Alfan Presekal

Dr. Alfan Presekal

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

14Years (2013-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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16 January 2023 in IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
Alfan PresekalAlfan Presekal
Alfan Presekal
AŞAlexandru Ştefanov
Alexandru Ştefanov
VRVetrivel Subramaniam Rajkumar
Vetrivel Subramaniam Rajkumar
PPPeter Palensky
Peter Palensky
Electrical power grids are vulnerable to cyber attacks, as seen in Ukraine in 2015 and 2016. However, existing attack detection methods are limited. Most of them are based on power system measurement anomalies that occur when an attack is successfully executed at the later stages of the cyber kill chain. In contrast, the attacks on the Ukrainian power grid show the importance of system-wide, early-stage attack detection through communication-based anomalies. Therefore, in this paper, we propose a novel method for online cyber attack situational awareness that enhances the power grid resilience. It supports power system operators in the identification and localization of active attack locations in Operational Technology (OT) networks in near real-time. The proposed method employs a hybrid deep learning model of Graph Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (GC-LSTM) and a deep convolutional network for time series classification-based anomaly detection. It is implemented as a combination of software defined networking, anomaly detection in communication throughput, and a novel attack graph model. Results indicate that the proposed method can identify active attack locations, e.g., within substations, control center, and wide area network, with an accuracy above 96%. Hence, it outperforms existing state-of-the-art deep learning-based time series classification methods.

20 September 2023 in IEEE Access
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
VRVetrivel Subramaniam Rajkumar
Vetrivel Subramaniam Rajkumar
AŞAlexandru Ştefanov
Alexandru Ştefanov
Alfan PresekalAlfan Presekal
Alfan Presekal
Peter PalenskyPeter Palensky
Peter Palensky
Jose Luis Rueda TorresJose Luis Rueda Torres
Jose Luis Rueda Torres
Cascading effects in the power grid involve an uncontrolled, successive failure of elements. The root cause of such failures is the combined occurrence of multiple, statistically rare events that may result in a blackout. With increasing digitalisation, power systems are vulnerable to emergent cyber threats. Furthermore, such threats are not statistically limited and can simultaneously occur at multiple locations. In the absence of real-world attack information, however, it is imperative to investigate if and how cyber attacks can cause power system cascading failures. Hence, in this work we present a fundamental analysis of the connection between the cascading failure mechanism and cyber security. We hypothesise and demonstrate how cyber attacks on power grids may cause cascading failures and a blackout. To do so, we perform a systematic survey of major historic blackouts caused by physical disturbances, and examine the cascading failure mechanism. Subsequently, we identify critical cyber-physical factors that can activate and influence it. We then infer and discuss how cyber attack vectors can enable these factors to cause and accelerate cascading failures. A synthetic case-study and software-based simulation results prove our hypothesis. This analysis enables future research into cyber resilience of power grids.

4 October 2024 in IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
Alfan PresekalAlfan Presekal
Alfan Presekal
AŞAlexandru Ştefanov
Alexandru Ştefanov
ISIoannis Semertzis
Ioannis Semertzis
Peter PalenskyPeter Palensky
Peter Palensky
Electrical power grids are vulnerable to cyber attacks, as seen in Ukraine in 2015, 2016, and 2022. These cyber attacks are classified as Advanced Persistent Threats (APTs) with potential disastrous consequences such as a total blackout. However, state-of-the-art intrusion detection systems are inadequate for APT detection owing to their stealthy nature and long-lasting persistence. Furthermore, they are ineffective as they focus on individual anomaly instances and overlook the correlation between attack instances. Therefore, this research proposes a novel method for spatio-temporal APT detection and correlation for cyber-physical power systems. It provides online situational awareness for power system operators to pinpoint system-wide anomaly locations in near real-time and preemptively mitigate APTs at an early stage before causing adverse impacts. We propose an Enhanced Graph Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (EGC-LSTM) by using sequential and neural network filters to improve APT detection, correlation, and prediction. Control center and substation communication traffic is used to determine cyber anomalies using semi-supervised deep packet inspection and software-defined networking. Power grid circuit breaker status is used to determine physical anomalies. Cyber-physical anomalies are correlated in cyber-physical system integration matrix and EGC-LSTM. The EGC-LSTM outperforms existing state-of-the-art spatio-temporal deep learning models, achieving the lowest mean square error.

26 October 2020
Verified
Conference Paper
Closed access
VRVetrivel Subramaniam Rajkumar
Vetrivel Subramaniam Rajkumar
MTMarko Tealane
Marko Tealane
ASAlexandru Stefanov
Alexandru Stefanov
Alfan PresekalAlfan Presekal
Alfan Presekal
PPPeter Palensky
Peter Palensky
Power system automation and communication standards are spearheading the power system transition towards a smart grid. IEC 61850 is one such standard, which is widely used for substation automation and protection. It enables real-time communication and data exchange between critical substation automation and protection devices within digital substations. However, IEC 61850 is not cyber secure. In this paper, we demonstrate the dangerous implications of not securing IEC 61850 standard. Cyber attacks may exploit the vulnerabilities of the Sampled Values (SV) and Generic Object-Oriented Substation Event (GOOSE) protocols of IEC 61850. The cyber attacks may be realised by injecting spoofed SV and GOOSE data frames into the substation communication network at the bay level. We demonstrate that such cyber attacks may lead to obstruction or tripping of multiple protective relays. Coordinated cyber attacks against the protection system in digital substations may cause generation and line disconnections, triggering cascading failures in the power grid. This may eventually result in a partial or complete blackout. The attack model, impact on system dynamics and cascading failures are veri ed experimentally through a proposed cyber-physical experimental framework that closely resembles real-world conditions within a digital substation, including Intelligent Electronic Devices (IEDs) and protection schemes. It is implemented through Hardware-in-the-Loop (HIL) simulations of commercial relays with a Real-Time Digital Simulator (RTDS).

13 August 2024 in IEEE Access
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
ISIoannis Semertzis
Ioannis Semertzis
AŞAlexandru Ştefanov
Alexandru Ştefanov
Alfan PresekalAlfan Presekal
Alfan Presekal
BKBas Kruimer
Bas Kruimer
Jose Luis Rueda TorresJose Luis Rueda Torres
Jose Luis Rueda Torres
Peter PalenskyPeter Palensky
Peter Palensky
Power grid digitalization introduces new vulnerabilities and cyber security threats. The impact of cyber attacks on power system stability is a topic of growing concern, which is yet to be comprehensively analyzed. Traditional power system stability analysis is based on the impact of non-malicious small, and large physical disturbances. However, cyber attacks introduce a new dimension to power system stability, in which malicious cyber actors can selectively target critical systems and applications and cause severe stability issues. Hence, in this work, the traditional disturbances considered in power system stability classification are expanded from physical to cyber-physical disturbances caused by cyber attacks. Based on a thorough state-of-the-art, an analysis of how cyber attacks can translate into physical disturbances affecting the traditional power system stability categories is performed. The system stability analysis is expanded by mapping the power system stability categories with the defined cyber-physical attack types. The findings of this work showcase the importance of cyber security for power system stability.

10 August 2023 in IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
YLYigu Liu
Yigu Liu
HXHaiwei Xie
Haiwei Xie
Alfan PresekalAlfan Presekal
Alfan Presekal
ASAlexandru Stefanov
Alexandru Stefanov
Peter PalenskyPeter Palensky
Peter Palensky
Synthetic networks aim at generating realistic projections of real-world networks while concealing the actual system information. This paper proposes a scalable and effective approach based on graph neural networks (GNN) to generate synthetic topologies of Cyber-Physical power Systems (CPS) with realistic network feature distribution. In order to comprehensively capture the characteristics of real CPS networks, we propose a generative model, namely Graph-CPS, based on graph variational autoencoder and graph recurrent neural networks. The method hides the sensitive topological information while maintaining the similar feature distribution of the real networks. We used multiple power and communication networks to prove and assess the effectiveness of the proposed method with experimental results.