Pablo Méndez-Lázaro

Dr. Pablo Méndez-Lázaro


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

13Years (2014-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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10 March 2018 in Earth's Future
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
LMLauren McPhillips
Lauren McPhillips
HCHeejun Chang
Heejun Chang
MCMikhail V. Chester
Mikhail V. Chester
YDYaella Depietri
Yaella Depietri
EFErin Friedman
Erin Friedman
JSJavad Shafiei Shiva
Javad Shafiei Shiva
Extreme events are of interest worldwide given their potential for substantial impacts on social, ecological, and technical systems. Many climate‐related extreme events are increasing in frequency and/or magnitude due to anthropogenic climate change, and there is increased potential for impacts due to the location of urbanization and the expansion of urban centers and infrastructures. Many disciplines are engaged in research and management of these events. However, a lack of coherence exists in what constitutes and defines an extreme event across these fields, which impedes our ability to holistically understand and manage these events. Here, we review 10 years of academic literature and use text analysis to elucidate how six major disciplines—climatology, earth sciences, ecology, engineering, hydrology, and social sciences—define and communicate extreme events. Our results highlight critical disciplinary differences in the language used to communicate extreme events. Additionally, we found a wide range in definitions and thresholds, with more than half of examined papers not providing an explicit definition, and disagreement over whether impacts are included in the definition. We urge distinction between extreme events and their impacts, so that we can better assess when responses to extreme events have actually enhanced resilience. Additionally, we suggest that all researchers and managers of extreme events be more explicit in their definition of such events as well as be more cognizant of how they are communicating extreme events. We believe clearer and more consistent definitions and communication can support transdisciplinary understanding and management of extreme events.

7 April 2023 in Reviews of Geophysics
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
QTQuansong Tong
Quansong Tong
Tom GillTom Gill
Tom Gill
WSWilliam A. Sprigg
William A. Sprigg
RPRobert Scott Van Pelt
Robert Scott Van Pelt
Alexander BaklanovAlexander Baklanov
Alexander Baklanov
Ana Vuković VimićAna Vuković Vimić
Ana Vuković Vimić
Risks associated with dust hazards are often underappreciated, a gap between the knowledge pool and public awareness that can be costly for impacted communities. This study reviews the emission sources and chemical, physical, and biological characteristics of airborne soil particles (dust) and their effects on human and environmental health and safety in the Pan‐American region. American dust originates from both local sources (western United States, northern Mexico, Peru, Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) and long‐range transport from Africa and Asia. Dust properties, as well as the trends and interactions with criteria air pollutants, are summarized. Human exposure to dust is associated with adverse health effects, including asthma, allergies, fungal infections, and premature death. In the Americas, a well‐documented and striking effect of soil dust is its association with Coccidioidomycosis, commonly known as Valley fever, an infection caused by inhalation of soil‐dwelling fungi unique to this region. Besides human health, dust affects environmental health through nutrients that increase phytoplankton biomass, contaminants that diminish water supply and affect food (crops/fruits/vegetables and ready‐to‐eat meat), spread crop and marine pathogens, cause Valley fever among domestic and wild animals, transport heavy metals, radionuclides and microplastics, and reduce solar and wind power generation. Dust is also a safety hazard to road transportation and aviation, in the southwestern US where blowing dust is one of the deadliest weather hazards. To mitigate the harmful effects, coordinated regional and international efforts are needed to enhance dust observations and prediction capabilities, soil conservation measures, and Valley fever and other disease surveillance.

17 February 2017 in International Journal of Biometeorology
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
PMPablo Méndez-Lázaro
Pablo Méndez-Lázaro
FMFrank Muller-Karger
Frank Muller-Karger
DODaniel Otis
Daniel Otis
MMMatthew McCarthy
Matthew McCarthy
ERErnesto Rodríguez
Ernesto Rodríguez

15 December 2016 in International Journal of Biometeorology
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
PMPablo Méndez-Lázaro
Pablo Méndez-Lázaro
CPCynthia M. Pérez-Cardona
Cynthia M. Pérez-Cardona
ERErnesto Rodríguez
Ernesto Rodríguez
OMOdalys Martínez
Odalys Martínez
MTMariela Taboas
Mariela Taboas
RMRafael Méndez-Tejeda
Rafael Méndez-Tejeda

PMPablo Méndez-Lázaro
Pablo Méndez-Lázaro
FMFrank Muller-Karger
Frank Muller-Karger
DODaniel Otis
Daniel Otis
MMMatthew McCarthy
Matthew McCarthy
MPMarisol Peña-Orellana
Marisol Peña-Orellana
We test the hypothesis that climate and environmental conditions are becoming favorable for dengue transmission in San Juan, Puerto Rico. Sea Level Pressure (SLP), Mean Sea Level (MSL), Wind, Sea Surface Temperature (SST), Air Surface Temperature (AST), Rainfall, and confirmed dengue cases were analyzed. We evaluated the dengue incidence and environmental data with Principal Component Analysis, Pearson correlation coefficient, Mann-Kendall trend test and logistic regressions. Results indicated that dry days are increasing and wet days are decreasing. MSL is increasing, posing higher risk of dengue as the perimeter of the San Juan Bay estuary expands and shorelines move inland. Warming is evident with both SST and AST. Maximum and minimum air surface temperature extremes have increased. Between 1992 and 2011, dengue transmission increased by a factor of 3.4 (95% CI: 1.9–6.1) for each 1 °C increase in SST. For the period 2007–2011 alone, dengue incidence reached a factor of 5.2 (95% CI: 1.9–13.9) for each 1 °C increase in SST. Teenagers are consistently the age group that suffers the most infections in San Juan. Results help understand possible impacts of different climate change scenarios in planning for social adaptation and public health interventions.

Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
ALAbdiel Laureano-Rosario
Abdiel Laureano-Rosario
ADAndrew P. Duncan
Andrew P. Duncan
PMPablo Méndez-Lázaro
Pablo Méndez-Lázaro
JGJulian E. Garcia-Rejon
Julian E. Garcia-Rejon
SGSalvador Gómez
Salvador Gómez
FMFrank Muller-Karger
Frank Muller-Karger
Modelling dengue fever in endemic areas is important to mitigate and improve vector-borne disease control to reduce outbreaks. This study applied artificial neural networks (ANNs) to predict dengue fever outbreak occurrences in San Juan, Puerto Rico (USA), and in several coastal municipalities of the state of Yucatan, Mexico, based on specific thresholds. The models were trained with 19 years of dengue fever data for Puerto Rico and six years for Mexico. Environmental and demographic data included in the predictive models were sea surface temperature (SST), precipitation, air temperature (i.e., minimum, maximum, and average), humidity, previous dengue cases, and population size. Two models were applied for each study area. One predicted dengue incidence rates based on population at risk (i.e., numbers of people younger than 24 years), and the other on the size of the vulnerable population (i.e., number of people younger than five years and older than 65 years). The predictive power was above 70% for all four model runs. The ANNs were able to successfully model dengue fever outbreak occurrences in both study areas. The variables with the most influence on predicting dengue fever outbreak occurrences for San Juan, Puerto Rico, included population size, previous dengue cases, maximum air temperature, and date. In Yucatan, Mexico, the most important variables were population size, previous dengue cases, minimum air temperature, and date. These models have predictive skills and should help dengue fever mitigation and management to aid specific population segments in the Caribbean region and around the Gulf of Mexico.