divergence (CD) algorithm to optimize the hidden parameters in a pre-train way, while the second one determines the output weighting vector by the least squares method. The proposed hybrid model is applied to two kinds of building energy consumption data sets that have different energy-consuming patterns (daily-periodicity and weekly-periodicity). In order to examine the advantages of the proposed model, four popular artificial intelligence methods—the backward propagation neural network (BPNN), the generalized radial basis function neural network (GRBFNN), the extreme learning machine (ELM), and the support vector regressor (SVR) are chosen as the comparative approaches. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed DBN based hybrid model has the best performance compared with the comparative techniques. Another thing to be mentioned is that all the predictors constructed by utilizing the energy-consuming patterns perform better than those designed only by the original data. This verifies the usefulness of the incorporation of the energy-consuming patterns. The proposed approach can also be extended and applied to some other similar prediction problems that have periodicity patterns, e.g., the traffic flow forecasting and the electricity consumption prediction.

Short-term electrical load forecasting is of great significance to the safe operation, efficient management, and reasonable scheduling of the power grid. However, the electrical load can be affected by different kinds of external disturbances, thus, there exist high levels of uncertainties in the electrical load time series data. As a result, it is a challenging task to obtain accurate forecasting of the short-term electrical load. In order to further improve the forecasting accuracy, this study combines the data-driven long-short-term memory network (LSTM) and extreme learning machine (ELM) to present a hybrid model-based forecasting method for the prediction of short-term electrical loads. In this hybrid model, the LSTM is adopted to extract the deep features of the electrical load while the ELM is used to model the shallow patterns. In order to generate the final forecasting result, the predicted results of the LSTM and ELM are ensembled by the linear regression method. Finally, the proposed method is applied to two real-world electrical load forecasting problems, and detailed experiments are conducted. In order to verify the superiority and advantages of the proposed hybrid model, it is compared with the LSTM model, the ELM model, and the support vector regression (SVR). Experimental and comparison results demonstrate that the proposed hybrid model can give satisfactory performance and can achieve much better performance than the comparative methods in this short-term electrical load forecasting application.

With the development and popular application of Building Internet of Things (BIoT) systems, numerous types of equipment are connected, and a large volume of equipment data is collected. For convenient equipment management, the equipment should be identified and labeled. Traditionally, this process is performed manually, which not only is time consuming but also causes unavoidable omissions. In this paper, we propose a k-means clustering-based electrical equipment identification toward smart building application that can automatically identify the unknown equipment connected to BIoT systems. First, load characteristics are analyzed and electrical features for equipment identification are extracted from the collected data. Second, k-means clustering is used twice to construct the identification model. Preliminary clustering adopts traditional k-means algorithm to the total harmonic current distortion data and separates equipment data into two to three clusters on the basis of their electrical characteristics. Later clustering uses an improved k-means algorithm, which weighs Euclidean distance and uses the elbow method to determine the number of clusters and analyze the results of preliminary clustering. Then, the equipment identification model is constructed by selecting the cluster centroid vector and distance threshold. Finally, identification results are obtained online on the basis of the model outputs by using the newly collected data. Successful applications to BIoT system verify the validity of the proposed identification method.

The rapid increase in electric vehicles (EVs) has led to a continuous expansion of electric vehicle (EV) charging stations, imposing significant load pressures on the power grid. Implementing orderly charging scheduling for EVs can mitigate the impact of large-scale charging on the power grid. However, the charging behavior of EVs significantly impacts the efficiency of orderly charging plans. By integrating user portrait technology and conducting research on optimized scheduling for EV charging, EV users can be accurately classified to meet the diverse needs of various user groups. This study establishes a user portrait model suitable for park areas, providing user group classification based on the user response potential for scheduling optimization. First, the FCM and feature aggregation methods are utilized to classify the quantities of features of EV users, obtaining user portrait classes. Second, based on these classes, a user portrait inventory for each EV is derived. Third, based on the priority of user response potential, this study presents a method for calculating the feature data of different user groups. The individual data information and priorities from the user portrait model are inputted into the EV-optimized scheduling model. The optimization focuses on the user charging cost and load fluctuation, with the non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm II utilized to obtain the solutions. The results demonstrate that the proposed strategy effectively addresses the matching issue between the EV user response potential and optimal scheduling modes without compromising the normal use of EVs by users. This classification approach facilitates the easier acceptance of scheduling tasks by participating users, leading to optimized outcomes that better meet practical requirements.

Prediction of energy use behaviors is a necessary prerequisite for designing personalized and scalable energy efficiency programs. The energy use behaviors of office occupants are different from those of residential occupants and have not yet been studied as intensively as residential occupants. This paper proposes a method based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to predict the energy use behaviors of office occupants. Firstly, an indoor electrical Internet of Things system (IEIoTS) for the office scenario is developed to collect the switching state time series data of selected user electrical equipment (desktop computer, water dispenser, light) and the historical environment parameters. Then, the Metropolis–Hastings (MH) algorithm is used to sample and obtain the optimal solution of the parameters for the office occupants’ behavior function, the model of which includes the energy action model, energy working hours model, and air-conditioner energy use behavior model. Finally, comparative experiments are carried out to evaluate the performance of the proposed method. The experimental results show that while the mean value performs similarly in estimating the energy use model, the proposed method outperforms the Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) method on uncertainty quantification with relatively narrower confidence intervals.